Skip to main content
← MLS
MLS · Regular Season - 28 October 11, 2026 01:30
Inter Miami
#2 · 55 pts
4 – 0
Final score
DC United
#13 · 33 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Inter Miami
Luis Suárez (ast. Germán Berterame) 3'
Luis Suárez (ast. Germán Berterame) 39'
Lionel Messi (ast. Luis Suárez) 47'
Lionel Messi (ast. Rodrigo De Paul) 60'
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter Miami a 77% win probability (draw 11%, DC United 11%). The final result was Inter Miami 4–0 DC United. In 1 previous meetings, Inter Miami have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for DC United.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
15
9
Shots on target
2
2.57
Actual xG
0.60
2
Saves
5
62%
Possession
38%
4
Corners
2
10
Tackles
10
Match Events
⚽Luis Suárez · ast. Germán Berterame
3'
⚽Luis Suárez · ast. Germán Berterame
39'
⚽Lionel Messi · ast. Luis Suárez
47'
56'
Nathan Ordaz / Jackson Hopkins ↕
56'
Matti Peltola / Nikola Marković ↕
⚽Lionel Messi · ast. Rodrigo De Paul
60'
↕ Luis Suárez / Riquelme Fillipi
61'
68'
Silvan Hefti / Hosei Kijima ↕
68'
Brandon Servania / Andre Dozzell ↕
↕ David Ayala / Telasco Segovia
70'
↕ Micael dos Santos Silva / Maximiliano Falcon
70'
↕ Sergio Reguilón / Ian Fray
78'
↕ Rodrigo De Paul / Alexander Shaw
78'
80'
Jared Stroud / João Gabriel Martins Peglow ↕
Pre-match prediction
77.24%
Inter ←
11.68%
X
11.08%
DC
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Inter Miami) 77.24% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Inter
3.32
2.57
-0.75
DC
1.04
0.60
-0.44
Inter Miami dominated by xG (2.57 vs 0.60). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 30 67
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 30 55
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 30 52
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 30 48
5 Charlotte Charlotte 30 47
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 30 46
7 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 30 41
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 30 39
9 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 30 36
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 30 36
11 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 30 35
12 New York City FC New York City FC 30 34
13 DC United DC United 30 33
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 30 30
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 30 25
Lineups
Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-3-3
97 D. St. Clair D. St. Clair G 7.48
3 Reguilón Reguilón 78' D 7.29
16 Micael Micael 70' D 7.14
5 Casemiro Casemiro D 7.58
2 G. Luján G. Luján D 7.42
80 M. Galarza M. Galarza M 6.90
22 D. Ayala D. Ayala 70' M 6.80
7 R. De Paul R. De Paul 1 👟 78' M 7.70
19 G. Berterame G. Berterame 2 👟 F 7.94
9 L. Suárez L. Suárez 2 ⚽ 1 👟 61' F 9.90
10 L. Messi L. Messi 2 ⚽ F 9.16
Bench
88 A. Shaw A. Shaw 12' M 6.99
56 Daniel Pinter Daniel Pinter F 0.00
76 Ezequiel Abadia-Reda Ezequiel Abadia-Reda D 0.00
