MLS
· Regular Season - 16
July 23, 2026 01:30
✓Model correct — prediction Inter Miami
L. Suarez
27'
(pen.)
L. Suarez
(ast. G. Berterame)
51'
P. Plambeck
87'
(og)
18'
R. Rios
67'
(ast. M. Haile-Selassie)
P. Dithejane
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter Miami a 63% win probability (draw 15%, Chicago Fire 20%). The final result was Inter Miami 3–2 Chicago Fire.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
13
7
Shots on target
4
2.11
Actual xG
1.90
3
Saves
4
53%
Possession
47%
8
Corners
4
13
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
18'
(og)
R. Rios⚽
⚽L. Suarez
(pen.)
27'
⚽L. Suarez
· ast. G. Berterame
51'
62'
R. Lod
/
R. Lewandowski
63'
P. Dithejane
/
P. Zinckernagel
63'
M. Pineda
/
D. D'Avilla
64'
J. Elliott
67'
ast. M. Haile-Selassie ·
P. Dithejane⚽
D. Ruiz
/ P. Plambeck
69'
M. Silvetti
/ D. Pinter
74'
I. Fray
/ N. Allen
85'
⚽P. Plambeck
87'
88'
J. Shokalook
/
M. Haile-Selassie
88'
V. Radojevic
/
A. Gutman
S. Reguilon
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
63.79%
Inter ←
15.46%
X
20.75%
Chicago
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Inter Miami)
63.79%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.74
2.11
-1.63
2.07
1.90
-0.17
xG dominance was balanced (2.11 – 1.90).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
34
Rocco Ríos Novo
1 ⚽
G
Rocco Ríos Novo
1 ⚽
G
3
Sergio Reguilón
D
Sergio Reguilón
D
16
Micael
D
Micael
D
17
Ian Fray
85'
D
Ian Fray
85'
D
4
Facundo Mura
D
Facundo Mura
D
24
Mateo Silvetti
74'
M
Mateo Silvetti
74'
M
8
T. Segovia
M
T. Segovia
M
42
Y. Bright
M
Y. Bright
M
41
David Ruíz
69'
M
David Ruíz
69'
M
9
L. Suárez
2 ⚽
F
L. Suárez
2 ⚽
F
19
G. Berterame
1 👟
F
G. Berterame
1 👟
F
Bench
56
Daniel Pinter
16'
F
Daniel Pinter
16'
F
70
Daniel Sumalla
D
Daniel Sumalla
D
97
Dayne St. Clair
G
Dayne St. Clair
G
52
Diego Rey
F
Diego Rey
F
76
Ezequiel Abadia-Reda
D
Ezequiel Abadia-Reda
D
55
Ian Urkidi
M
Ian Urkidi
M
32
Noah Allen
14'
D
Noah Allen
14'
D
59
Preston Plambeck
1 ⚽
21'
M
Preston Plambeck
1 ⚽
21'
M
1
Chris Brady
G
Chris Brady
G
15
Andrew Gutman
88'
D
Andrew Gutman
88'
D
3
Jack Elliott
D
Jack Elliott
D
16
Joel Waterman
D
Joel Waterman
D
24
J. Dean
D
J. Dean
D
19
Jonathan Bamba
M
Jonathan Bamba
M
6
Anton Salétros
M
Anton Salétros
M
42
Dje Tah D'Avilla
63'
M
Dje Tah D'Avilla
63'
M
11
P. Zinckernagel
63'
M
P. Zinckernagel
63'
M
9
Robert Lewandowski
62'
F
Robert Lewandowski
62'
F
7
Maren Haile-Selassie
1 👟
88'
F
Maren Haile-Selassie
1 👟
88'
F
Bench
20
Jason Shokalook
11'
F
Jason Shokalook
11'
F
44
Josh Cohen
G
Josh Cohen
G
2
Leonardo Barroso
D
Leonardo Barroso
D
22
Mauricio Pineda
27'
D
Mauricio Pineda
27'
D
12
Puso Dithejane
1 ⚽
27'
F
Puso Dithejane
1 ⚽
27'
F
17
Robin Lod
28'
M
Robin Lod
28'
M
5
Samuel Rogers
D
Samuel Rogers
D
35
Sergio Oregel
M
Sergio Oregel
M
14
Viktor Radojević
11'
D
Viktor Radojević
11'
D
Best on the pitch
L. Suárez
F · Inter
8.60
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 42 pass
Puso Dithejane
F · Chicago
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 9 pass
David Ruíz
M · Inter
7.50
· 22 pass
P. Zinckernagel
M · Chicago
7.30
1 shots
· 19 pass
T. Segovia
M · Inter
7.30
1 shots
· 66 pass
G. Berterame
F · Inter
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 16 pass
Inter Miami — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rocco Ríos Novo | G | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | — | 32 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Sergio Reguilón | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 3 | 57 | 50% | — | 1 | — |
| Micael | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 69 | 65% | 3 | — | — |
| Ian Fray | D | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 47% | 3 | — | — |
| Facundo Mura | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Mateo Silvetti | M | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Segovia | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Bright | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| David Ruíz | M | 69 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Suárez | F | 90 | 8.60 | 2 | — | 4 | 42 | 32% | — | — | — |
| G. Berterame | F | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Pinter | F | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Noah Allen | D | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Preston Plambeck | M | 21 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
Chicago Fire — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Brady | G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Andrew Gutman | D | 88 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Jack Elliott | D | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 56% | — | 1 | — |
| Joel Waterman | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 53 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Dean | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Jonathan Bamba | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Anton Salétros | M | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | 2 | 63 | 50% | — | — | — |
| Dje Tah D'Avilla | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Zinckernagel | M | 63 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | 4 | — | — |
| Robert Lewandowski | F | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Maren Haile-Selassie | F | 88 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 29 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Jason Shokalook | F | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Mauricio Pineda | D | 27 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Puso Dithejane | F | 27 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Robin Lod | M | 28 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Viktor Radojević | D | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire?
The final score was Inter Miami 3–2 Chicago Fire.
What did the model predict before Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Inter Miami win, 15% to a draw, and 20% to an Chicago Fire win.