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MLS · Regular Season - 15 May 25, 2026 01:00
Inter Miami
#2 · 59 pts
6 – 4
Final score
Philadelphia Union
#6 · 47 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Inter Miami
G. Berterame (ast. L. Messi) 13'
L. Suarez (ast. I. Fray) 29'
G. Berterame (ast. L. Messi) 41'
L. Suarez 44'
L. Suarez (ast. G. Berterame) 81'
R. de Paul (ast. M. Silvetti) 90'+3
3' (ast. F. Westfield) M. Iloski
(pen.) 10' M. Iloski
20' B. Damiani
(pen.) 45'+8 M. Iloski
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter Miami a 70% win probability (draw 14%, Philadelphia Union 14%). The final result was Inter Miami 6–4 Philadelphia Union. In 1 previous meetings, Inter Miami have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Philadelphia Union.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
17
10
Shots on target
10
5.10
Actual xG
4.02
6
Saves
4
64%
Possession
36%
4
Corners
2
8
Tackles
11
6
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
3'
ast. F. Westfield · M. Iloski⚽
D. St.Clair
10'
10'
(pen.) M. Iloski⚽
⚽G. Berterame · ast. L. Messi
13'
16'
G. Martinez
20'
B. Damiani⚽
24'
J. Lukic
⚽L. Suarez · ast. I. Fray
29'
I. Fray
38'
⚽G. Berterame · ast. L. Messi
41'
⚽L. Suarez
44'
45'+8
(pen.) M. Iloski⚽
T. Segovia
45'+11
S. Reguilon
49'
57'
E. Alladoh / A. Anello ↕
66'
A. Bedoya / C. Sullivan ↕
67'
J. Rafanello / G. Martinez ↕
↕ T. Segovia / D. Ayala
67'
↕ S. Reguilon / F. Mura
68'
↕ L. Messi / M. Silvetti
73'
75'
D. Jean Jacques
⚽L. Suarez · ast. G. Berterame
81'
83'
F. Sundstrom / F. Westfield ↕
83'
P. Ndinga / B. Damiani ↕
↕ I. Fray / N. Allen
88'
↕ Y. Bright / D. Ruiz
88'
G. Lujan
90'+2
⚽R. de Paul · ast. M. Silvetti
90'+3
N. Allen
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
70.85%
Inter ←
14.85%
X
14.31%
Philadelphia
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Inter Miami) 70.85% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Inter
3.37
5.10
+1.73
Philadelphia
1.36
4.02
+2.66
Inter Miami dominated by xG (5.10 vs 4.02). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 33 74
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 33 59
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 33 58
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 33 55
5 Charlotte Charlotte 33 53
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 33 47
7 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 33 46
8 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 33 44
9 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 33 43
10 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 33 39
11 New York City FC New York City FC 33 39
12 Toronto FC Toronto FC 33 39
13 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 33 33
14 DC United DC United 33 33
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 33 26
Lineups
Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-3-3
97 D. St. Clair D. St. Clair G 6.30
3 Reguilón Reguilón 68' D 5.60
16 Micael Micael D 6.00
2 G. Luján G. Luján D 6.20
17 I. Fray I. Fray 1 👟 88' D 5.90
8 T. Segovia T. Segovia 67' M 6.20
42 Y. Bright Y. Bright 88' M 6.90
7 R. De Paul R. De Paul 1 ⚽ M 6.90
9 L. Suárez L. Suárez 3 ⚽ F 9.50
