Inter Miami 6–4 Philadelphia Union — pre-match prediction — MLS — May 25, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 16 May 25, 2026 01:00

Inter Miami

#2 · 31 pts

6 – 4

Final score

Philadelphia Union

#15 · 7 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Inter Miami

G. Berterame (ast. L. Messi) 13'

L. Suarez (ast. I. Fray) 29'

G. Berterame (ast. L. Messi) 41'

L. Suarez 44'

L. Suarez (ast. G. Berterame) 81'

R. de Paul (ast. M. Silvetti) 90'+3

3' (ast. F. Westfield) M. Iloski

(pen.) 10' M. Iloski

20' B. Damiani

(pen.) 45'+8 M. Iloski

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter Miami a 70% win probability (draw 14%, Philadelphia Union 14%). The final result was Inter Miami 6–4 Philadelphia Union.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

5.10

Actual xG

4.02

Saves

64%

Possession

36%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

ast. F. Westfield · M. Iloski⚽

D. St.Clair

10'

(pen.) M. Iloski⚽

⚽G. Berterame · ast. L. Messi

13'

16'

G. Martinez

20'

B. Damiani⚽

24'

J. Lukic

⚽L. Suarez · ast. I. Fray

29'

I. Fray

38'

⚽G. Berterame · ast. L. Messi

41'

⚽L. Suarez

44'

45'+8

(pen.) M. Iloski⚽

T. Segovia

45'+11

S. Reguilon

49'

57'

E. Alladoh / A. Anello ↕

66'

A. Bedoya / C. Sullivan ↕

67'

J. Rafanello / G. Martinez ↕

↕ T. Segovia / D. Ayala

67'

↕ S. Reguilon / F. Mura

68'

↕ L. Messi / M. Silvetti

73'

75'

D. Jean Jacques

⚽L. Suarez · ast. G. Berterame

81'

83'

F. Sundstrom / F. Westfield ↕

83'

P. Ndinga / B. Damiani ↕

↕ I. Fray / N. Allen

88'

↕ Y. Bright / D. Ruiz

88'

G. Lujan

90'+2

⚽R. de Paul · ast. M. Silvetti

90'+3

N. Allen

90'+7

Pre-match prediction

70.85%

Inter ←

14.85%

14.31%

Philadelphia

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Inter Miami) 70.85% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Inter

3.37

5.10

+1.73

Philadelphia

1.36

4.02

+2.66

Inter Miami dominated by xG (5.10 vs 4.02). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	33
2	Inter Miami	15	31
3	Chicago Fire	14	26
4	New England Revolution	14	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	22
6	Charlotte	15	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	20
8	New York City FC	15	19
9	DC United	15	18
10	Columbus Crew	15	16
11	CF Montreal	14	14
12	Orlando City SC	15	14
13	Toronto FC	14	14
14	Atlanta United FC	14	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	7

