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Liga Profesional · Clausura - 4 August 09, 2026 02:30
Instituto Cordoba
#1 · 32 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Gimnasia M.
#7 · 20 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Instituto Cordoba
A. Luna (ast. J. Lazaro) 80'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Instituto Cordoba a 58% win probability (draw 27%, Gimnasia M. 14%). The final result was Instituto Cordoba 1–0 Gimnasia M.. In 1 previous meetings, Instituto Cordoba have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Gimnasia M..

Match statistics
12
Total shots
3
7
Shots on target
1
2.28
Actual xG
0.26
0
Saves
6
48%
Possession
52%
3
Corners
2
22
Tackles
23
4
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
J. Galvan
30'
43'
L. Carrera
↕ J. E. Cordoba Mosquera / J. Lazaro
46'
↕ J. Galvan / A. Massaccesi
64'
69'
N. Romano / L. Cingolani ↕
69'
T. O'Connor / J. Ceballos ↕
74'
G. Guiffrey
⚽A. Luna (missed pen.)
76'
↕ M. Tissera / F. Suarez
77'
79'
L. Paredes / J. Franco ↕
79'
G. Patritti / G. Guiffrey ↕
⚽A. Luna · ast. J. Lazaro
80'
D. Sosa
82'
83'
F. Antonini
84'
I. Sabatini / L. Carrera ↕
↕ A. Luna / M. Fonseca
89'
90'+5
E. Munoz
L. Mosevich
90'+5
90'+6
A. Modica
J. Lazaro
90'
Pre-match prediction
58.2%
Instituto ←
27.01%
X
14.8%
Gimnasia
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Instituto Cordoba) 58.2% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Instituto
1.38
2.28
+0.9
Gimnasia
0.52
0.26
-0.26
Instituto Cordoba dominated by xG (2.28 vs 0.26). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 14 32
2 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 14 27
3 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 14 27
4 Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia 14 27
5 Lanus Lanus 14 24
6 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 14 21
7 Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 14 20
8 Independiente Independiente 14 19
9 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 14 18
10 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 14 17
11 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 14 14
12 Platense Platense 14 14
13 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 14 12
14 Central Cordoba de Santiago Central Cordoba de Santiago 14 10
15 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 14 9
Lineups
Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 3-4-2-1
29 M. Ledesma M. Ledesma G 6.50
6 F. Alarcón F. Alarcón D 7.30
26 L. Mosevich L. Mosevich D 7.30
30 J. Galván J. Galván 64' D 6.70
3 D. Sosa D. Sosa M 7.00
15 M. Gallardo M. Gallardo M 7.20
55 G. Abregú G. Abregú M 7.30
44 G. Cerato G. Cerato M 7.70
10 A. Luna A. Luna 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.30
20 J. Córdoba J. Córdoba 45' F 6.70
17 M. Tissera M. Tissera 77' F 6.60
Bench
32 A. Bravo A. Bravo D
22 A. Massaccesi A. Massaccesi 32' D 6.70
35 E. Sittaro E. Sittaro G
9 F. Suárez F. Suárez 19' F 6.20
19 G. Lodico G. Lodico M
2 H. De La Fuente H. De La Fuente D
8 J. Acevedo J. Acevedo M
21 J. Lázaro J. Lázaro 1 👟 51' M 7.30
23 J. Meli J. Meli D
11 M. Fonseca M. Fonseca 7' F
7 N. Guerra N. Guerra F
90 Pedro Baster Pedro Baster M
Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 5-3-2
23 C. Rigamonti C. Rigamonti G 8.20
3 M. Recalde M. Recalde D 6.20
16 G. Guiffrey G. Guiffrey 79' D 6.90
4 E. Muñoz E. Muñoz D 6.90
42 L. Carrera L. Carrera 84' D 6.50
22 J. Franco J. Franco 79' D 6.90
19 J. Ceballos J. Ceballos 69' M 6.30
21 F. Antonini F. Antonini M 6.60
26 F. Lencioni F. Lencioni M 6.90
7 L. Cingolani L. Cingolani 69' F 6.60
9 A. Módica A. Módica F 6.30
Bench
33 B. Andrada B. Andrada F
30 E. Fernández E. Fernández M
41 G. Patritti G. Patritti 17' M 6.30
17 I. Sabatini I. Sabatini 12' F 6.30
32 L. Paredes L. Paredes 17' D 6.60
31 L. Petruchi L. Petruchi G
5 N. Barboza N. Barboza M
10 N. Romano N. Romano 27' F 6.20
11 S. Rodríguez S. Rodríguez F
28 T. O'Connor T. O'Connor 27' M 6.30
15 U. Sánchez U. Sánchez M
35 V. Simoni V. Simoni F
Best on the pitch
C. Rigamonti
C. Rigamonti
G · Gimnasia
8.20
· 40 pass
G. Cerato
G. Cerato
M · Instituto
7.70
· 37 pass
F. Alarcón
F. Alarcón
D · Instituto
7.30
1 shots · 42 pass
L. Mosevich
L. Mosevich
D · Instituto
7.30
1 shots · 31 pass
G. Abregú
G. Abregú
M · Instituto
7.30
· 32 pass
A. Luna
A. Luna
F · Instituto
7.30
1 ⚽
7 shots · 31 pass
Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Ledesma G 96 6.50 — — — 24 14% — — —
F. Alarcón D 96 7.30 — — 1 42 34% 3 — —
L. Mosevich D 96 7.30 — — 1 31 28% 2 1 —
J. Galván D 64 6.70 — — — 31 19% — 1 —
D. Sosa M 96 7.00 — — — 23 18% 3 1 —
M. Gallardo M 96 7.20 — — — 38 29% 5 — —
G. Abregú M 96 7.30 — — — 32 29% 2 — —
G. Cerato M 96 7.70 — — — 37 20% 2 — —
A. Luna F 89 7.30 1 — 7 31 18% 2 — —
J. Córdoba F 45 6.70 — — — 8 4% 1 — —
M. Tissera F 77 6.60 — — 2 18 12% 1 — —
A. Massaccesi D 32 6.70 — — — 6 6% — — —
F. Suárez F 19 6.20 — — — 6 4% — — —
J. Lázaro M 51 7.30 — 1 1 8 6% 1 1 —
M. Fonseca F 7 — — — — 1 — — — —
Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
C. Rigamonti G 96 8.20 — — — 40 22% — — —
M. Recalde D 96 6.20 — — 1 36 20% — — —
G. Guiffrey D 79 6.90 — — — 39 33% 5 1 —
E. Muñoz D 96 6.90 — — — 56 46% — 1 —
L. Carrera D 84 6.50 — — 1 27 17% 6 1 —
J. Franco D 79 6.90 — — — 15 10% 1 — —
J. Ceballos M 69 6.30 — — 1 34 28% 3 — —
F. Antonini M 96 6.60 — — — 40 32% 4 1 —
F. Lencioni M 96 6.90 — — — 23 17% — — —
L. Cingolani F 69 6.60 — — — 18 16% — — —
A. Módica F 96 6.30 — — — 10 5% 2 — —
G. Patritti M 17 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
I. Sabatini F 12 6.30 — — — 4 2% — — —
L. Paredes D 17 6.60 — — — 11 9% 2 — —
N. Romano F 27 6.20 — — — 4 4% — — —
T. O'Connor M 27 6.30 — — — 14 10% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Instituto Cordoba vs Gimnasia M.?
The final score was Instituto Cordoba 1–0 Gimnasia M..
What did the model predict before Instituto Cordoba vs Gimnasia M.?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Instituto Cordoba win, 27% to a draw, and 14% to an Gimnasia M. win.