Inter Miami 6–4 Philadelphia Union — pre-match prediction — MLS — May 25, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 15 May 25, 2026 01:00

Inter Miami

#2 · 45 pts

6 – 4

Final score

Philadelphia Union

#9 · 30 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Inter Miami

G. Berterame (ast. L. Messi) 13'

L. Suarez (ast. I. Fray) 29'

G. Berterame (ast. L. Messi) 41'

L. Suarez 44'

L. Suarez (ast. G. Berterame) 81'

R. de Paul (ast. M. Silvetti) 90'+3

3' (ast. F. Westfield) M. Iloski

(pen.) 10' M. Iloski

20' B. Damiani

(pen.) 45'+8 M. Iloski

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter Miami a 70% win probability (draw 14%, Philadelphia Union 14%). The final result was Inter Miami 6–4 Philadelphia Union. In 1 previous meetings, Inter Miami have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Philadelphia Union.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

5.10

Actual xG

4.02

Saves

64%

Possession

36%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

ast. F. Westfield · M. Iloski⚽

D. St.Clair

10'

(pen.) M. Iloski⚽

⚽G. Berterame · ast. L. Messi

13'

16'

G. Martinez

20'

B. Damiani⚽

24'

J. Lukic

⚽L. Suarez · ast. I. Fray

29'

I. Fray

38'

⚽G. Berterame · ast. L. Messi

41'

⚽L. Suarez

44'

45'+8

(pen.) M. Iloski⚽

T. Segovia

45'+11

S. Reguilon

49'

57'

E. Alladoh / A. Anello ↕

66'

A. Bedoya / C. Sullivan ↕

67'

J. Rafanello / G. Martinez ↕

↕ T. Segovia / D. Ayala

67'

↕ S. Reguilon / F. Mura

68'

↕ L. Messi / M. Silvetti

73'

75'

D. Jean Jacques

⚽L. Suarez · ast. G. Berterame

81'

83'

F. Sundstrom / F. Westfield ↕

83'

P. Ndinga / B. Damiani ↕

↕ I. Fray / N. Allen

88'

↕ Y. Bright / D. Ruiz

88'

G. Lujan

90'+2

⚽R. de Paul · ast. M. Silvetti

90'+3

N. Allen

90'+7

Pre-match prediction

70.85%

Inter ←

14.85%

14.31%

Philadelphia

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Inter Miami) 70.85% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Inter

3.37

5.10

+1.73

Philadelphia

1.36

4.02

+2.66

Inter Miami dominated by xG (5.10 vs 4.02). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Nashville SC	25	54
2	Inter Miami	25	45
3	New England Revolution	24	40
4	Charlotte	25	40
5	Chicago Fire	23	39
6	Orlando City SC	25	34
7	New York City FC	25	32
8	FC Cincinnati	24	32
9	Philadelphia Union	24	30
10	New York Red Bulls	25	30
11	DC United	24	29
12	Toronto FC	25	29
13	Columbus Crew	25	23
14	Atlanta United FC	25	23
15	CF Montreal	25	21

