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MLS · Regular Season - 22 August 30, 2026 01:30
Inter Miami
#2 · 45 pts
7 – 1
Final score
CF Montreal
#15 · 21 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Inter Miami
Casemiro (ast. T. Segovia) 20'
L. Petrasso 40' (og)
L. Messi 52'
L. Suarez (ast. L. Messi) 80'
L. Messi (ast. R. de Paul) 83'
A. Shaw 89'
L. Messi 90'+6
37' (ast. N. Streit) F. Herbers
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter Miami a 62% win probability (draw 18%, CF Montreal 18%). The final result was Inter Miami 7–1 CF Montreal. In 1 previous meetings, Inter Miami have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for CF Montreal.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
8
11
Shots on target
5
3.03
Actual xG
0.86
3
Saves
5
57%
Possession
43%
6
Corners
6
21
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
I. Fray
11'
⚽Casemiro · ast. T. Segovia
20'
35'
F. Herbers
37'
ast. N. Streit · F. Herbers⚽
39'
N. Streit
⚽L. Petrasso (og)
40'
⚽L. Messi
52'
59'
D. Pereira / S. Piette ↕
59'
D. Sealy / G. Synchuk ↕
60'
A. Sanchez / F. Herbers ↕
↕ T. Segovia / A. Shaw
76'
⚽L. Suarez · ast. L. Messi
80'
⚽L. Messi · ast. R. de Paul
83'
84'
B. Craig / J. Neal ↕
84'
W. Carmona / N. Streit ↕
↕ I. Fray / F. Mura
86'
↕ N. Allen / C. Abadia-Reda
86'
⚽A. Shaw
89'
⚽L. Messi
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
62.99%
Inter ←
18.32%
X
18.69%
CF
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Inter Miami) 62.99% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Inter
2.30
3.03
+0.73
CF
1.18
0.86
-0.32
Inter Miami dominated by xG (3.03 vs 0.86). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 25 54
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 25 45
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 24 40
4 Charlotte Charlotte 25 40
5 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 23 39
6 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 25 34
7 New York City FC New York City FC 25 32
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 24 32
9 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 24 30
10 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 25 30
11 DC United DC United 24 29
12 Toronto FC Toronto FC 25 29
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 25 23
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 25 23
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 25 21
Lineups
Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-3-3
97 D. St. Clair D. St. Clair G 7.70
32 N. Allen N. Allen 86' D 6.90
5 Casemiro Casemiro 1 ⚽ D 8.90
37 M. Falcón M. Falcón D 7.50
17 I. Fray I. Fray 86' D 7.60
8 T. Segovia T. Segovia 1 👟 76' M 6.60
42 Y. Bright Y. Bright M 7.50
7 R. De Paul R. De Paul 1 👟 M 7.20
19 G. Berterame G. Berterame F 7.60
9 L. Suárez L. Suárez 1 ⚽ F 7.90
10 L. Messi L. Messi 3 ⚽ 1 👟 F 10.00
Bench
88 A. Shaw A. Shaw 1 ⚽ 21' M 7.70
56 Daniel Pinter Daniel Pinter F
22 D. Ayala D. Ayala M
76 Ezequiel Abadia-Reda Ezequiel Abadia-Reda 11' D 6.90
15 F. Caicedo F. Caicedo D
4 F. Mura F. Mura 11' D 6.90
54 L. Delinois L. Delinois F
59 P. Plambeck P. Plambeck M
34 R. Ríos Novo R. Ríos Novo G
CF Montreal CF Montreal 4-3-3
31 T. Gillier T. Gillier G 6.90
13 L. Petrasso L. Petrasso 1 ⚽ D 4.60
4 B. Vera B. Vera D 4.90
2 J. Neal J. Neal 84' D 5.90
27 D. Bugaj D. Bugaj D 5.00
21 F. Herbers F. Herbers 1 ⚽ 60' M 7.90
6 S. Piette S. Piette 59' M 6.60
8 M. Longstaff M. Longstaff M 6.70
23 N. Streit N. Streit 1 👟 84' F 6.20
9 P. Owusu P. Owusu F 6.00
18 H. Synchuk H. Synchuk 59' F 6.90
Bench
10 A. Sánchez A. Sánchez 37' F 6.30
5 B. Craig B. Craig 13' D 6.20
7 Daniel Pereira Daniel Pereira 38' M 6.50
14 D. Ríos D. Ríos F
17 D. Sealy D. Sealy 38' M 6.20
29 O. Escobar O. Escobar F
1 S. Breza S. Breza G
22 V. Loturi V. Loturi M
16 W. Carmona W. Carmona 13' M 6.50
Best on the pitch
L. Messi
L. Messi
F · Inter
10.00
3 ⚽ 1 👟
6 shots · 40 pass
Casemiro
Casemiro
D · Inter
8.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 81 pass
F. Herbers
F. Herbers
M · CF
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 31 pass
L. Suárez
L. Suárez
F · Inter
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 57 pass
A. Shaw
A. Shaw
M · Inter
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 7 pass
D. St. Clair
D. St. Clair
G · Inter
7.70
· 29 pass
Inter Miami Inter Miami — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. St. Clair G 97 7.70 — — — 29 25% 2 — —
N. Allen D 86 6.90 — — 1 35 32% 2 — —
Casemiro D 97 8.90 1 — 2 81 77% 2 — —
M. Falcón D 97 7.50 — — — 67 65% 3 — —
I. Fray D 86 7.60 — — — 38 36% 5 1 —
T. Segovia M 76 6.60 — 1 — 46 42% — — —
Y. Bright M 97 7.50 — — — 83 78% 2 — —
R. De Paul M 97 7.20 — 1 — 68 57% — — —
G. Berterame F 97 7.60 — — 2 13 10% 2 — —
L. Suárez F 97 7.90 1 — 3 57 47% 1 — —
L. Messi F 97 10.00 3 1 6 40 36% — — —
A. Shaw M 21 7.70 1 — 1 7 7% — — —
Ezequiel Abadia-Reda D 11 6.90 — — — 4 4% 2 — —
F. Mura D 11 6.90 — — — 4 3% — — —
CF Montreal CF Montreal — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Gillier G 97 6.90 — — — 17 16% — — —
L. Petrasso D 97 4.60 1 — — 49 45% — — —
B. Vera D 97 4.90 — — — 38 35% 1 — —
J. Neal D 84 5.90 — — — 47 45% 1 — —
D. Bugaj D 97 5.00 — — — 35 27% 1 — —
F. Herbers M 60 7.90 1 — 2 31 27% 2 1 —
S. Piette M 59 6.60 — — — 38 36% 2 — —
M. Longstaff M 97 6.70 — — — 65 60% 1 — —
N. Streit F 84 6.20 — 1 2 21 17% — 1 —
P. Owusu F 97 6.00 — — 2 23 15% — — —
H. Synchuk F 59 6.90 — — 1 15 14% 1 — —
A. Sánchez F 37 6.30 — — — 14 12% — — —
B. Craig D 13 6.20 — — — 6 6% — — —
Daniel Pereira M 38 6.50 — — 1 18 15% 1 — —
D. Sealy M 38 6.20 — — — 12 10% — — —
W. Carmona M 13 6.50 — — — 3 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Inter Miami vs CF Montreal?
The final score was Inter Miami 7–1 CF Montreal.
What did the model predict before Inter Miami vs CF Montreal?
The model assigned 62% probability to a Inter Miami win, 18% to a draw, and 18% to an CF Montreal win.