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MLS · Regular Season - 14 May 18, 2026 00:00
Inter Miami
#2 · 59 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Portland Timbers
#8 · 43 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Inter Miami
L. Messi (ast. T. Segovia) 32'
G. Berterame (ast. L. Messi) 42'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter Miami a 74% win probability (draw 13%, Portland Timbers 11%). The final result was Inter Miami 2–0 Portland Timbers.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
10
9
Shots on target
4
3.05
Actual xG
0.82
4
Saves
7
45%
Possession
55%
8
Corners
5
17
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽L. Messi · ast. T. Segovia
32'
R. de Paul
41'
⚽G. Berterame · ast. L. Messi
42'
46'
J. Ortiz / D. Chara ↕
↕ I. Fray / F. Mura
46'
T. Segovia
57'
65'
D. Da Costa
↕ L. Suarez / D. Pinter
65'
67'
I. Smith / K. Miller ↕
74'
A. Aravena / D. Da Costa ↕
↕ Y. Bright / D. Ayala
82'
↕ G. Berterame / P. Plambeck
82'
86'
G. Guerra / K. Kelsy ↕
86'
J. Mosquera / Antony ↕
90'+2
F. Surman
Pre-match prediction
74.55%
Inter ←
13.52%
X
11.92%
Portland
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Inter Miami) 74.55% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Inter
3.98
3.05
-0.93
Portland
0.99
0.82
-0.17
Inter Miami dominated by xG (3.05 vs 0.82). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 33 74
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 33 59
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 33 58
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 33 55
5 Charlotte Charlotte 33 53
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 33 47
7 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 33 46
8 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 33 44
9 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 33 43
10 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 33 39
11 New York City FC New York City FC 33 39
12 Toronto FC Toronto FC 33 39
13 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 33 33
14 DC United DC United 33 33
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 33 26
Lineups
Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-3-3
97 D. St. Clair D. St. Clair G 7.20
3 Reguilón Reguilón D 6.90
16 Micael Micael D 7.50
2 G. Luján G. Luján D 7.20
17 I. Fray I. Fray 45' D 7.20
8 T. Segovia T. Segovia 1 👟 M 7.20
42 Y. Bright Y. Bright 82' M 7.20
7 R. De Paul R. De Paul M 7.50
9 L. Suárez L. Suárez 66' F 7.60
19 G. Berterame G. Berterame 1 ⚽ 83' F 7.30
10 L. Messi L. Messi 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 8.90
Bench
88 A. Shaw A. Shaw M
56 Daniel Pinter Daniel Pinter 24' F 6.70
22 D. Ayala D. Ayala 8' M 6.50
41 D. Ruíz D. Ruíz M
4 F. Mura F. Mura 45' D 6.90
37 M. Falcón M. Falcón D
32 N. Allen N. Allen D
59 P. Plambeck P. Plambeck 13' M 6.30
34 R. Ríos Novo R. Ríos Novo G
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 4-2-3-1
41 J. Pantemis J. Pantemis G 8.30
27 J. Fory J. Fory D 6.20
4 K. Miller K. Miller 67' D 6.30
20 F. Surman F. Surman D 7.20
5 Brandon Bye Brandon Bye D 5.90
21 D. Chará D. Chará 45' M 6.70
17 C. Bassett C. Bassett M 7.30
11 Antony Antony 87' M 6.20
10 David Pereira da Costa David Pereira da Costa 74' M 6.50
99 K. Velde K. Velde M 6.70
19 K. Kelsy K. Kelsy 86' F 6.70
Bench
28 A. Aravena A. Aravena 16' F 6.90
6 A. Bonetig A. Bonetig D
7 A. Lassiter A. Lassiter F
88 Andrew Guerra Andrew Guerra 10' F 6.20
9 F. Mora F. Mora F
23 Ian Smith Ian Smith 23' D 6.60
80 J. Ortiz J. Ortiz 45' M 7.00
29 Juan Mosquera Juan Mosquera 9' D 6.60
25 T. Muse T. Muse G
Best on the pitch
L. Messi
L. Messi
F · Inter
8.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
6 shots · 38 pass
J. Pantemis
J. Pantemis
G · Portland
8.30
· 22 pass
L. Suárez
L. Suárez
F · Inter
7.60
1 shots · 22 pass
Micael
Micael
D · Inter
7.50
· 40 pass
R. De Paul
R. De Paul
M · Inter
7.50
· 61 pass
C. Bassett
C. Bassett
M · Portland
7.30
2 shots · 82 pass
Inter Miami Inter Miami — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. St. Clair G 90 7.20 — — — 29 17% — — —
Reguilón D 90 6.90 — — — 30 22% 1 — —
Micael D 90 7.50 — — — 40 37% 1 — —
G. Luján D 90 7.20 — — — 61 52% 4 — —
I. Fray D 45 7.20 — — 2 8 6% — — —
T. Segovia M 90 7.20 — 1 3 50 45% 2 1 —
Y. Bright M 82 7.20 — — — 29 27% 4 — —
R. De Paul M 90 7.50 — — — 61 53% 1 1 —
L. Suárez F 66 7.60 — — 1 22 16% — — —
G. Berterame F 83 7.30 1 — 2 20 16% — — —
L. Messi F 90 8.90 1 1 6 38 27% 2 — —
Daniel Pinter F 24 6.70 — — 2 9 7% 1 — —
D. Ayala M 8 6.50 — — — 2 1% — — —
F. Mura D 45 6.90 — — — 16 16% — — —
P. Plambeck M 13 6.30 — — — 2 2% 1 — —
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Pantemis G 90 8.30 — — — 22 20% — — —
J. Fory D 90 6.20 — — — 47 43% 1 — —
K. Miller D 67 6.30 — — — 38 35% 1 — —
F. Surman D 90 7.20 — — — 37 36% — 1 —
Brandon Bye D 90 5.90 — — 2 36 24% 1 — —
D. Chará M 45 6.70 — — — 35 33% — — —
C. Bassett M 90 7.30 — — 2 82 76% 1 — —
Antony M 87 6.20 — — 2 40 33% 1 — —
David Pereira da Costa M 74 6.50 — — — 40 36% — 1 —
K. Velde M 90 6.70 — — 3 30 23% 2 — —
K. Kelsy F 86 6.70 — — 1 22 19% 1 — —
A. Aravena F 16 6.90 — — — 13 12% 1 — —
Andrew Guerra F 10 6.20 — — — — — — — —
Ian Smith D 23 6.60 — — — 14 14% 1 — —
J. Ortiz M 45 7.00 — — — 46 42% 1 — —
Juan Mosquera D 9 6.60 — — — 2 1% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Inter Miami vs Portland Timbers?
The final score was Inter Miami 2–0 Portland Timbers.
What did the model predict before Inter Miami vs Portland Timbers?
The model assigned 74% probability to a Inter Miami win, 13% to a draw, and 11% to an Portland Timbers win.