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MLS · Regular Season - 7 April 12, 2026 01:30
Inter Miami
#3 · 46 pts
2 – 2
Final score
New York Red Bulls
#8 · 33 pts
M. Silvetti 45'+1
G. Berterame 55'
15' (ast. J. Hall) J. Ruvalcaba
77' A. Mehmeti
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter Miami a 47% win probability (draw 25%, New York Red Bulls 26%). The final result was Inter Miami 2–2 New York Red Bulls.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
4
7
Shots on target
2
2.14
Actual xG
0.75
0
Saves
5
55%
Possession
45%
12
Corners
3
15
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
15'
ast. J. Hall · J. Ruvalcaba⚽
⚽M. Silvetti
45'+1
↕ S. Reguilon / D. Pinter
46'
⚽G. Berterame
55'
60'
C. Cowell
62'
66'
R. Mosquera / C. Cowell ↕
66'
M. Sofo / J. Ruvalcaba ↕
↕ M. Silvetti / G. Lujan
68'
I. Fray
76'
77'
A. Mehmeti⚽
↕ I. Fray / L. Suarez
79'
80'
R. Mosquera
87'
G. Berggren / A. Mehmeti ↕
87'
E. M. Choupo-Moting / E. Forsberg ↕
Pre-match prediction
47.97%
Inter
25.72%
X ←
26.31%
New
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 25.72% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Inter
3.16
2.14
-1.02
New
1.38
0.75
-0.64
Inter Miami dominated by xG (2.14 vs 0.75). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 27 60
2 New England Revolution New England Revolution 27 46
3 Inter Miami Inter Miami 27 46
4 Charlotte Charlotte 27 43
5 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 26 42
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 27 39
7 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 27 34
8 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 27 33
9 New York City FC New York City FC 27 33
10 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 26 33
11 DC United DC United 26 30
12 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 27 29
13 Toronto FC Toronto FC 27 29
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 27 27
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 27 24
Lineups
Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-4-2
97 Dayne St. Clair Dayne St. Clair G 6.70
3 Reguilón Reguilón 45' D 6.20
16 Micael Micael D 6.70
37 M. Falcón M. Falcón D 6.20
17 I. Fray I. Fray 79' D 6.90
24 Mateo Silvetti Mateo Silvetti 1 ⚽ 68' M 7.70
8 T. Segovia T. Segovia M 6.30
42 Y. Bright Y. Bright M 7.20
7 R. De Paul R. De Paul M 7.90
19 Germán Berterame Germán Berterame 1 ⚽ F 7.20
10 L. Messi L. Messi F 9.00
Bench
22 D. Ayala D. Ayala M
41 D. Ruíz D. Ruíz M
4 F. Mura F. Mura D
2 G. Luján G. Luján 29' D 6.50
9 L. Suárez L. Suárez 18' F 6.70
32 N. Allen N. Allen D
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 4-3-3
34
G 6.90
56 Matthew Dos Santos Matthew Dos Santos D 5.90
6 R. Voloder R. Voloder D 5.90
12 D. Nealis D. Nealis D 6.30
3 J. Marshall-Rutty J. Marshall-Rutty D 6.70
10 E. Forsberg E. Forsberg 87' M 6.50
15 Adri Mehmeti Adri Mehmeti 1 ⚽ 87' M 7.60
48 R. Donkor R. Donkor M 7.20
11 J. Ruvalcaba J. Ruvalcaba 1 ⚽ 66' F 7.20
16 J. Hall J. Hall 1 👟 F 6.90
7 C. Cowell C. Cowell 66' F 6.30
Bench
13 E. Choupo-Moting E. Choupo-Moting 10' F 6.30
4 G. Berggren G. Berggren 10' M 6.70
23
J. Masanka Bungi M
20
J. Mina D
37 M. Sofo M. Sofo 31' F 6.00
5 Omar Valencia Omar Valencia D
79 Rafael Mosquera Rafael Mosquera 31' F 6.50
Best on the pitch
L. Messi
L. Messi
F · Inter
9.00
2 shots · 46 pass
R. De Paul
R. De Paul
M · Inter
7.90
1 shots · 73 pass
Mateo Silvetti
Mateo Silvetti
M · Inter
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots · 22 pass
Adri Mehmeti
Adri Mehmeti
M · New
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 54 pass
R. Donkor
R. Donkor
M · New
7.20
· 39 pass
J. Ruvalcaba
J. Ruvalcaba
F · New
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 19 pass
Inter Miami Inter Miami — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Dayne St. Clair G 97 6.70 — — — 41 33% — — —
Reguilón D 45 6.20 — — — 32 25% — — —
Micael D 97 6.70 — — 2 53 47% 2 — —
M. Falcón D 97 6.20 — — 1 52 47% 1 — —
I. Fray D 79 6.90 — — — 30 28% 2 1 —
Mateo Silvetti M 68 7.70 1 — 3 22 18% — — —
T. Segovia M 97 6.30 — — 1 52 46% 2 — —
Y. Bright M 97 7.20 — — — 59 50% 5 — —
R. De Paul M 97 7.90 — — 1 73 58% — — —
Germán Berterame F 97 7.20 1 — 3 22 20% 2 — —
L. Messi F 97 9.00 — — 2 46 38% — — —
G. Luján D 29 6.50 — — — 18 11% 1 — —
L. Suárez F 18 6.70 — — 1 2 1% — — —
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 97 6.90 — — — 32 23% — — —
Matthew Dos Santos D 97 5.90 — — — 46 37% — — —
R. Voloder D 97 5.90 — — — 48 41% 2 — —
D. Nealis D 97 6.30 — — — 53 43% — — —
J. Marshall-Rutty D 97 6.70 — — — 44 41% 2 — —
E. Forsberg M 87 6.50 — — — 36 34% 1 — —
Adri Mehmeti M 87 7.60 1 — 1 54 47% 2 — —
R. Donkor M 97 7.20 — — — 39 28% 4 — —
J. Ruvalcaba F 66 7.20 1 — 2 19 12% — — —
J. Hall F 97 6.90 — 1 — 12 12% — — —
C. Cowell F 66 6.30 — — — 17 10% 1 1 —
E. Choupo-Moting F 10 6.30 — — — 7 5% — — —
G. Berggren M 10 6.70 — — — 1 — — — —
M. Sofo F 31 6.00 — — 1 8 4% — — —
Rafael Mosquera F 31 6.50 — — — 7 7% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Inter Miami vs New York Red Bulls?
The final score was Inter Miami 2–2 New York Red Bulls.
What did the model predict before Inter Miami vs New York Red Bulls?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Inter Miami win, 25% to a draw, and 26% to an New York Red Bulls win.