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MLS · Regular Season - 22 August 30, 2026 01:30
Inter Miami
#3 · 55 pts
7 – 1
Final score
CF Montreal
#15 · 25 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Inter Miami
Casemiro (ast. T. Segovia) 20'
L. Petrasso 40' (og)
L. Messi 52'
L. Suarez (ast. L. Messi) 80'
L. Messi (ast. R. de Paul) 83'
A. Shaw 89'
L. Messi 90'+6
37' (ast. N. Streit) F. Herbers
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter Miami a 62% win probability (draw 18%, CF Montreal 18%). The final result was Inter Miami 7–1 CF Montreal. In 1 previous meetings, Inter Miami have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for CF Montreal.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
8
11
Shots on target
5
3.03
Actual xG
0.86
3
Saves
5
57%
Possession
43%
6
Corners
6
21
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
I. Fray
11'
⚽Casemiro · ast. T. Segovia
20'
35'
F. Herbers
37'
ast. N. Streit · F. Herbers⚽
39'
N. Streit
⚽L. Petrasso (og)
40'
⚽L. Messi
52'
59'
D. Pereira / S. Piette ↕
59'
D. Sealy / G. Synchuk ↕
60'
A. Sanchez / F. Herbers ↕
↕ T. Segovia / A. Shaw
76'
⚽L. Suarez · ast. L. Messi
80'
⚽L. Messi · ast. R. de Paul
83'
84'
B. Craig / J. Neal ↕
84'
W. Carmona / N. Streit ↕
↕ I. Fray / F. Mura
86'
↕ N. Allen / C. Abadia-Reda
86'
⚽A. Shaw
89'
⚽L. Messi
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
62.99%
Inter ←
18.32%
X
18.69%
CF
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Inter Miami) 62.99% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Inter
2.30
3.03
+0.73
CF
1.18
0.86
-0.32
Inter Miami dominated by xG (3.03 vs 0.86). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 31 70
2 New England Revolution New England Revolution 31 55
3 Inter Miami Inter Miami 31 55
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 31 51
5 Charlotte Charlotte 31 47
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 31 46
7 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 31 42
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 31 42
9 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 31 39
10 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 31 38
11 Toronto FC Toronto FC 31 36
12 New York City FC New York City FC 31 35
13 DC United DC United 31 33
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 31 30
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 31 25
Lineups
Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-3-3
97 D. St. Clair D. St. Clair G 7.70
32 N. Allen N. Allen 86' D 6.90
5 Casemiro Casemiro 1 ⚽ D 8.90
37 M. Falcón M. Falcón D 7.50
17 I. Fray I. Fray 86' D 7.60
8 T. Segovia T. Segovia 1 👟 76' M 6.60
42 Y. Bright Y. Bright M 7.50
7 R. De Paul R. De Paul 1 👟 M 7.20
19 G. Berterame G. Berterame F 7.60
9 L. Suárez L. Suárez 1 ⚽ F 7.90
10 L. Messi L. Messi 3 ⚽ 1 👟 F 10.00
Bench
88 A. Shaw A. Shaw 1 ⚽ 21' M 7.70
56 Daniel Pinter Daniel Pinter F
22 D. Ayala D. Ayala M
76 Ezequiel Abadia-Reda Ezequiel Abadia-Reda 11' D 6.90
15 F. Caicedo F. Caicedo D
4 F. Mura F. Mura 11' D 6.90
54 L. Delinois L. Delinois F
59 P. Plambeck P. Plambeck M
34 R. Ríos Novo R. Ríos Novo G
CF Montreal CF Montreal 4-3-3
31 T. Gillier T. Gillier G 6.90
13 L. Petrasso L. Petrasso 1 ⚽ D 4.60
4 B. Vera B. Vera D 4.90
2 J. Neal J. Neal 84' D 5.90
27 D. Bugaj D. Bugaj D 5.00
21 F. Herbers F. Herbers 1 ⚽ 60' M 7.90
6 S. Piette S. Piette 59' M 6.60
8 M. Longstaff M. Longstaff M 6.70
23 N. Streit N. Streit 1 👟 84' F 6.20
9 P. Owusu P. Owusu F 6.00
18 H. Synchuk H. Synchuk 59' F 6.90
Bench
10 A. Sánchez A. Sánchez 37' F 6.30
5 B. Craig B. Craig 13' D 6.20
7 D. Pereira D. Pereira 38' M 6.50
14 D. Ríos D. Ríos F
17 D. Sealy D. Sealy 38' M 6.20
29 O. Escobar O. Escobar F
1 S. Breza S. Breza G
22 V. Loturi V. Loturi M
16 W. Carmona W. Carmona 13' M 6.50
Best on the pitch
L. Messi
L. Messi
F · Inter
10.00
3 ⚽ 1 👟
6 shots · 40 pass
Casemiro
Casemiro
D · Inter
8.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 81 pass
F. Herbers
F. Herbers
M · CF
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 31 pass
L. Suárez
L. Suárez
F · Inter
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 57 pass
A. Shaw
A. Shaw
M · Inter
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 7 pass
D. St. Clair
D. St. Clair
G · Inter
7.70
· 29 pass
Inter Miami Inter Miami — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. St. Clair G 97 7.70 — — — 29 25% 2 — —
N. Allen D 86 6.90 — — 1 35 32% 2 — —
Casemiro D 97 8.90 1 — 2 81 77% 2 — —
M. Falcón D 97 7.50 — — — 67 65% 3 — —
I. Fray D 86 7.60 — — — 38 36% 5 1 —
T. Segovia M 76 6.60 — 1 — 46 42% — — —
Y. Bright M 97 7.50 — — — 83 78% 2 — —
R. De Paul M 97 7.20 — 1 — 68 57% — — —
G. Berterame F 97 7.60 — — 2 13 10% 2 — —
L. Suárez F 97 7.90 1 — 3 57 47% 1 — —
L. Messi F 97 10.00 3 1 6 40 36% — — —
A. Shaw M 21 7.70 1 — 1 7 7% — — —
Ezequiel Abadia-Reda D 11 6.90 — — — 4 4% 2 — —
F. Mura D 11 6.90 — — — 4 3% — — —
CF Montreal CF Montreal — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Gillier G 97 6.90 — — — 17 16% — — —
L. Petrasso D 97 4.60 1 — — 49 45% — — —
B. Vera D 97 4.90 — — — 38 35% 1 — —
J. Neal D 84 5.90 — — — 47 45% 1 — —
D. Bugaj D 97 5.00 — — — 35 27% 1 — —
F. Herbers M 60 7.90 1 — 2 31 27% 2 1 —
S. Piette M 59 6.60 — — — 38 36% 2 — —
M. Longstaff M 97 6.70 — — — 65 60% 1 — —
N. Streit F 84 6.20 — 1 2 21 17% — 1 —
P. Owusu F 97 6.00 — — 2 23 15% — — —
H. Synchuk F 59 6.90 — — 1 15 14% 1 — —
A. Sánchez F 37 6.30 — — — 14 12% — — —
B. Craig D 13 6.20 — — — 6 6% — — —
D. Pereira M 38 6.50 — — 1 18 15% 1 — —
D. Sealy M 38 6.20 — — — 12 10% — — —
W. Carmona M 13 6.50 — — — 3 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Inter Miami vs CF Montreal?
The final score was Inter Miami 7–1 CF Montreal.
What did the model predict before Inter Miami vs CF Montreal?
The model assigned 62% probability to a Inter Miami win, 18% to a draw, and 18% to an CF Montreal win.