Indy Eleven 2–1 Louisville City — pre-match prediction — USL Championship — August 23, 2026

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USL Championship · Group Stage August 23, 2026 01:00

Indy Eleven

#7 · 30 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Louisville City

#5 · 33 pts

B. Rendon (ast. A. Quinn) 31'

J. Blake (ast. E. Kizza) 60'

58' (ast. T. Davila) K. Adams

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Louisville City a 41% win probability (draw 26%, Indy Eleven 32%). The final result was Indy Eleven 2–1 Louisville City.

Match statistics

Match Events

⚽B. Rendon · ast. A. Quinn

31'

46'

E. Perez / B. Dayes ↕

58'

ast. T. Davila · K. Adams⚽

⚽J. Blake · ast. E. Kizza

60'

63'

T. Showunmi / R. Serrano ↕

↕ J. Hafferty / M. Rasheed

68'

↕ E. Kizza / L. Mesanvi

68'

69'

K. Adams

73'

J. Wilson / J. Morris ↕

↕ B. Rendon / M. Henry-Scott

80'

83'

M. Akale / Q. Huerman ↕

83'

E. Davila / Z. Duncan ↕

↕ J. Blake / H. Barry

90'+4

Pre-match prediction

32.64%

Indy ←

26.06%

41.3%

Louisville

we assigned to the actual result (Indy Eleven) 32.64% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Indy

1.08

—

Louisville

1.32

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	23	48
2	Charleston Battery	23	39
3	Detroit City	22	37
4	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	24	35
5	Louisville City	23	33
6	Hartford Athletic	22	31
7	Indy Eleven	22	30
8	Rhode Island	21	29
9	Miami FC	23	23
10	Loudoun United	22	20
10	Birmingham	9	10
11	Birmingham Legion	21	18
12	Brooklyn	21	16
13	Sporting JAX	23	14

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Indy Eleven vs Louisville City?

The final score was Indy Eleven 2–1 Louisville City.

What did the model predict before Indy Eleven vs Louisville City?

The model assigned 32% probability to a Indy Eleven win, 26% to a draw, and 41% to an Louisville City win.