USL Championship
· Group Stage
October 11, 2026 01:00
E. Kizza
5'
73'
(ast. R. Cicerone)
M. Myers
85'
(ast. M. Micaletto)
S. Cruz
90'+2
(ast. K. Henderlong)
M. Micaletto
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tampa Bay Rowdies a 46% win probability (draw 22%, Indy Eleven 30%). The final result was Indy Eleven 1–3 Tampa Bay Rowdies. In 1 previous meetings, Indy Eleven have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Tampa Bay Rowdies.
Match statistics
Match Events
⚽E. Kizza
5'
B. Rendon
50'
62'
L. Wyke
/
B. Schaefer
67'
C. Ostrem
72'
M. Micaletto
/
L. Perez
73'
ast. R. Cicerone ·
M. Myers⚽
75'
M. Myers
C. Lindley
/ A. Mitrano
76'
E. Kizza
/ L. Mesanvi
81'
M. Omar
/ D. Sing
81'
83'
K. Henderlong
/
Pedro Becker
83'
L. Archer
/
D. Acoff
85'
ast. M. Micaletto ·
S. Cruz⚽
90'+2
ast. K. Henderlong ·
M. Micaletto⚽
Pre-match prediction
30.96%
Indy
22.49%
X
46.55%
Tampa ←
we assigned to the actual result (Tampa Bay Rowdies)
46.55%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.30
—
—
1.76
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Indy Eleven vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
The final score was Indy Eleven 1–3 Tampa Bay Rowdies.
What did the model predict before Indy Eleven vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Indy Eleven win, 22% to a draw, and 46% to an Tampa Bay Rowdies win.