MLS
· Regular Season - 26
September 21, 2026 01:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Inter Miami, result Draw
L. Messi
23'
L. Suarez
(ast. R. de Paul)
75'
12'
(ast. J. Tverskov)
A. Dreyer
82'
A. Dreyer
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter Miami a 60% win probability (draw 19%, San Diego 20%). The final result was Inter Miami 2–2 San Diego.
Match statistics
8
Shots on target
3
1.53
Actual xG
1.78
49%
Possession
51%
4
Corners
1
Match Events
12'
ast. J. Tverskov ·
A. Dreyer⚽
⚽L. Messi
23'
33'
I. Murphy
52'
62'
C. Bakambu
/
M. Ingvartsen
Y. Bright
65'
M. Galarza
/ A. Shaw
69'
F. Caicedo
/ S. Reguilon
69'
74'
C. McVey
/
I. Murphy
74'
A. Alvarado Jr
/
A. Godoy
⚽L. Suarez
· ast. R. de Paul
75'
A. Shaw
82'
82'
A. Dreyer⚽
G. Berterame
/ D. Pinter
88'
90'
S. Vines
/
D. Thorhallsson
Pre-match prediction
60.25%
Inter
19.23%
X ←
20.52%
San
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
19.23%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.12
1.53
-0.59
1.18
1.78
+0.6
xG dominance was balanced (1.53 – 1.78).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Inter Miami vs San Diego?
The final score was Inter Miami 2–2 San Diego.
What did the model predict before Inter Miami vs San Diego?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Inter Miami win, 19% to a draw, and 20% to an San Diego win.