MLS
· Regular Season - 7
April 12, 2026 01:30
M. Silvetti
45'+1
G. Berterame
55'
15'
(ast. J. Hall)
J. Ruvalcaba
77'
A. Mehmeti
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter Miami a 47% win probability (draw 25%, New York Red Bulls 26%). The final result was Inter Miami 2–2 New York Red Bulls.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
4
7
Shots on target
2
2.14
Actual xG
0.75
0
Saves
5
55%
Possession
45%
12
Corners
3
15
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
15'
ast. J. Hall ·
J. Ruvalcaba⚽
⚽M. Silvetti
45'+1
S. Reguilon
/ D. Pinter
46'
⚽G. Berterame
55'
60'
C. Cowell
62'
66'
R. Mosquera
/
C. Cowell
66'
M. Sofo
/
J. Ruvalcaba
M. Silvetti
/ G. Lujan
68'
I. Fray
76'
77'
A. Mehmeti⚽
I. Fray
/ L. Suarez
79'
80'
R. Mosquera
87'
G. Berggren
/
A. Mehmeti
87'
E. M. Choupo-Moting
/
E. Forsberg
Pre-match prediction
47.97%
Inter
25.72%
X ←
26.31%
New
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.72%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.16
2.14
-1.02
1.38
0.75
-0.64
Inter Miami dominated by xG (2.14 vs 0.75).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
97
Dayne St. Clair
G
Dayne St. Clair
G
3
Sergio Reguilón
45'
D
Sergio Reguilón
45'
D
16
Micael
D
Micael
D
37
Maximiliano Falcón
D
Maximiliano Falcón
D
17
Ian Fray
79'
D
Ian Fray
79'
D
24
Mateo Silvetti
1 ⚽
68'
M
Mateo Silvetti
1 ⚽
68'
M
8
T. Segovia
M
T. Segovia
M
42
Y. Bright
M
Y. Bright
M
7
R. De Paul
M
R. De Paul
M
19
G. Berterame
1 ⚽
F
G. Berterame
1 ⚽
F
10
L. Messi
F
L. Messi
F
Bench
22
David Ayala
M
David Ayala
M
41
David Ruíz
M
David Ruíz
M
4
Facundo Mura
D
Facundo Mura
D
2
Gonzalo Luján
29'
D
Gonzalo Luján
29'
D
9
L. Suárez
18'
F
L. Suárez
18'
F
32
Noah Allen
D
Noah Allen
D
34
G
56
Matthew Dos Santos
D
Matthew Dos Santos
D
6
Robert Voloder
D
Robert Voloder
D
12
Dylan Nealis
D
Dylan Nealis
D
3
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty
D
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty
D
10
Emil Forsberg
87'
M
Emil Forsberg
87'
M
15
Adri Mehmeti
1 ⚽
87'
M
Adri Mehmeti
1 ⚽
87'
M
48
Ronald Donkor
M
Ronald Donkor
M
11
Jorge Ruvalcaba
1 ⚽
66'
F
Jorge Ruvalcaba
1 ⚽
66'
F
16
J. Hall
1 👟
F
J. Hall
1 👟
F
7
Cade Cowell
66'
F
Cade Cowell
66'
F
Bench
13
E. M. Choupo-Moting
10'
F
4
G. Berggren
10'
M
G. Berggren
10'
M
23
J. Masanka Bungi
M
20
J. Mina
D
37
Mohammed Sofo
31'
F
Mohammed Sofo
31'
F
5
Omar Valencia
D
Omar Valencia
D
79
Rafael Mosquera
31'
F
Rafael Mosquera
31'
F
Best on the pitch
L. Messi
F · Inter
9.00
2 shots
· 46 pass
R. De Paul
M · Inter
7.90
1 shots
· 73 pass
Mateo Silvetti
M · Inter
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 22 pass
Adri Mehmeti
M · New
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 54 pass
Ronald Donkor
M · New
7.20
· 39 pass
Jorge Ruvalcaba
F · New
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 19 pass
Inter Miami — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dayne St. Clair | G | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Sergio Reguilón | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Micael | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 53 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| Maximiliano Falcón | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Ian Fray | D | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Mateo Silvetti | M | 68 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| T. Segovia | M | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Bright | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 59 | 50% | 5 | — | — |
| R. De Paul | M | 97 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 73 | 58% | — | — | — |
| G. Berterame | F | 97 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 22 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Messi | F | 97 | 9.00 | — | — | 2 | 46 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Luján | D | 29 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Suárez | F | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
New York Red Bulls — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| Matthew Dos Santos | D | 97 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Robert Voloder | D | 97 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Dylan Nealis | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 44 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Emil Forsberg | M | 87 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Adri Mehmeti | M | 87 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 54 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| Ronald Donkor | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | F | 66 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 19 | 12% | — | — | — |
| J. Hall | F | 97 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Cade Cowell | F | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. M. Choupo-Moting | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| G. Berggren | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Sofo | F | 31 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Mosquera | F | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Inter Miami vs New York Red Bulls?
The final score was Inter Miami 2–2 New York Red Bulls.
What did the model predict before Inter Miami vs New York Red Bulls?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Inter Miami win, 25% to a draw, and 26% to an New York Red Bulls win.