Skip to main content
← MLS
MLS · Regular Season - 29 October 15, 2026 01:30
Inter Miami
#3 · 55 pts
2 – 0
Final score
New York City FC
#12 · 35 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Inter Miami
Germán Berterame (ast. Luis Suárez) 20'
Rodrigo De Paul (ast. Lionel Messi) 45'+5
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter Miami a 72% win probability (draw 14%, New York City FC 12%). The final result was Inter Miami 2–0 New York City FC. In 1 previous meetings, Inter Miami have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for New York City FC.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
14
6
Shots on target
5
2.31
Actual xG
1.53
5
Saves
4
57%
Possession
43%
3
Corners
4
13
Tackles
7
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽Germán Berterame · ast. Luis Suárez
20'
⚽Rodrigo De Paul · ast. Lionel Messi
45'+5
Matías Galarza
52'
58'
Hannes Wolf / Alonso Martinez ↕
58'
Kevin O'Toole / Nico Cavallo ↕
↕ Matías Galarza / Telasco Segovia
65'
65'
Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos / Bénie Adama Traoré ↕
↕ Sergio Reguilón / Fricio Caicedo
74'
↕ Germán Berterame / Riquelme Fillipi
75'
Riquelme Fillipi
85'
85'
Malachi Jones / Agustin Ojeda ↕
85'
Talles Magno / Aiden O'Neill ↕
90'+7
(missed pen.) Nicolás Fernández Mercau⚽
↕ David Ayala / Ian Fray
90'
Pre-match prediction
72.5%
Inter ←
14.52%
X
12.98%
New
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Inter Miami) 72.5% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Inter
2.91
2.31
-0.6
New
0.98
1.53
+0.55
Inter Miami dominated by xG (2.31 vs 1.53). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 31 70
2 New England Revolution New England Revolution 31 55
3 Inter Miami Inter Miami 31 55
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 31 51
5 Charlotte Charlotte 31 47
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 31 46
7 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 31 42
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 31 42
9 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 31 39
10 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 31 38
11 Toronto FC Toronto FC 31 36
12 New York City FC New York City FC 31 35
13 DC United DC United 31 33
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 31 30
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 31 25
Lineups
Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-3-3
97 D. St. Clair D. St. Clair G 7.91
3 Reguilón Reguilón 74' D 6.96
16 Micael Micael D 7.56
5 Casemiro Casemiro D 8.00
2 G. Luján G. Luján D 7.87
80 M. Galarza M. Galarza 65' M 6.89
22 D. Ayala D. Ayala 89' M 7.20
7 R. De Paul R. De Paul 1 ⚽ M 8.20
19 G. Berterame G. Berterame 1 ⚽ 75' F 7.79
9 L. Suárez L. Suárez 1 👟 F 7.27
10 L. Messi L. Messi 1 👟 F 7.70
Bench
88 A. Shaw A. Shaw M 0.00
56 Daniel Pinter Daniel Pinter F 0.00
15 F. Caicedo F. Caicedo 16' D 7.01
17 I. Fray I. Fray 1' D 0.00
37 M. Falcón M. Falcón D 0.00
11 Riquelme Fillipi Riquelme Fillipi 15' F 6.50
34 R. Ríos Novo R. Ríos Novo G 0.00
20 S. Morales S. Morales M 0.00
8 T. Segovia T. Segovia 25' M 7.20
New York City FC New York City FC 4-2-3-1
49 M. Freese M. Freese G 6.92
2 Nico Cavallo Nico Cavallo 58' D 6.18
6 J. Sands J. Sands D 6.65
13 Thiago Martins Thiago Martins D 6.53
24 T. Gray T. Gray D 6.98
8 A. Perea A. Perea M 6.63
21 A. O'Neill A. O'Neill 85' M 6.58
9 B. Traoré B. Traoré 65' M 6.79
7 N. Fernández Mercau N. Fernández Mercau M 7.11
26 A. Ojeda A. Ojeda 85' M 6.12
16 A. Martínez A. Martínez 58' F 5.99
Bench
17 H. Wolf H. Wolf 32' F 6.30
32 J. Shore J. Shore M 0.00
22 K. O'Toole K. O'Toole 32' D 6.53
20 Luighi Hanri Luighi Hanri 25' F 6.43
88 M. Jones M. Jones 5' F 6.27
3 M. Miazga M. Miazga D 0.00
34 Raul Gustavo Raul Gustavo D 0.00
11 Talles Magno Talles Magno 5' F 6.38
30 T. Romero T. Romero G 0.00
Best on the pitch
R. De Paul
R. De Paul
M · Inter
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 72 pass
Casemiro
Casemiro
D · Inter
8.00
· 78 pass
D. St. Clair
D. St. Clair
G · Inter
7.91
· 39 pass
G. Luján
G. Luján
D · Inter
7.87
· 33 pass
G. Berterame
G. Berterame
F · Inter
7.79
1 ⚽
1 shots · 24 pass
L. Messi
L. Messi
F · Inter
7.70
1 👟
7 shots · 46 pass
Inter Miami Inter Miami — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. St. Clair G 90 7.91 — — 0 39 36% 0 — —
Reguilón D 74 6.96 — — 2 29 23% 0 — —
Micael D 90 7.56 — — 0 90 84% 3 — —
Casemiro D 90 8.00 — — 0 78 74% 2 — —
G. Luján D 90 7.87 — — 0 33 32% 1 — —
M. Galarza M 65 6.89 — — 1 68 62% 0 1 —
D. Ayala M 89 7.20 — — 0 104 99% 4 — —
R. De Paul M 90 8.20 1 — 2 72 67% 0 — —
G. Berterame F 75 7.79 1 — 1 24 17% 1 — —
L. Suárez F 90 7.27 — 1 0 45 38% 0 — —
L. Messi F 90 7.70 — 1 7 46 37% 0 — —
F. Caicedo D 16 7.01 — — 0 8 7% 2 — —
I. Fray D 1 0.00 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
Riquelme Fillipi F 15 6.50 — — 1 2 2% 0 1 —
T. Segovia M 25 7.20 — — 0 20 20% 0 — —
New York City FC New York City FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Freese G 90 6.92 — — 0 9 4% 0 — —
Nico Cavallo D 58 6.18 — — 0 36 32% 0 — —
J. Sands D 90 6.65 — — 0 54 53% 0 — —
Thiago Martins D 90 6.53 — — 0 37 32% 0 — —
T. Gray D 90 6.98 — — 0 50 46% 0 — —
A. Perea M 90 6.63 — — 0 63 58% 1 — —
A. O'Neill M 85 6.58 — — 3 56 51% 1 — —
B. Traoré M 65 6.79 — — 1 21 17% 0 — —
N. Fernández Mercau M 90 7.11 — — 6 54 51% 1 — —
A. Ojeda M 85 6.12 — — 1 38 29% 3 — —
A. Martínez F 58 5.99 — — 0 15 13% 0 — —
H. Wolf F 32 6.30 — — 1 20 17% 0 — —
K. O'Toole D 32 6.53 — — 0 20 20% 0 — —
Luighi Hanri F 25 6.43 — — 2 7 7% 0 — —
M. Jones F 5 6.27 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
Talles Magno F 5 6.38 — — 0 3 3% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Inter Miami vs New York City FC?
The final score was Inter Miami 2–0 New York City FC.
What did the model predict before Inter Miami vs New York City FC?
The model assigned 72% probability to a Inter Miami win, 14% to a draw, and 12% to an New York City FC win.