19 G. Berterame G. Berterame 2 ⚽ 1 👟 F 10.00
10 L. Messi L. Messi 2 👟 73' F 8.60
Bench
56 Daniel Pinter Daniel Pinter F
22 D. Ayala D. Ayala 23' M 6.60
41 D. Ruíz D. Ruíz 11' M 6.30
4 F. Mura F. Mura 22' D 6.70
24 Mateo Silvetti Mateo Silvetti 1 👟 17' F 7.30
37 M. Falcón M. Falcón D
32 N. Allen N. Allen 11' D 6.60
59 P. Plambeck P. Plambeck M
34 R. Ríos Novo R. Ríos Novo G
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 4-4-2
18 A. Blake A. Blake G 5.60
16 B. Bender B. Bender D 5.30
26 N. Harriel N. Harriel D 5.20
2 G. Martínez G. Martínez 67' D 5.20
39 F. Westfield F. Westfield 1 👟 83' D 6.20
28 A. Anello A. Anello 57' M 6.30
21 D. Jean-Jacques D. Jean-Jacques M 5.90
4 J. Lukić J. Lukić M 6.60
6 Cavan Sullivan Cavan Sullivan 66' M 6.20
9 B. Damiani B. Damiani 1 ⚽ 83' F 6.90
10 M. Iloski M. Iloski 3 ⚽ F 10.00
Bench
11 A. Bedoya A. Bedoya 24' M 6.50
76 A. Rick A. Rick G
23 E. Alladoh E. Alladoh 33' F 6.30
66 F. Sundstrom F. Sundstrom 16' D 6.20
8 J. Bueno J. Bueno M
14 J. Rafanello J. Rafanello 23' M 6.30
47 K. LeBlanc K. LeBlanc M
20 Philippe Ndinga Philippe Ndinga 16' D 6.20
Best on the pitch
G. Berterame
G. Berterame
F · Inter
10.00
2 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 17 pass
M. Iloski
M. Iloski
F · Philadelphia
10.00
3 ⚽
7 shots · 31 pass
L. Suárez
L. Suárez
F · Inter
9.50
3 ⚽
4 shots · 27 pass
L. Messi
L. Messi
F · Inter
8.60
2 👟
2 shots · 27 pass
Mateo Silvetti
Mateo Silvetti
F · Inter
7.30
1 👟
· 8 pass
Y. Bright
Y. Bright
M · Inter
6.90
1 shots · 63 pass
Inter Miami Inter Miami — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. St. Clair G 90 6.30 — — — 31 26% — 1 —
Reguilón D 68 5.60 — — — 31 25% 1 1 —
Micael D 90 6.00 — — — 74 69% 1 — —
G. Luján D 90 6.20 — — — 77 64% 3 1 —
I. Fray D 88 5.90 — 1 1 36 30% 2 1 —
T. Segovia M 67 6.20 — — — 30 22% — 1 —
Y. Bright M 88 6.90 — — 1 63 54% — — —
R. De Paul M 90 6.90 1 — 3 58 47% — — —
L. Suárez F 90 9.50 3 — 4 27 21% — — —
G. Berterame F 90 10.00 2 1 4 17 17% 1 — —
L. Messi F 73 8.60 — 2 2 27 21% — — —
D. Ayala M 23 6.60 — — — 18 16% — — —
D. Ruíz M 11 6.30 — — — 5 4% — — —
F. Mura D 22 6.70 — — — 26 25% — — —
Mateo Silvetti F 17 7.30 — 1 — 8 7% — — —
N. Allen D 11 6.60 — — — 4 3% — 1 —
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Blake G 90 5.60 — — — 23 10% — — —
B. Bender D 90 5.30 — — — 30 24% 1 — —
N. Harriel D 90 5.20 — — — 33 28% — — —
G. Martínez D 67 5.20 — — 1 14 9% — 1 —
F. Westfield D 83 6.20 — 1 2 17 11% 2 — —
A. Anello M 57 6.30 — — 3 13 9% — — —
D. Jean-Jacques M 90 5.90 — — — 35 27% — 1 —
J. Lukić M 90 6.60 — — — 33 27% 1 1 —
Cavan Sullivan M 66 6.20 — — — 16 11% 1 — —
B. Damiani F 83 6.90 1 — 2 16 13% 1 — —
M. Iloski F 90 10.00 3 — 7 31 23% 2 — —
A. Bedoya M 24 6.50 — — 1 8 5% 2 — —
E. Alladoh F 33 6.30 — — — 5 4% — — —
F. Sundstrom D 16 6.20 — — — 2 1% 1 — —
J. Rafanello M 23 6.30 — — 1 12 10% — — —
Philippe Ndinga D 16 6.20 — — — 7 6% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union?
The final score was Inter Miami 6–4 Philadelphia Union.
What did the model predict before Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union?
The model assigned 70% probability to a Inter Miami win, 14% to a draw, and 14% to an Philadelphia Union win.