Inter Miami - Monterrey
Leagues Cup
August 09, 2026 02:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
42.57%
Win
Inter Miami
28.14%
Draw
29.29%
Win
Monterrey
3.93
2.09
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(8.84%)
1X2 Result
1
43%
X
28%
2
29%
Double Chance
1X
71%
X2
57%
12
72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
54%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Inter Miami a 42% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Monterrey. Expected goals are 3.9 for Inter Miami and 2.1 for Monterrey (total 6.0), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.84% probability.
Season Stats
9W
5D
1L
3W
3D
9L
Averages per game
2.5
Goals
1.3
1.7
Conceded
1.8
6.9
Shots OT
5.5
6.6
Corners
5.1
56%
Poss.
54%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
87%
60%
O 2.5
67%
73%
BTTS
60%
27%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
42%
O 3.5
69%
BTTS
3W
4D
1L
· at home
1W
4D
5L
· away
2.5
gls/g
1.0
2.0
Conceded
1.4
38%
Win %
10%
88%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
70%
63%
O 2.5
40%
63%
O 3.5
20%
88%
BTTS
50%
13%
Clean Sht
10%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 10
ℹ
Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Score Matrix
↕ Inter Miami
Monterrey →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 2.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| 4 | 2.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| 5 | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Inter Miami
Attack
70
Defence
49
Form
69
Monterrey
Attack
48
Defence
58
Form
56
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Inter Miami vs Monterrey?
The model gives Inter Miami a 42% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 29% for an Monterrey win.
How many goals are expected in Inter Miami vs Monterrey?
Expected goals: Inter Miami 3.9, Monterrey 2.1 (total 6.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Inter Miami vs Monterrey?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.84%.