Lineups

Inter Miami 4-3-3

D. St. Clair G 6.30

Reguilón 68' D 5.60

Micael D 6.00

G. Luján D 6.20

I. Fray 1 👟 88' D 5.90

T. Segovia 67' M 6.20

Y. Bright 88' M 6.90

R. De Paul 1 ⚽ M 6.90

L. Suárez 3 ⚽ F 9.50

G. Berterame 2 ⚽ 1 👟 F 10.00

L. Messi 2 👟 73' F 8.60

Bench

Daniel Pinter F

D. Ayala 23' M 6.60

D. Ruíz 11' M 6.30

F. Mura 22' D 6.70

Mateo Silvetti 1 👟 17' F 7.30

M. Falcón D

N. Allen 11' D 6.60

P. Plambeck M

R. Ríos Novo G

Philadelphia Union 4-4-2

A. Blake G 5.60

B. Bender D 5.30

N. Harriel D 5.20

Geiner Martínez 67' D 5.20

F. Westfield 1 👟 83' D 6.20

A. Anello 57' M 6.30

D. Jean-Jacques M 5.90

J. Lukić M 6.60

Cavan Sullivan 66' M 6.20

B. Damiani 1 ⚽ 83' F 6.90

M. Iloski 3 ⚽ F 10.00

Bench

A. Bedoya 24' M 6.50

A. Rick G

E. Alladoh 33' F 6.30

Finn Sundstrom 16' D 6.20

J. Bueno M

J. Rafanello 23' M 6.30

Kellan Leblanc M

Philippe Ndinga 16' D 6.20

Best on the pitch

G. Berterame

F · Inter

10.00

2 ⚽ 1 👟

4 shots · 17 pass

M. Iloski

F · Philadelphia

10.00

3 ⚽

7 shots · 31 pass

L. Suárez

F · Inter

9.50

3 ⚽

4 shots · 27 pass

L. Messi

F · Inter

8.60

2 👟

2 shots · 27 pass

Mateo Silvetti

F · Inter

7.30

1 👟

· 8 pass

Y. Bright

M · Inter

6.90

1 shots · 63 pass

Inter Miami — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
D. St. Clair	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	31	26%	—	1	—
Reguilón	D	68	5.60	—	—	—	31	25%	1	1	—
Micael	D	90	6.00	—	—	—	74	69%	1	—	—
G. Luján	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	77	64%	3	1	—
I. Fray	D	88	5.90	—	1	1	36	30%	2	1	—
T. Segovia	M	67	6.20	—	—	—	30	22%	—	1	—
Y. Bright	M	88	6.90	—	—	1	63	54%	—	—	—
R. De Paul	M	90	6.90	1	—	3	58	47%	—	—	—
L. Suárez	F	90	9.50	3	—	4	27	21%	—	—	—
G. Berterame	F	90	10.00	2	1	4	17	17%	1	—	—
L. Messi	F	73	8.60	—	2	2	27	21%	—	—	—
D. Ayala	M	23	6.60	—	—	—	18	16%	—	—	—
D. Ruíz	M	11	6.30	—	—	—	5	4%	—	—	—
F. Mura	D	22	6.70	—	—	—	26	25%	—	—	—
Mateo Silvetti	F	17	7.30	—	1	—	8	7%	—	—	—
N. Allen	D	11	6.60	—	—	—	4	3%	—	1	—

Philadelphia Union — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Blake	G	90	5.60	—	—	—	23	10%	—	—	—
B. Bender	D	90	5.30	—	—	—	30	24%	1	—	—
N. Harriel	D	90	5.20	—	—	—	33	28%	—	—	—
Geiner Martínez	D	67	5.20	—	—	1	14	9%	—	1	—
F. Westfield	D	83	6.20	—	1	2	17	11%	2	—	—
A. Anello	M	57	6.30	—	—	3	13	9%	—	—	—
D. Jean-Jacques	M	90	5.90	—	—	—	35	27%	—	1	—
J. Lukić	M	90	6.60	—	—	—	33	27%	1	1	—
Cavan Sullivan	M	66	6.20	—	—	—	16	11%	1	—	—
B. Damiani	F	83	6.90	1	—	2	16	13%	1	—	—
M. Iloski	F	90	10.00	3	—	7	31	23%	2	—	—
A. Bedoya	M	24	6.50	—	—	1	8	5%	2	—	—
E. Alladoh	F	33	6.30	—	—	—	5	4%	—	—	—
Finn Sundstrom	D	16	6.20	—	—	—	2	1%	1	—	—
J. Rafanello	M	23	6.30	—	—	1	12	10%	—	—	—
Philippe Ndinga	D	16	6.20	—	—	—	7	6%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union?

The final score was Inter Miami 6–4 Philadelphia Union.

What did the model predict before Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union?

The model assigned 70% probability to a Inter Miami win, 14% to a draw, and 14% to an Philadelphia Union win.