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Inter Miami - Leon

Leagues Cup August 13, 2026 01:30
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
42.63%
Win
Inter Miami
26.44%
Draw
30.93%
Win
Leon
2.86
Expected xG
2.16

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.29%)
1X2 Result
1 43%
X 26%
2 31%
Double Chance
1X 69%
X2 57%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Inter Miami a 42% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Leon. Expected goals are 2.9 for Inter Miami and 2.2 for Leon (total 5.0), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.29% probability.

Season Stats

Inter Miami
1W 0D 1L
Leon
2W 0D 0L
Averages per game
2.5
Goals
1.5
2.0
Conceded
0.5
4.5
Shots OT
6.0
3.5
Corners
5.0
44%
Poss.
45%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
50%
100%
O 2.5
50%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
Based on the last 2 matches in Leagues Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Inter Miami
1W 0D 1L · at home
Leon
2W 0D 0L · away
2.5
gls/g
1.5
2.0
Conceded
0.5
50%
Win %
100%
50%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
50%
100%
O 2.5
50%
50%
O 3.5
0%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Inter Miami Leon →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.7% 1.4% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3%
1 1.9% 4.1% 4.4% 3.2% 1.7% 0.7%
2 2.7% 5.8% 6.3% 4.5% 2.5% 1.1%
3 2.6% 5.6% 6.0% 4.3% 2.3% 1.0%
4 1.8% 4.0% 4.3% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7%
5 1.0% 2.3% 2.4% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4%

Recent form

L Monterrey 1–2
W Atletico San Luis 4–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 19%
W Orlando City SC 1–2
W Nashville SC 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Inter Miami Inter Miami
Attack
60
Defence
48
Form
66
Leon Leon
Attack
55
Defence
58
Form
61
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Inter Miami vs Leon?
The model gives Inter Miami a 42% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 30% for an Leon win.
How many goals are expected in Inter Miami vs Leon?
Expected goals: Inter Miami 2.9, Leon 2.2 (total 5.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Inter Miami vs Leon?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.29%.