MLS
· Regular Season - 15
May 18, 2026 00:00
✓Model correct — prediction Inter Miami
L. Messi
(ast. T. Segovia)
32'
G. Berterame
(ast. L. Messi)
42'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter Miami a 74% win probability (draw 13%, Portland Timbers 11%). The final result was Inter Miami 2–0 Portland Timbers.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
10
9
Shots on target
4
3.05
Actual xG
0.82
4
Saves
7
45%
Possession
55%
8
Corners
5
17
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽L. Messi
· ast. T. Segovia
32'
R. de Paul
41'
⚽G. Berterame
· ast. L. Messi
42'
46'
J. Ortiz
/
D. Chara
I. Fray
/ F. Mura
46'
T. Segovia
57'
65'
D. Da Costa
L. Suarez
/ D. Pinter
65'
67'
I. Smith
/
K. Miller
74'
A. Aravena
/
D. Da Costa
Y. Bright
/ D. Ayala
82'
G. Berterame
/ P. Plambeck
82'
86'
G. Guerra
/
K. Kelsy
86'
J. Mosquera
/
Antony
90'+2
F. Surman
Pre-match prediction
74.55%
Inter ←
13.52%
X
11.92%
Portland
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Inter Miami)
74.55%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.98
3.05
-0.93
0.99
0.82
-0.17
Inter Miami dominated by xG (3.05 vs 0.82).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
97
Dayne St. Clair
G
Dayne St. Clair
G
3
Sergio Reguilón
D
Sergio Reguilón
D
16
Micael
D
Micael
D
2
Gonzalo Luján
D
Gonzalo Luján
D
17
I. Fray
45'
D
I. Fray
45'
D
8
T. Segovia
1 👟
M
T. Segovia
1 👟
M
42
Y. Bright
82'
M
Y. Bright
82'
M
7
Rodrigo De Paul
M
Rodrigo De Paul
M
9
Luis Suárez
66'
F
Luis Suárez
66'
F
19
G. Berterame
1 ⚽
83'
F
G. Berterame
1 ⚽
83'
F
10
L. Messi
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
L. Messi
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
88
Alexander Shaw
M
Alexander Shaw
M
56
Daniel Pinter
24'
F
Daniel Pinter
24'
F
22
David Ayala
8'
M
David Ayala
8'
M
41
David Ruíz
M
David Ruíz
M
4
Facundo Mura
45'
D
Facundo Mura
45'
D
37
Maximiliano Falcón
D
Maximiliano Falcón
D
32
Noah Allen
D
Noah Allen
D
59
Preston Plambeck
13'
M
Preston Plambeck
13'
M
34
Rocco Ríos Novo
G
Rocco Ríos Novo
G
41
James Pantemis
G
James Pantemis
G
27
J. Fory
D
J. Fory
D
4
K. Miller
67'
D
K. Miller
67'
D
20
Finn Surman
D
Finn Surman
D
5
Brandon Bye
D
Brandon Bye
D
21
Diego Chará
45'
M
Diego Chará
45'
M
17
Cole Bassett
M
Cole Bassett
M
11
Antony Alves
87'
M
Antony Alves
87'
M
10
David Pereira Da Costa
74'
M
David Pereira Da Costa
74'
M
99
Kristoffer Velde
M
Kristoffer Velde
M
19
Kevin Kelsy
86'
F
Bench
28
Alexander Aravena
16'
F
Alexander Aravena
16'
F
6
Alex Bonetig
D
Alex Bonetig
D
7
Ariel Lassiter
F
Ariel Lassiter
F
9
Felipe Mora
F
Felipe Mora
F
88
Gage Guerra
10'
F
Gage Guerra
10'
F
23
Ian Smith
23'
D
Ian Smith
23'
D
80
Joao Ortíz
45'
M
Joao Ortíz
45'
M
29
Juan Mosquera
9'
D
Juan Mosquera
9'
D
25
Trey Muse
G
Trey Muse
G
Best on the pitch
L. Messi
F · Inter
8.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
6 shots
· 38 pass
James Pantemis
G · Portland
8.30
· 22 pass
Luis Suárez
F · Inter
7.60
1 shots
· 22 pass
Micael
D · Inter
7.50
· 40 pass
Rodrigo De Paul
M · Inter
7.50
· 61 pass
Cole Bassett
M · Portland
7.30
2 shots
· 82 pass
Inter Miami — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dayne St. Clair | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Sergio Reguilón | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Micael | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 40 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Gonzalo Luján | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 61 | 52% | 4 | — | — |
| I. Fray | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| T. Segovia | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 3 | 50 | 45% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Y. Bright | M | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | 4 | — | — |
| Rodrigo De Paul | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 61 | 53% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Luis Suárez | F | 66 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| G. Berterame | F | 83 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| L. Messi | F | 90 | 8.90 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Daniel Pinter | F | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| David Ayala | M | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Facundo Mura | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Preston Plambeck | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Portland Timbers — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Pantemis | G | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
| J. Fory | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Miller | D | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Finn Surman | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 36% | — | 1 | — |
| Brandon Bye | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Diego Chará | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Cole Bassett | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 82 | 76% | 1 | — | — |
| Antony Alves | M | 87 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| David Pereira Da Costa | M | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 40 | 36% | — | 1 | — |
| Kristoffer Velde | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 30 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Kevin Kelsy | F | 86 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Alexander Aravena | F | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Gage Guerra | F | 10 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ian Smith | D | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Joao Ortíz | M | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 46 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Mosquera | D | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Inter Miami vs Portland Timbers?
The final score was Inter Miami 2–0 Portland Timbers.
What did the model predict before Inter Miami vs Portland Timbers?
The model assigned 74% probability to a Inter Miami win, 13% to a draw, and 11% to an Portland Timbers win.