Liga Profesional
· Clausura - 4
August 09, 2026 02:30
65'
G. Mainero
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente a 51% win probability (draw 29%, Platense 18%). The final result was Independiente 0–1 Platense. In 1 previous meetings, Independiente have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Platense.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
2
0.95
Actual xG
0.71
1
Saves
5
66%
Possession
34%
13
Corners
1
22
Tackles
37
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
15'
S. Montiel
44'
M. Perez Curci
/ L. Millan
46'
49'
I. Vazquez
64'
G. Togni
/
F. Zapiola
64'
K. Retamar
/
L. Heredia
65'
G. Mainero⚽
M. Abaldo
/ M. Meza
68'
77'
H. Bobadilla
/
L. Gimenez
K. Lomonaco
84'
86'
N. Lopez
/
G. Mainero
I. Marcone
/ L. Cabral
86'
90'+5
N. Lopez
Pre-match prediction
51.47%
Independiente
29.78%
X
18.75%
Platense ←
we assigned to the actual result (Platense)
18.75%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.20
0.95
-0.25
0.58
0.71
+0.13
xG dominance was balanced (0.95 – 0.71).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
33
R. Rey
G
R. Rey
G
22
F. Zabala
D
F. Zabala
D
26
Kevin Lomónaco
D
Kevin Lomónaco
D
13
J. Fedorco
D
J. Fedorco
D
4
S. Arias
D
S. Arias
D
23
I. Marcone
86'
M
I. Marcone
86'
M
16
M. Perez
45'
M
M. Perez
45'
M
19
M. Abaldo
68'
M
M. Abaldo
68'
M
7
S. Montiel
M
S. Montiel
M
28
M. Gutiérrez
M
M. Gutiérrez
M
9
G. Ávalos
F
G. Ávalos
F
Bench
32
D. Martínez
M
D. Martínez
M
18
Facundo Valdéz
F
Facundo Valdéz
F
21
Fernando Closter
D
Fernando Closter
D
34
F. Tempone
F
F. Tempone
F
15
Imanol Machuca
F
Imanol Machuca
F
35
J. Arrayago
D
J. Arrayago
D
3
Jonathan De Irastorza
D
Jonathan De Irastorza
D
14
Lautaro Millán
45'
M
Lautaro Millán
45'
M
10
L. Cabral
10'
M
L. Cabral
10'
M
38
Luciano Barros
D
Luciano Barros
D
8
M. Meza
22'
F
M. Meza
22'
F
77
S. Mele
G
S. Mele
G
30
J. Cozzani
G
J. Cozzani
G
3
T. Silva
D
T. Silva
D
31
V. Cuesta
D
V. Cuesta
D
13
I. Vázquez
D
I. Vázquez
D
25
J. Saborido
D
J. Saborido
D
24
M. Barrios
M
M. Barrios
M
26
P. Ferreira
M
P. Ferreira
M
10
F. Zapiola
64'
M
F. Zapiola
64'
M
23
Leonardo Heredia
63'
M
Leonardo Heredia
63'
M
7
G. Mainero
1 ⚽
86'
M
G. Mainero
1 ⚽
86'
M
20
Luciano Giménez
77'
F
Luciano Giménez
77'
F
Bench
4
A. Lagos
D
A. Lagos
D
18
B. Merlini
F
B. Merlini
F
17
Felipe Bussio
M
Felipe Bussio
M
16
G. Togni
26'
F
G. Togni
26'
F
19
Héctor Bobadilla
13'
F
Héctor Bobadilla
13'
F
33
J. Gauto
F
J. Gauto
F
34
M. Mendia
D
M. Mendia
D
11
N. López
10'
F
N. López
10'
F
43
N. Retamar
27'
F
N. Retamar
27'
F
22
N. Sumavil
G
N. Sumavil
G
27
Santiago Dalmasso
M
Santiago Dalmasso
M
32
Santiago Quiros
D
Santiago Quiros
D
Best on the pitch
J. Saborido
D · Platense
8.20
· 16 pass
J. Cozzani
G · Platense
8.20
· 31 pass
G. Mainero
M · Platense
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 25 pass
S. Montiel
M · Independiente
7.70
2 shots
· 33 pass
T. Silva
D · Platense
7.30
· 26 pass
J. Fedorco
D · Independiente
7.20
· 57 pass
Independiente — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Rey | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 18% | — | — | — |
| F. Zabala | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| Kevin Lomónaco | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 59 | 52% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Fedorco | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 57 | 50% | 5 | — | — |
| S. Arias | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 51% | 5 | — | — |
| I. Marcone | M | 86 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 58 | 46% | — | — | — |
| M. Perez | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Abaldo | M | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Montiel | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 27% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Gutiérrez | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Ávalos | F | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | 3 | 23 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Lautaro Millán | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 24% | — | — | — |
| L. Cabral | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Meza | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
Platense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cozzani | G | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 14% | — | — | — |
| T. Silva | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | 5 | — | — |
| V. Cuesta | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Vázquez | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 5% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Saborido | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 10 | — | — |
| M. Barrios | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Ferreira | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Zapiola | M | 64 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Leonardo Heredia | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Mainero | M | 86 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 11% | 4 | — | — |
| Luciano Giménez | F | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Togni | F | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Héctor Bobadilla | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. López | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| N. Retamar | F | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente vs Platense?
The final score was Independiente 0–1 Platense.
What did the model predict before Independiente vs Platense?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Independiente win, 29% to a draw, and 18% to an Platense win.