17 I. Fray I. Fray 12' D 7.21
37 M. Falcón M. Falcón 20' D 7.06
59 P. Plambeck P. Plambeck M 0.00
11 Riquelme Fillipi Riquelme Fillipi 29' F 6.66
34 R. Ríos Novo R. Ríos Novo G 0.00
8 T. Segovia T. Segovia 20' M 7.20
DC United DC United 4-4-2
1 S. Johnson S. Johnson G 6.51
6 K. Kurokawa K. Kurokawa D 6.10
15 K. Rowles K. Rowles D 6.29
3 L. Bartlett L. Bartlett D 6.18
2 K. Nono K. Nono D 6.37
7 Peglow Peglow 80' M 6.62
21 A. Dozzell A. Dozzell 68' M 6.02
27 Nikola Markovic Nikola Markovic 56' M 6.19
77 Hosei Kijima Hosei Kijima 68' M 6.32
25 J. Hopkins J. Hopkins 56' F 6.78
9 T. Baribo T. Baribo F 6.44
Bench
26 A. Bono A. Bono G 0.00
23 B. Servania B. Servania 22' M 5.82
12 C. Antley C. Antley D 0.00
8 J. Stroud J. Stroud 10' M 5.59
4 M. Peltola M. Peltola 34' D 5.80
22 N. Ordaz N. Ordaz 34' F 6.50
32 O. Avilez O. Avilez F 0.00
5 S. Hefti S. Hefti 22' D 5.71
13 S. Nealis S. Nealis D 0.00
Best on the pitch
L. Suárez
L. Suárez
F · Inter
9.90
2 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 24 pass
L. Messi
L. Messi
F · Inter
9.16
2 ⚽
8 shots · 39 pass
G. Berterame
G. Berterame
F · Inter
7.94
2 👟
3 shots · 29 pass
R. De Paul
R. De Paul
M · Inter
7.70
1 👟
· 63 pass
Casemiro
Casemiro
D · Inter
7.58
· 90 pass
D. St. Clair
D. St. Clair
G · Inter
7.48
· 23 pass
Inter Miami Inter Miami — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. St. Clair G 90 7.48 — — 0 23 21% 0 — —
Reguilón D 78 7.29 — — 1 40 32% 2 — —
Micael D 70 7.14 — — 0 64 63% 1 — —
Casemiro D 90 7.58 — — 0 90 81% 1 — —
G. Luján D 90 7.42 — — 0 46 42% 1 — —
M. Galarza M 90 6.90 — — 0 64 59% 3 — —
D. Ayala M 70 6.80 — — 0 71 71% 0 — —
R. De Paul M 78 7.70 — 1 0 63 58% 1 — —
G. Berterame F 90 7.94 — 2 3 29 24% 0 — —
L. Suárez F 61 9.90 2 1 4 24 18% 0 — —
L. Messi F 90 9.16 2 — 8 39 34% 0 — —
A. Shaw M 12 6.99 — — 0 11 11% 1 — —
I. Fray D 12 7.21 — — 0 9 8% 0 — —
M. Falcón D 20 7.06 — — 0 15 14% 0 — —
Riquelme Fillipi F 29 6.66 — — 1 9 9% 0 — —
T. Segovia M 20 7.20 — — 0 25 23% 0 — —
DC United DC United — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Johnson G 90 6.51 — — 0 11 9% 0 — —
K. Kurokawa D 90 6.10 — — 0 45 42% 1 — —
K. Rowles D 90 6.29 — — 0 48 41% 1 — —
L. Bartlett D 90 6.18 — — 1 43 34% 2 — —
K. Nono D 90 6.37 — — 3 41 35% 1 — —
Peglow M 80 6.62 — — 3 35 29% 1 — —
A. Dozzell M 68 6.02 — — 0 33 32% 1 — —
Nikola Markovic M 56 6.19 — — 0 21 18% 1 — —
Hosei Kijima M 68 6.32 — — 1 15 12% 1 — —
J. Hopkins F 56 6.78 — — 0 10 8% 0 — —
T. Baribo F 90 6.44 — — 3 18 12% 0 — —
B. Servania M 22 5.82 — — 1 11 10% 0 — —
J. Stroud M 10 5.59 — — 0 4 4% 0 — —
M. Peltola D 34 5.80 — — 1 18 16% 0 — —
N. Ordaz F 34 6.50 — — 2 7 5% 0 — —
S. Hefti D 22 5.71 — — 0 13 12% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Inter Miami vs DC United?
The final score was Inter Miami 4–0 DC United.
What did the model predict before Inter Miami vs DC United?
The model assigned 77% probability to a Inter Miami win, 11% to a draw, and 11% to an DC United win.