USL Championship
· Group Stage
April 12, 2026 03:00
B. Rendon
(ast. C. Lindley)
14'
J. Blake
56'
L. Mesanvi
(ast. A. Herbert)
68'
51'
(ast. O. Glasgow)
S. Lletget
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Indy Eleven a 45% win probability (draw 28%, Monterey Bay 25%). The final result was Indy Eleven 3–1 Monterey Bay.
Match statistics
Match Events
⚽B. Rendon
· ast. C. Lindley
14'
25'
J. Garcia
N. Okello
32'
46'
W. Leggett
/
G. Lomtadze
51'
ast. O. Glasgow ·
S. Lletget⚽
⚽J. Blake
56'
60'
J. Belmar
/
R. Nakamura
60'
E. Blancas
/
S. Lletget
⚽L. Mesanvi
· ast. A. Herbert
68'
B. Rendon
/ H. Barry
69'
73'
A. Rebollar
/
O. Glasgow
A. Quinn
/ K. Williams
75'
N. Okello
/ E. Kizza
75'
75'
Z. Farnsworth
82'
E. Blancas
H. Barry
83'
K. Williams
87'
Pre-match prediction
45.21%
Indy ←
28.81%
X
25.98%
Monterey
we assigned to the actual result (Indy Eleven)
45.21%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.11
—
—
0.30
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Indy Eleven vs Monterey Bay?
The final score was Indy Eleven 3–1 Monterey Bay.
What did the model predict before Indy Eleven vs Monterey Bay?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Indy Eleven win, 28% to a draw, and 25% to an Monterey Bay win.