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India - Uruguay

Friendlies Internazionali October 06, 2026 14:00
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.36%
Win
India
32.27%
Draw
34.38%
Win
Uruguay
0.97
Expected xG
1.07

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (12.04%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 32%
2 34%
Double Chance
1X 66%
X2 67%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Uruguay a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 33% for India. Expected goals are 1.0 for India and 1.1 for Uruguay (total 2.0), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.04% probability.

Season Stats

India
0W 1D 3L
Uruguay
0W 2D 0L
Averages per game
0.5
Goals
0.5
1.8
Conceded
0.5
3.3
Shots OT
1.0
1.0
Corners
3.0
44%
Poss.
53%
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
50%
25%
O 2.5
0%
50%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
Based on the last 4 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
India
0W 0D 1L · at home
Uruguay
0W 2D 0L · away
0.0
gls/g
0.5
1.0
Conceded
0.5
0%
Win %
0%
0%
Win or Draw
100%
0%
O 1.5
50%
0%
O 2.5
0%
0%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
100%
Failed to Score
50%
last 2
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ India Uruguay →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.0% 13.9% 7.4% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.6% 13.5% 7.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
2 6.2% 6.6% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.0% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Recent form

D Tajikistan 1–1
L Tajikistan 3–1
L Zimbabwe 0–1
L Jamaica 2–0
D Algeria 0–0
D England 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

India India
Attack
19
Defence
70
Form
35
Uruguay Uruguay
Attack
11
Defence
81
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Unavailable

Uruguay
G. de Arrascaeta
G. de Arrascaeta
Injured
R. Araújo
R. Araújo
Injured
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win India vs Uruguay?
The model gives India a 33% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 34% for an Uruguay win.
How many goals are expected in India vs Uruguay?
Expected goals: India 1.0, Uruguay 1.1 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in India vs Uruguay?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.04%.