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MLS · Regular Season - 34 November 07, 2026 22:00
Inter Miami
#2 · 60 pts
3 – 3
Final score
Charlotte
#5 · 54 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Inter Miami, result Draw
Ian Fray 14'
Luis Suárez (ast. Germán Berterame) 33'
Rodrigo De Paul (ast. Telasco Segovia) 42'
50' (ast. Tyger Smalls) Liel Abada
55' (ast. Pep Biel) Liel Abada
90' Rodolfo Aloko
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter Miami a 67% win probability (draw 15%, Charlotte 16%). The final result was Inter Miami 3–3 Charlotte. In 1 previous meetings, Inter Miami have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Charlotte.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
11
5
Shots on target
5
2.14
Actual xG
1.80
2
Saves
2
60%
Possession
40%
6
Corners
2
10
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
4'
Telasco Segovia
9'
⚽Ian Fray
14'
↕ Sergio Reguilón / Gonzalo Lujan
24'
⚽Luis Suárez · ast. Germán Berterame
33'
⚽Rodrigo De Paul · ast. Telasco Segovia
42'
45'
Tyger Smalls / Idan Toklomati Jorno ↕
↕ Ian Fray / Facundo Mura
45'
50'
ast. Tyger Smalls · Liel Abada⚽
↕ David Ayala / Yannick Bright
50'
55'
ast. Pep Biel · Liel Abada⚽
↕ Rodrigo De Paul / Matías Galarza
59'
↕ Germán Berterame / Riquelme Fillipi
59'
69'
Abdoulaye Doucouré / Ashley Westwood ↕
69'
David Schnegg / Harry Toffolo ↕
69'
Rodolfo Aloko / Djibril Diani ↕
83'
Brandt Bronico / Luca De La Torre ↕
88'
David Schnegg
90'
Rodolfo Aloko⚽
Pre-match prediction
67.48%
Inter
15.8%
X ←
16.72%
Charlotte
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 15.8% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Inter
3.38
2.14
-1.24
Charlotte
1.73
1.80
+0.07
Inter Miami dominated by xG (2.14 vs 1.80). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 34 77
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 34 60
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 34 58
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 34 55
5 Charlotte Charlotte 34 54
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 34 50
7 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 34 47
8 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 34 46
9 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 34 46
10 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 34 42
11 New York City FC New York City FC 34 42
12 Toronto FC Toronto FC 34 39
13 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 34 33
14 DC United DC United 34 33
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 34 26
Lineups
Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-3-3
97 D. St. Clair D. St. Clair G 6.06
3 Reguilón Reguilón 24' D 5.94
16 Micael Micael D 6.30
5 Casemiro Casemiro D 6.63
17 I. Fray I. Fray 1 ⚽ 45' D 6.76
8 T. Segovia T. Segovia 1 👟 M 6.96
22 D. Ayala D. Ayala 50' M 6.46
7 R. De Paul R. De Paul 1 ⚽ 59' M 8.10
19 G. Berterame G. Berterame 1 👟 59' F 7.43
9 L. Suárez L. Suárez 1 ⚽ F 8.20
10 L. Messi L. Messi F 6.70
Bench
88 A. Shaw A. Shaw M 0.00
56 Daniel Pinter Daniel Pinter F 0.00
4 F. Mura F. Mura 45' D 6.21
