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Serie A · Regular Season - 31 April 05, 2026 20:45 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
Inter
#2 · 13 pts
5 – 2
Final score
AS Roma
#1 · 13 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Inter
L. Martinez (ast. M. Thuram) 1'
H. Calhanoglu (ast. P. Zielinski) 45'
L. Martinez (ast. M. Thuram) 52'
M. Thuram (ast. H. Calhanoglu) 55'
N. Barella 63'
40' (ast. D. Rensch) G. Mancini
70' L. Pellegrini
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter a 65% win probability (draw 19%, AS Roma 15%). The final result was Inter 5–2 AS Roma. In 2 previous meetings, Inter have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for AS Roma.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
8
9
Shots on target
3
1.17
Actual xG
0.96
1
Saves
4
56%
Possession
44%
7
Corners
4
22
Tackles
11
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽L. Martinez · ast. M. Thuram
1'
40'
ast. D. Rensch · G. Mancini⚽
⚽H. Calhanoglu · ast. P. Zielinski
45'
46'
D. Ghilardi / G. Mancini ↕
⚽L. Martinez · ast. M. Thuram
52'
⚽M. Thuram · ast. H. Calhanoglu
55'
↕ A. Bastoni / M. Darmian
58'
↕ L. Martinez / A. Bonny
58'
58'
K. Tsimikas / D. Rensch ↕
60'
Niccolò Pisilli
⚽N. Barella
63'
64'
S. El Shaarawy / M. Soule ↕
↕ H. Calhanoglu / P. Sucic
66'
↕ M. Thuram / F. Esposito
67'
70'
L. Pellegrini⚽
↕ P. Zielinski / H. Mkhitaryan
76'
81'
J. Ziolkowski / M. Hermoso ↕
Pre-match prediction
65.63%
Inter ←
19.16%
X
15.2%
AS
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Inter) 65.63% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Inter
2.20
1.17
-1.03
AS
0.95
0.96
+0.01
xG dominance was balanced (1.17 – 0.96). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 AS Roma AS Roma 5 13
2 Inter Inter 5 13
3 Lazio Lazio 5 13
4 Cagliari Cagliari 5 12
5 AC Milan AC Milan 5 11
6 Frosinone Frosinone 5 10
7 Juventus Juventus 5 10
8 Como Como 5 10
9 Napoli Napoli 5 7
10 Sassuolo Sassuolo 5 7
11 Atalanta Atalanta 5 6
12 Lecce Lecce 5 6
13 Udinese Udinese 5 4
14 Torino Torino 5 4
15 Parma Parma 5 4
16 Monza Monza 5 4
17 Fiorentina Fiorentina 5 4
18 Bologna Bologna 5 2
19 Genoa Genoa 5 1
20 Venezia Venezia 5 0
Lineups
Inter Inter 3-5-2
1
G 6.60
95 A. Bastoni A. Bastoni 58' D 6.20
15
Francesco Acerbi D 6.20
25 M. Akanji M. Akanji D 7.00
32 F. Dimarco F. Dimarco M 7.00
7 P. Zieliński P. Zieliński 1 👟 76' M 7.50
20 H. Çalhanoğlu H. Çalhanoğlu 1 ⚽ 1 👟 67' M 8.60
23 N. Barella N. Barella 1 ⚽ M 8.00
2 D. Dumfries D. Dumfries M 6.30
10 Lautaro Martínez Lautaro Martínez 2 ⚽ 58' F 8.70
9 M. Thuram M. Thuram 1 ⚽ 2 👟 66' F 9.30
Bench
17 A. Diouf A. Diouf M
14
Ange-Yoan Bonny 32' F 7.70
16 D. Frattesi D. Frattesi M
94 F. Esposito F. Esposito 24' F 6.50
22 Henrikh Mkhitaryan Henrikh Mkhitaryan 14' M 6.30
