USL Championship · Group Stage May 10, 2026 01:00

Indy Eleven

#8 · 30 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Sporting JAX

#13 · 14 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Indy Eleven

B. Rendon (ast. A. Quinn) 51'

A. Herbert 65'

45'+1 (ast. E. Jaaskelainen) A. Al Qaq

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Indy Eleven a 55% win probability (draw 23%, Sporting JAX 20%). The final result was Indy Eleven 2–1 Sporting JAX. In 1 previous meetings, Indy Eleven have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sporting JAX.

Match statistics

Match Events

10'

R. Pedder

45'+1

ast. E. Jaaskelainen · A. Al Qaq⚽

A. Herbert

45'+1

45'+5

A. Al Qaq

↕ N. Okello / E. Kizza

46'

⚽B. Rendon · ast. A. Quinn

51'

62'

K. Sadlier / R. Pedder ↕

⚽A. Herbert

65'

66'

E. Soto / L. Granitur ↕

80'

W. Kuzain / W. Ackwei ↕

80'

J. Evans / T. Roberts ↕

↕ L. Mesanvi / H. Barry

84'

87'

H. Neville

↕ B. Rendon / D. Sing

88'

Pre-match prediction

55.58%

Indy ←

23.79%

X

20.62%

Sporting

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Indy Eleven) 55.58% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Indy

2.98

—

—

Sporting

0.63

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	24	48
2	Charleston Battery	24	40
3	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	25	38
4	Detroit City	22	37
5	Hartford Athletic	23	34
6	Louisville City	24	33
7	Rhode Island	22	32
8	Indy Eleven	22	30
9	Miami FC	24	24
10	Loudoun United	23	20
10	Birmingham	9	10
11	Birmingham Legion	22	19
12	Brooklyn	22	17
13	Sporting JAX	24	14