MLS
· Regular Season - 6
April 05, 2026 01:30
L. Messi
10'
L. Suarez
(ast. G. Berterame)
81'
6'
(ast. F. Torres)
Guilherme Biro
53'
J. Nelson
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter Miami a 44% win probability (draw 28%, Austin 26%). The final result was Inter Miami 2–2 Austin.
Match statistics
21
Total shots
8
8
Shots on target
3
3.50
Actual xG
1.68
1
Saves
6
66%
Possession
34%
7
Corners
3
15
Tackles
8
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
6'
ast. F. Torres ·
Guilherme Biro⚽
⚽L. Messi
10'
Maximiliano Falcón
43'
I. Fray
/ G. Lujan
46'
46'
J. Nelson
/
F. Torres
53'
J. Nelson⚽
N. Allen
/ G. Berterame
58'
D. Ayala
/ Y. Bright
58'
Yannick Bright
60'
68'
J. Bell
/
Guilherme Biro
68'
B. Sabovic
/
I. Sanchez
T. Segovia
/ L. Suarez
73'
76'
C. Fodrey
/
C. Ramirez
80'
Z. Kolmanic
/
J. Rosales
⚽L. Suarez
· ast. G. Berterame
81'
M. Silvetti
/ D. Pinter
87'
Pre-match prediction
44.74%
Inter
28.39%
X ←
26.87%
Austin
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.39%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.22
3.50
+1.28
0.83
1.68
+0.85
Inter Miami dominated by xG (3.50 vs 1.68).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
97
Dayne St. Clair
G
Dayne St. Clair
G
32
Noah Allen
58'
D
Noah Allen
58'
D
16
Micael
D
Micael
D
37
Maximiliano Falcón
D
Maximiliano Falcón
D
17
Ian Fray
45'
D
Ian Fray
45'
D
22
David Ayala
58'
M
David Ayala
58'
M
7
R. De Paul
M
R. De Paul
M
8
T. Segovia
73'
M
T. Segovia
73'
M
10
L. Messi
1 ⚽
M
L. Messi
1 ⚽
M
21
T. Allende
M
24
Mateo Silvetti
87'
F
Mateo Silvetti
87'
F
Bench
41
David Ruíz
M
David Ruíz
M
19
G. Berterame
1 👟
32'
F
G. Berterame
1 👟
32'
F
2
Gonzalo Luján
45'
D
Gonzalo Luján
45'
D
9
L. Suárez
1 ⚽
17'
F
L. Suárez
1 ⚽
17'
F
42
Y. Bright
32'
M
Y. Bright
32'
M
1
G
29
Guilherme Biro
1 ⚽
68'
D
Guilherme Biro
1 ⚽
68'
D
4
Brendan Hines-Ike
D
Brendan Hines-Ike
D
5
D
17
Jon Gallagher
D
Jon Gallagher
D
30
Joseph Rosales
80'
M
Joseph Rosales
80'
M
6
Ilie Sánchez
68'
M
Ilie Sánchez
68'
M
20
Nicolas Dubersarsky
M
Nicolas Dubersarsky
M
11
F. Torres
1 👟
45'
M
F. Torres
1 👟
45'
M
10
Myrto Uzuni
F
Myrto Uzuni
F
21
Christian Ramirez
76'
F
Christian Ramirez
76'
F
Bench
14
Besard Sabović
22'
M
Besard Sabović
22'
M
19
Calvin Fodrey
14'
M
Calvin Fodrey
14'
M
7
Jayden Nelson
1 ⚽
45'
F
Jayden Nelson
1 ⚽
45'
F
15
Jonathan Bell
22'
D
Jonathan Bell
22'
D
35
Mateja Đorđević
D
Mateja Đorđević
D
3
Mikkel Desler
D
Mikkel Desler
D
Best on the pitch
G · Austin
8.90
· 40 pass
L. Messi
M · Inter
8.60
1 ⚽
8 shots
· 40 pass
Micael
D · Inter
8.50
· 87 pass
R. De Paul
M · Inter
8.20
2 shots
· 88 pass
Jayden Nelson
F · Austin
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
Guilherme Biro
D · Austin
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 27 pass
Inter Miami — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dayne St. Clair | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Noah Allen | D | 58 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Micael | D | 90 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 87 | 80% | 4 | — | — |
| Maximiliano Falcón | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 83 | 77% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ian Fray | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| David Ayala | M | 58 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | — | — | — |
| R. De Paul | M | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | 2 | 88 | 77% | — | — | — |
| T. Segovia | M | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 42% | — | — | — |
| L. Messi | M | 90 | 8.60 | 1 | — | 8 | 40 | 28% | — | — | — |
| T. Allende | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Mateo Silvetti | F | 87 | 6.90 | — | — | 5 | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| G. Berterame | F | 32 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Luján | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Suárez | F | 17 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Y. Bright | M | 32 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 29% | 1 | 1 | — |
Austin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 28% | — | — | — | |
| Guilherme Biro | D | 68 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 27 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Brendan Hines-Ike | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 25% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | 1 | — | — | |
| Jon Gallagher | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Joseph Rosales | M | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Ilie Sánchez | M | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Nicolas Dubersarsky | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Torres | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Myrto Uzuni | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Christian Ramirez | F | 76 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Besard Sabović | M | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Calvin Fodrey | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Jayden Nelson | F | 45 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Jonathan Bell | D | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Inter Miami vs Austin?
The final score was Inter Miami 2–2 Austin.
What did the model predict before Inter Miami vs Austin?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Inter Miami win, 28% to a draw, and 26% to an Austin win.