Institute - Dundela
Championship
October 24, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
59.1%
Win
Institute
21.89%
Draw
19.01%
Win
Dundela
2.09
0.88
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Institute
59.1%
Probability
50.0%
1X2 accuracy · 12 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(10.47%)
1X2 Result
1
59%
X
22%
2
19%
Double Chance
1X
81%
X2
41%
12
78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
57%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Institute a 59% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Dundela. Expected goals are 2.1 for Institute and 0.9 for Dundela (total 3.0), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 10.47% probability. In 4 previous meetings, Institute have won 2 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Dundela.
Season Stats
9W
2D
4L
3W
7D
5L
Averages per game
2.1
Goals
1.5
1.3
Conceded
1.7
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
87%
60%
O 2.5
53%
40%
BTTS
60%
53%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Championship. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
40%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
4W
3D
3L
· at home
2W
4D
4L
· away
1.7
gls/g
1.6
0.7
Conceded
2.0
40%
Win %
20%
70%
Win or Draw
60%
60%
O 1.5
90%
50%
O 2.5
60%
30%
O 3.5
50%
30%
BTTS
70%
60%
Clean Sht
20%
40%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Institute
Dundela →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 10.7% | 9.4% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | — |
| 2 | 11.2% | 9.9% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | — |
| 3 | 7.8% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — |
| 4 | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Institute
Attack
45
Defence
76
Form
62
Dundela
Attack
33
Defence
54
Form
36
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Annagh United
|
15 | 34 |
| 2 |
Glenavon FC
|
13 | 27 |
| 3 |
Newington Youth
|
13 | 26 |
| 4 |
Newry City AFC
|
15 | 23 |
| 5 |
Institute
|
13 | 21 |
| 6 |
Ballinamallard United
|
15 | 21 |
| 7 |
Queen's University
|
14 | 20 |
| 8 |
Warrenpoint Town
|
12 | 18 |
| 9 |
Ards
|
14 | 17 |
| 10 |
Loughgall
|
14 | 17 |
| 11 |
H&W Welders
|
13 | 16 |
| 12 |
Rathfriland
|
14 | 16 |
| 13 |
Moyola Park
|
14 | 15 |
| 14 |
Dundela
|
12 | 11 |
| 15 |
Strabane Athletic
|
15 | 11 |
| 16 |
Armagh City
|
14 | 9 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Institute vs Dundela?
The model gives Institute a 59% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 19% for an Dundela win.
How many goals are expected in Institute vs Dundela?
Expected goals: Institute 2.1, Dundela 0.9 (total 3.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Institute vs Dundela?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.47%.