MLS · Regular Season - 21 August 23, 2026 01:30

Inter Miami

#3 · 55 pts

1 – 2

Final score

Toronto FC

#11 · 36 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Inter Miami, result Toronto FC wins

L. Messi (ast. R. de Paul) 82'

59' (ast. D. Salloi) J. Sargent

62' D. Etienne

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter Miami a 61% win probability (draw 19%, Toronto FC 19%). The final result was Inter Miami 1–2 Toronto FC. In 1 previous meetings, Inter Miami have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Toronto FC.

Match statistics

3

Shots on target

3

1.83

Actual xG

0.51

62%

Possession

38%

3

Corners

2

Match Events

↕ G. Lujan / F. Mura

26'

37'

R. Laryea

M. Falcon

53'

↕ S. Reguilon / N. Allen

58'

59'

ast. D. Salloi · J. Sargent⚽

62'

D. Etienne⚽

65'

Matheus Pereira / D. Salloi ↕

↕ L. Suarez / L. Delinois

73'

↕ Casemiro / D. Ayala

73'

↕ T. Segovia / D. Pinter

73'

77'

T. Corbeanu / J. Sargent ↕

⚽L. Messi · ast. R. de Paul

82'

86'

J. Gilman / D. Etienne ↕

87'

N. Gomis / D. Mihailovic ↕

D. Ayala

90'+5

Pre-match prediction

61.78%

Inter

19.15%

X

19.07%

Toronto ←

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Toronto FC) 19.07% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Inter

2.13

1.83

-0.3

Toronto

1.16

0.51

-0.65

Inter Miami dominated by xG (1.83 vs 0.51). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Nashville SC	31	70
2	New England Revolution	31	55
3	Inter Miami	31	55
4	Chicago Fire	31	51
5	Charlotte	31	47
6	Philadelphia Union	31	46
7	Orlando City SC	31	42
8	FC Cincinnati	31	42
9	New York Red Bulls	31	39
10	Columbus Crew	31	38
11	Toronto FC	31	36
12	New York City FC	31	35
13	DC United	31	33
14	Atlanta United FC	31	30
15	CF Montreal	31	25