2 G. Luján G. Luján 66' D 6.30
37 M. Falcón M. Falcón D 0.00
80 M. Galarza M. Galarza 31' M 6.24
11 Riquelme Fillipi Riquelme Fillipi 31' F 6.97
34 R. Ríos Novo R. Ríos Novo G 0.00
42 Y. Bright Y. Bright 40' M 6.51
Charlotte Charlotte 4-2-3-1
1 K. Kahlina K. Kahlina G 5.89
15 H. Toffolo H. Toffolo 69' D 6.29
22 H. Kessler H. Kessler D 6.28
44 M. Agyemang M. Agyemang D 6.69
14 N. Byrne N. Byrne D 6.39
8 A. Westwood A. Westwood 69' M 6.53
28 D. Diani D. Diani 69' M 6.40
17 L. de la Torre L. de la Torre 83' M 6.25
16 Pep Biel Pep Biel 1 👟 M 6.54
11 L. Abada L. Abada 2 ⚽ M 8.39
9 I. Toklomati Giorno I. Toklomati Giorno 45' F 6.05
Bench
6 A. Doucouré A. Doucouré 21' M 5.94
4 A. Privett A. Privett D 0.00
13 B. Bronico B. Bronico 7' M 5.50
20 B. Coulibaly B. Coulibaly M 0.00
23 D. Schnegg D. Schnegg 21' D 5.63
71 N. Richmond N. Richmond F 0.00
37 R. Aloko R. Aloko 1 ⚽ 21' F 8.16
21 T. Miller T. Miller G 0.00
25 Tyger Smalls Tyger Smalls 1 👟 45' F 6.75
Best on the pitch
L. Abada
L. Abada
M · Charlotte
8.39
2 ⚽
2 shots · 23 pass
L. Suárez
L. Suárez
F · Inter
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 37 pass
R. Aloko
R. Aloko
F · Charlotte
8.16
1 ⚽
2 shots · 8 pass
R. De Paul
R. De Paul
M · Inter
8.10
1 ⚽
1 shots · 77 pass
G. Berterame
G. Berterame
F · Inter
7.43
1 👟
1 shots · 14 pass
Riquelme Fillipi
Riquelme Fillipi
F · Inter
6.97
3 shots · 13 pass
Inter Miami Inter Miami — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. St. Clair G 90 6.06 — — 0 30 24% 0 — —
Reguilón D 24 5.94 — — 0 9 9% 1 — —
Micael D 90 6.30 — — 0 70 66% 1 — —
Casemiro D 90 6.63 — — 1 98 95% 2 — —
I. Fray D 45 6.76 1 — 1 22 18% 0 — —
T. Segovia M 90 6.96 — 1 0 69 65% 0 1 —
D. Ayala M 50 6.46 — — 0 35 34% 3 — —
R. De Paul M 59 8.10 1 — 1 77 70% 1 — —
G. Berterame F 59 7.43 — 1 1 14 13% 0 — —
L. Suárez F 90 8.20 1 — 2 37 31% 0 — —
L. Messi F 90 6.70 — — 4 54 44% 1 — —
F. Mura D 45 6.21 — — 1 33 31% 0 — —
G. Luján D 66 6.30 — — 0 32 31% 0 — —
M. Galarza M 31 6.24 — — 0 22 20% 0 — —
Riquelme Fillipi F 31 6.97 — — 3 13 11% 0 — —
Y. Bright M 40 6.51 — — 1 54 50% 1 — —
Charlotte Charlotte — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Kahlina G 90 5.89 — — 0 28 26% 0 — —
H. Toffolo D 69 6.29 — — 0 47 39% 1 — —
H. Kessler D 90 6.28 — — 0 68 65% 0 — —
M. Agyemang D 90 6.69 — — 2 40 38% 2 — —
N. Byrne D 90 6.39 — — 0 35 30% 1 — —
A. Westwood M 69 6.53 — — 0 41 38% 0 — —
D. Diani M 69 6.40 — — 0 49 42% 2 — —
L. de la Torre M 83 6.25 — — 1 35 32% 1 — —
Pep Biel M 90 6.54 — 1 2 27 20% 1 — —
L. Abada M 90 8.39 2 — 2 23 20% 0 — —
I. Toklomati Giorno F 45 6.05 — — 1 4 4% 0 — —
A. Doucouré M 21 5.94 — — 0 14 13% 0 — —
B. Bronico M 7 5.50 — — 0 10 9% 1 — —
D. Schnegg D 21 5.63 — — 0 12 10% 1 1 —
R. Aloko F 21 8.16 1 — 2 8 5% 1 — —
Tyger Smalls F 45 6.75 — 1 1 4 3% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Inter Miami vs Charlotte?
The final score was Inter Miami 3–3 Charlotte.
What did the model predict before Inter Miami vs Charlotte?
The model assigned 67% probability to a Inter Miami win, 15% to a draw, and 16% to an Charlotte win.