USL Championship
· Group Stage
May 24, 2026 01:00
B. Rendon
(ast. E. Kizza)
13'
J. O'Brien
(ast. J. Blake)
71'
D. Sing
(ast. A. Quinn)
76'
51'
(ast. B. Ferri)
A. Molloy
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Indy Eleven a 50% win probability (draw 25%, Lexington 24%). The final result was Indy Eleven 3–1 Lexington.
Match statistics
Match Events
3'
J. Brown
B. Rendon
4'
7'
J. Hafferty
/
L. Blessing
⚽B. Rendon
· ast. E. Kizza
13'
32'
X. Zengue
51'
ast. B. Ferri ·
A. Molloy⚽
E. Kizza
/ H. Barry
55'
56'
A. Molloy
57'
J. Lewis
/
X. Zengue
L. Mesanvi
/ D. Sing
66'
⚽J. O'Brien
· ast. J. Blake
71'
⚽D. Sing
· ast. A. Quinn
76'
77'
T. Scott
/
M. Epps
77'
A. Midence
/
B. Ferri
L. Neidlinger
/ M. Rasheed
79'
H. Barry
/ A. Mitrano
79'
80'
P. Goodrum
A. Quinn
90'
Pre-match prediction
50.05%
Indy ←
25.7%
X
24.25%
Lexington
we assigned to the actual result (Indy Eleven)
50.05%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.63
—
—
1.02
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Indy Eleven vs Lexington?
The final score was Indy Eleven 3–1 Lexington.
What did the model predict before Indy Eleven vs Lexington?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Indy Eleven win, 25% to a draw, and 24% to an Lexington win.