Lineups

Inter Miami 4-3-3

Dayne St. Clair G 6.30

Sergio Reguilón 68' D 5.60

Micael D 6.00

Gonzalo Luján D 6.20

I. Fray 1 👟 88' D 5.90

T. Segovia 67' M 6.20

Y. Bright 88' M 6.90

Rodrigo De Paul 1 ⚽ M 6.90

Luis Suárez 3 ⚽ F 9.50

G. Berterame 2 ⚽ 1 👟 F 10.00

L. Messi 2 👟 73' F 8.60

Bench

Daniel Pinter F

David Ayala 23' M 6.60

David Ruíz 11' M 6.30

Facundo Mura 22' D 6.70

Mateo Silvetti 1 👟 17' F 7.30

Maximiliano Falcón D

Noah Allen 11' D 6.60

Preston Plambeck M

Rocco Ríos Novo G

Philadelphia Union 4-4-2

Andre Blake G 5.60

Ben Bender D 5.30

Nathan Harriel D 5.20

Geiner Martínez 67' D 5.20

Frankie Westfield 1 👟 83' D 6.20

Agustin Anello 57' M 6.30

D. Jean-Jacques M 5.90

Jovan Lukić M 6.60

Cavan Sullivan 66' M 6.20

Bruno Damiani 1 ⚽ 83' F 6.90

Milan Iloski 3 ⚽ F 10.00

Bench

Alejandro Bedoya 24' M 6.50

Andrew Rick G

E. Alladoh 33' F 6.30

Finn Sundstrom 16' D 6.20

Jeremy Rafanello 23' M 6.30

Jesus Bueno M

Kellan Leblanc M

Philippe Ndinga 16' D 6.20

Best on the pitch

G. Berterame

F · Inter

10.00

2 ⚽ 1 👟

4 shots · 17 pass

Milan Iloski

F · Philadelphia

10.00

3 ⚽

7 shots · 31 pass

Luis Suárez

F · Inter

9.50

3 ⚽

4 shots · 27 pass

L. Messi

F · Inter

8.60

2 👟

2 shots · 27 pass

Mateo Silvetti

F · Inter

7.30

1 👟

· 8 pass

Y. Bright

M · Inter

6.90

1 shots · 63 pass

Inter Miami — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Dayne St. Clair	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	31	26%	—	1	—
Sergio Reguilón	D	68	5.60	—	—	—	31	25%	1	1	—
Micael	D	90	6.00	—	—	—	74	69%	1	—	—
Gonzalo Luján	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	77	64%	3	1	—
I. Fray	D	88	5.90	—	1	1	36	30%	2	1	—
T. Segovia	M	67	6.20	—	—	—	30	22%	—	1	—
Y. Bright	M	88	6.90	—	—	1	63	54%	—	—	—
Rodrigo De Paul	M	90	6.90	1	—	3	58	47%	—	—	—
Luis Suárez	F	90	9.50	3	—	4	27	21%	—	—	—
G. Berterame	F	90	10.00	2	1	4	17	17%	1	—	—
L. Messi	F	73	8.60	—	2	2	27	21%	—	—	—
David Ayala	M	23	6.60	—	—	—	18	16%	—	—	—
David Ruíz	M	11	6.30	—	—	—	5	4%	—	—	—
Facundo Mura	D	22	6.70	—	—	—	26	25%	—	—	—
Mateo Silvetti	F	17	7.30	—	1	—	8	7%	—	—	—
Noah Allen	D	11	6.60	—	—	—	4	3%	—	1	—

Philadelphia Union — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Andre Blake	G	90	5.60	—	—	—	23	10%	—	—	—
Ben Bender	D	90	5.30	—	—	—	30	24%	1	—	—
Nathan Harriel	D	90	5.20	—	—	—	33	28%	—	—	—
Geiner Martínez	D	67	5.20	—	—	1	14	9%	—	1	—
Frankie Westfield	D	83	6.20	—	1	2	17	11%	2	—	—
Agustin Anello	M	57	6.30	—	—	3	13	9%	—	—	—
D. Jean-Jacques	M	90	5.90	—	—	—	35	27%	—	1	—
Jovan Lukić	M	90	6.60	—	—	—	33	27%	1	1	—
Cavan Sullivan	M	66	6.20	—	—	—	16	11%	1	—	—
Bruno Damiani	F	83	6.90	1	—	2	16	13%	1	—	—
Milan Iloski	F	90	10.00	3	—	7	31	23%	2	—	—
Alejandro Bedoya	M	24	6.50	—	—	1	8	5%	2	—	—
E. Alladoh	F	33	6.30	—	—	—	5	4%	—	—	—
Finn Sundstrom	D	16	6.20	—	—	—	2	1%	1	—	—
Jeremy Rafanello	M	23	6.30	—	—	1	12	10%	—	—	—
Philippe Ndinga	D	16	6.20	—	—	—	7	6%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union?

The final score was Inter Miami 6–4 Philadelphia Union.

What did the model predict before Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union?

The model assigned 70% probability to a Inter Miami win, 14% to a draw, and 14% to an Philadelphia Union win.