11 Luís Henrique Luís Henrique F
36
Matteo Darmian 32' D 6.20
43 M. Cocchi M. Cocchi D
8 P. Sučić P. Sučić 23' M 6.30
AS Roma AS Roma 3-4-2-1
99
G 5.30
22 Hermoso Hermoso 81' D 5.00
5
D 5.00
23 G. Mancini G. Mancini 1 ⚽ 45' D 6.60
2 Devyne Rensch Devyne Rensch 1 👟 58' M 6.60
61 N. Pisilli N. Pisilli M 6.50
4
M 6.60
19 Z. Çelik Z. Çelik M 6.70
7 Lorenzo Pellegrini Lorenzo Pellegrini 1 ⚽ F 7.70
18 Matías Soulé Matías Soulé 64' F 6.90
14 D. Malen D. Malen F 6.50
Bench
24 Jan Ziółkowski Jan Ziółkowski 9' D 6.60
12 K. Tsimikas K. Tsimikas 32' D 6.50
8 N. El Aynaoui N. El Aynaoui M
92 Stephan El Shaarawy Stephan El Shaarawy 26' F 6.60
Best on the pitch
M. Thuram
M. Thuram
F · Inter
9.30
1 ⚽ 2 👟
2 shots · 15 pass
Lautaro Martínez
Lautaro Martínez
F · Inter
8.70
2 ⚽
3 shots · 7 pass
H. Çalhanoğlu
H. Çalhanoğlu
M · Inter
8.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 45 pass
N. Barella
N. Barella
M · Inter
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 61 pass
Ange-Yoan Bonny
F · Inter
7.70
· 10 pass
Lorenzo Pellegrini
Lorenzo Pellegrini
F · AS
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 28 pass
Inter Inter — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 — — — 55 42% — — —
A. Bastoni D 58 6.20 — — 1 37 31% 5 — —
Francesco Acerbi D 90 6.20 — — — 54 51% 1 — —
M. Akanji D 90 7.00 — — — 52 47% 3 — —
F. Dimarco M 90 7.00 — — — 44 37% 2 — —
P. Zieliński M 76 7.50 — 1 1 44 37% 4 — —
H. Çalhanoğlu M 67 8.60 1 1 2 45 41% 3 — —
N. Barella M 90 8.00 1 — 1 61 52% 1 — —
D. Dumfries M 90 6.30 — — 2 15 12% — — —
Lautaro Martínez F 58 8.70 2 — 3 7 5% 1 — —
M. Thuram F 66 9.30 1 2 2 15 9% — — —
Ange-Yoan Bonny F 32 7.70 — — — 10 8% 1 — —
F. Esposito F 24 6.50 — — 1 11 9% — — —
Henrikh Mkhitaryan M 14 6.30 — — — 18 16% — — —
Matteo Darmian D 32 6.20 — — — 19 18% — — —
P. Sučić M 23 6.30 — — — 20 20% 1 — —
AS Roma AS Roma — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 5.30 — — — 29 22% — — —
Hermoso D 81 5.00 — — — 41 37% — — —
D 90 5.00 — — — 44 39% 1 — —
G. Mancini D 45 6.60 1 — 1 29 26% 1 — —
Devyne Rensch M 58 6.60 — 1 — 21 17% — — —
N. Pisilli M 90 6.50 — — — 48 41% 2 1 —
M 90 6.60 — — — 45 35% 4 — —
Z. Çelik M 90 6.70 — — — 32 27% 1 — —
Lorenzo Pellegrini F 90 7.70 1 — 2 28 21% 1 — —
Matías Soulé F 64 6.90 — — 1 24 21% — — —
D. Malen F 90 6.50 — — 3 13 12% — — —
Jan Ziółkowski D 9 6.60 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
K. Tsimikas D 32 6.50 — — 1 13 11% — — —
Stephan El Shaarawy F 26 6.60 — — — 12 11% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Inter vs AS Roma?
The final score was Inter 5–2 AS Roma.
What did the model predict before Inter vs AS Roma?
The model assigned 65% probability to a Inter win, 19% to a draw, and 15% to an AS Roma win.