MLS · Regular Season - 21 August 23, 2026 01:30

Inter Miami

#2 · 45 pts

1 – 2

Final score

Toronto FC

#12 · 29 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Inter Miami, result Toronto FC wins

L. Messi (ast. R. de Paul) 82'

59' (ast. D. Salloi) J. Sargent

62' D. Etienne

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter Miami a 61% win probability (draw 19%, Toronto FC 19%). The final result was Inter Miami 1–2 Toronto FC. In 1 previous meetings, Inter Miami have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Toronto FC.

Match statistics

3

Shots on target

3

1.83

Actual xG

0.51

62%

Possession

38%

3

Corners

2

Match Events

↕ G. Lujan / F. Mura

26'

37'

R. Laryea

M. Falcon

53'

↕ S. Reguilon / N. Allen

58'

59'

ast. D. Salloi · J. Sargent⚽

62'

D. Etienne⚽

65'

Matheus Pereira / D. Salloi ↕

↕ L. Suarez / L. Delinois

73'

↕ Casemiro / D. Ayala

73'

↕ T. Segovia / D. Pinter

73'

77'

T. Corbeanu / J. Sargent ↕

⚽L. Messi · ast. R. de Paul

82'

86'

J. Gilman / D. Etienne ↕

87'

N. Gomis / D. Mihailovic ↕

D. Ayala

90'+5

Pre-match prediction

61.78%

Inter

19.15%

X

19.07%

Toronto ←

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Toronto FC) 19.07% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Inter

2.13

1.83

-0.3

Toronto

1.16

0.51

-0.65

Inter Miami dominated by xG (1.83 vs 0.51). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Nashville SC	25	54
2	Inter Miami	25	45
3	New England Revolution	24	40
4	Charlotte	25	40
5	Chicago Fire	23	39
6	Orlando City SC	25	34
7	New York City FC	25	32
8	FC Cincinnati	24	32
9	Philadelphia Union	24	30
10	New York Red Bulls	25	30
11	DC United	24	29
12	Toronto FC	25	29
13	Columbus Crew	25	23
14	Atlanta United FC	25	23
15	CF Montreal	25	21