Inter Miami 3–2 Chicago Fire — pre-match prediction — MLS — July 23, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 16 July 23, 2026 01:30

Inter Miami

#2 · 59 pts

3 – 2

Final score

Chicago Fire

#4 · 55 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Inter Miami

L. Suarez 27' (pen.)

L. Suarez (ast. G. Berterame) 51'

P. Plambeck 87'

(og) 18' R. Rios

67' (ast. M. Haile-Selassie) P. Dithejane

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter Miami a 63% win probability (draw 15%, Chicago Fire 20%). The final result was Inter Miami 3–2 Chicago Fire. In 1 previous meetings, Inter Miami have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Chicago Fire.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.11

Actual xG

1.90

Saves

53%

Possession

47%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

18'

(og) R. Rios⚽

⚽L. Suarez (pen.)

27'

⚽L. Suarez · ast. G. Berterame

51'

62'

R. Lod / R. Lewandowski ↕

63'

P. Dithejane / P. Zinckernagel ↕

63'

M. Pineda / D. D'Avilla ↕

64'

J. Elliott

67'

ast. M. Haile-Selassie · P. Dithejane⚽

↕ D. Ruiz / P. Plambeck

69'

↕ M. Silvetti / D. Pinter

74'

↕ I. Fray / N. Allen

85'

⚽P. Plambeck

87'

88'

J. Shokalook / M. Haile-Selassie ↕

88'

V. Radojevic / A. Gutman ↕

S. Reguilon

90'+7

Pre-match prediction

63.79%

Inter ←

15.46%

20.75%

Chicago

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Inter Miami) 63.79% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Inter

3.74

2.11

-1.63

Chicago

2.07

1.90

-0.17

xG dominance was balanced (2.11 – 1.90). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Nashville SC	33	74
2	Inter Miami	33	59
3	New England Revolution	33	58
4	Chicago Fire	33	55
5	Charlotte	33	53
6	Philadelphia Union	33	47
7	FC Cincinnati	33	46
8	Columbus Crew	33	44
9	Orlando City SC	33	43
10	New York Red Bulls	33	39
11	New York City FC	33	39
12	Toronto FC	33	39
13	Atlanta United FC	33	33
14	DC United	33	33
15	CF Montreal	33	26

Lineups

Inter Miami 4-4-2

R. Ríos Novo 1 ⚽ G 6.90

Reguilón D 5.90

Micael D 7.20

I. Fray 85' D 6.90

F. Mura D 6.20

Mateo Silvetti 74' M 6.70

T. Segovia M 7.30

Y. Bright M 6.90

D. Ruíz 69' M 7.50

L. Suárez 2 ⚽ F 8.60

G. Berterame 1 👟 F 7.30

Bench

Daniel Pinter 16' F 6.50

Diego Rey F

D. St. Clair G

D. Sumalla D

Ezequiel Abadia-Reda D

Ian Urkidi M

N. Allen 14' D 6.60

P. Plambeck 1 ⚽ 21' M 7.20

Chicago Fire 4-4-2

C. Brady G 6.50

A. Gutman 88' D 6.20

J. Elliott D 5.60

J. Waterman D 6.20

J. Dean D 5.90

J. Bamba M 6.50

A. Salétros M 5.60

T. D'Avilla 63' M 6.90

P. Zinckernagel 63' M 7.30

R. Lewandowski 62' F 6.30

M. Haile-Selassie 1 👟 88' F 6.90

Bench

Jason Shokalook 11' F 6.90

J. Cohen G

Leonardo Barroso D

M. Pineda 27' D 6.20

P. Dithejane 1 ⚽ 27' F 8.00

R. Lod 28' M 5.90

S. Oregel M

S. Rogers D

V. Radojević 11' D 6.60

Best on the pitch

L. Suárez

F · Inter

8.60

2 ⚽

4 shots · 42 pass

P. Dithejane

F · Chicago

8.00

1 ⚽

2 shots · 9 pass

D. Ruíz

M · Inter

7.50

· 22 pass

P. Zinckernagel

M · Chicago

7.30

1 shots · 19 pass

T. Segovia

M · Inter

7.30

1 shots · 66 pass

G. Berterame

F · Inter

7.30

1 👟

1 shots · 16 pass

Inter Miami — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
R. Ríos Novo	G	90	6.90	1	—	—	32	25%	—	—	—
Reguilón	D	90	5.90	—	—	3	57	50%	—	1	—
Micael	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	69	65%	3	—	—
I. Fray	D	85	6.90	—	—	—	49	47%	3	—	—
F. Mura	D	90	6.20	—	—	1	46	40%	1	—	—
Mateo Silvetti	M	74	6.70	—	—	1	33	20%	1	—	—
T. Segovia	M	90	7.30	—	—	1	66	62%	1	—	—
Y. Bright	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	55	49%	2	—	—
D. Ruíz	M	69	7.50	—	—	—	22	20%	2	—	—
L. Suárez	F	90	8.60	2	—	4	42	32%	—	—	—
G. Berterame	F	90	7.30	—	1	1	16	13%	—	—	—
Daniel Pinter	F	16	6.50	—	—	—	8	3%	—	—	—
N. Allen	D	14	6.60	—	—	—	5	5%	—	—	—
P. Plambeck	M	21	7.20	1	—	1	7	5%	—	—	—

Chicago Fire — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
C. Brady	G	90	6.50	—	—	—	23	19%	—	—	—
A. Gutman	D	88	6.20	—	—	1	28	22%	2	—	—
J. Elliott	D	90	5.60	—	—	1	64	56%	—	1	—
J. Waterman	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	53	45%	1	—	—
J. Dean	D	90	5.90	—	—	—	35	33%	1	—	—
J. Bamba	M	90	6.50	—	—	1	27	23%	2	—	—
A. Salétros	M	90	5.60	—	—	2	63	50%	—	—	—
T. D'Avilla	M	63	6.90	—	—	1	58	49%	1	—	—
P. Zinckernagel	M	63	7.30	—	—	1	19	14%	4	—	—
R. Lewandowski	F	62	6.30	—	—	—	17	16%	—	—	—
M. Haile-Selassie	F	88	6.90	—	1	1	29	24%	1	—	—
Jason Shokalook	F	11	6.90	—	—	1	2	2%	—	—	—
M. Pineda	D	27	6.20	—	—	—	14	12%	—	—	—
P. Dithejane	F	27	8.00	1	—	2	9	7%	—	—	—
R. Lod	M	28	5.90	—	—	2	8	5%	1	—	—
V. Radojević	D	11	6.60	—	—	—	5	5%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire?

The final score was Inter Miami 3–2 Chicago Fire.

What did the model predict before Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire?

The model assigned 63% probability to a Inter Miami win, 15% to a draw, and 20% to an Chicago Fire win.