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Serie A · Regular Season - 31 April 05, 2026 20:45 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milan
Inter
#8 · 0 pts
5 – 2
Final score
AS Roma
#16 · 0 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Inter
L. Martinez (ast. M. Thuram) 1'
H. Calhanoglu (ast. P. Zielinski) 45'
L. Martinez (ast. M. Thuram) 52'
M. Thuram (ast. H. Calhanoglu) 55'
N. Barella 63'
40' (ast. D. Rensch) G. Mancini
70' L. Pellegrini
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter a 65% win probability (draw 19%, AS Roma 15%). The final result was Inter 5–2 AS Roma. In 1 previous meetings, Inter have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for AS Roma.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
8
9
Shots on target
3
1.17
Actual xG
0.96
1
Saves
4
56%
Possession
44%
7
Corners
4
22
Tackles
11
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽L. Martinez · ast. M. Thuram
1'
40'
ast. D. Rensch · G. Mancini⚽
⚽H. Calhanoglu · ast. P. Zielinski
45'
46'
D. Ghilardi / G. Mancini ↕
⚽L. Martinez · ast. M. Thuram
52'
⚽M. Thuram · ast. H. Calhanoglu
55'
↕ A. Bastoni / M. Darmian
58'
↕ L. Martinez / A. Bonny
58'
58'
K. Tsimikas / D. Rensch ↕
60'
Niccolò Pisilli
⚽N. Barella
63'
64'
S. El Shaarawy / M. Soule ↕
↕ H. Calhanoglu / P. Sucic
66'
↕ M. Thuram / F. Esposito
67'
70'
L. Pellegrini⚽
↕ P. Zielinski / H. Mkhitaryan
76'
81'
J. Ziolkowski / M. Hermoso ↕
Pre-match prediction
65.63%
Inter ←
19.16%
X
15.2%
AS
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Inter) 65.63% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Inter
2.20
1.17
-1.03
AS
0.95
0.96
+0.01
xG dominance was balanced (1.17 – 0.96). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atalanta Atalanta 0 0
2 Bologna Bologna 0 0
3 Cagliari Cagliari 0 0
4 Como Como 0 0
5 Fiorentina Fiorentina 0 0
6 Frosinone Frosinone 0 0
7 Genoa Genoa 0 0
8 Inter Inter 0 0
9 Juventus Juventus 0 0
10 Lazio Lazio 0 0
11 Lecce Lecce 0 0
12 AC Milan AC Milan 0 0
13 Monza Monza 0 0
14 Napoli Napoli 0 0
15 Parma Parma 0 0
16 AS Roma AS Roma 0 0
17 Sassuolo Sassuolo 0 0
18 Torino Torino 0 0
19 Udinese Udinese 0 0
20 Venezia Venezia 0 0
Lineups
Inter Inter 3-5-2
1
G 6.60
95 A. Bastoni A. Bastoni 58' D 6.20
15
Francesco Acerbi D 6.20
25 Manuel Akanji Manuel Akanji D 7.00
32 F. Dimarco F. Dimarco M 7.00
7 P. Zieliński P. Zieliński 1 👟 76' M 7.50
20 H. Çalhanoğlu H. Çalhanoğlu 1 ⚽ 1 👟 67' M 8.60
23 N. Barella N. Barella 1 ⚽ M 8.00
2 D. Dumfries D. Dumfries M 6.30
10 Lautaro Martínez Lautaro Martínez 2 ⚽ 58' F 8.70
9 Marcus Thuram Marcus Thuram 1 ⚽ 2 👟 66' F 9.30
Bench
14 A. Bonny A. Bonny 32' F 7.70
17 A. Diouf A. Diouf M
16 D. Frattesi D. Frattesi M
94 F. Esposito F. Esposito 24' F 6.50
22
Henrikh Mkhitaryan 14' M 6.30
11
Luís Henrique F
43
Matteo Cocchi D
36
Matteo Darmian 32' D 6.20
8 Petar Sučić Petar Sučić 23' M 6.30
AS Roma AS Roma 3-4-2-1
99
G 5.30
22 Hermoso Hermoso 81' D 5.00
5
D 5.00
23 G. Mancini G. Mancini 1 ⚽ 45' D 6.60
2 Devyne Rensch Devyne Rensch 1 👟 58' M 6.60
61 Niccolò Pisilli Niccolò Pisilli M 6.50
4
M 6.60
19 Z. Çelik Z. Çelik M 6.70
7
L. Pellegrini 1 ⚽ F 7.70
18 M. Soulé M. Soulé 64' F 6.90
14 D. Malen D. Malen F 6.50
Bench
24 Jan Ziółkowski Jan Ziółkowski 9' D 6.60
12 Kostas Tsimikas Kostas Tsimikas 32' D 6.50
8 Neil El Aynaoui Neil El Aynaoui M
92 Stephan El Shaarawy Stephan El Shaarawy 26' F 6.60
Best on the pitch
Marcus Thuram
Marcus Thuram
F · Inter
9.30
1 ⚽ 2 👟
2 shots · 15 pass
Lautaro Martínez
Lautaro Martínez
F · Inter
8.70
2 ⚽
3 shots · 7 pass
H. Çalhanoğlu
H. Çalhanoğlu
M · Inter
8.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 45 pass
N. Barella
N. Barella
M · Inter
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 61 pass
A. Bonny
A. Bonny
F · Inter
7.70
· 10 pass
L. Pellegrini
F · AS
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 28 pass
Inter Inter — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 — — — 55 42% — — —
A. Bastoni D 58 6.20 — — 1 37 31% 5 — —
Francesco Acerbi D 90 6.20 — — — 54 51% 1 — —
Manuel Akanji D 90 7.00 — — — 52 47% 3 — —
F. Dimarco M 90 7.00 — — — 44 37% 2 — —
P. Zieliński M 76 7.50 — 1 1 44 37% 4 — —
H. Çalhanoğlu M 67 8.60 1 1 2 45 41% 3 — —
N. Barella M 90 8.00 1 — 1 61 52% 1 — —
D. Dumfries M 90 6.30 — — 2 15 12% — — —
Lautaro Martínez F 58 8.70 2 — 3 7 5% 1 — —
Marcus Thuram F 66 9.30 1 2 2 15 9% — — —
A. Bonny F 32 7.70 — — — 10 8% 1 — —
F. Esposito F 24 6.50 — — 1 11 9% — — —
Henrikh Mkhitaryan M 14 6.30 — — — 18 16% — — —
Matteo Darmian D 32 6.20 — — — 19 18% — — —
Petar Sučić M 23 6.30 — — — 20 20% 1 — —
AS Roma AS Roma — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 5.30 — — — 29 22% — — —
Hermoso D 81 5.00 — — — 41 37% — — —
D 90 5.00 — — — 44 39% 1 — —
G. Mancini D 45 6.60 1 — 1 29 26% 1 — —
Devyne Rensch M 58 6.60 — 1 — 21 17% — — —
Niccolò Pisilli M 90 6.50 — — — 48 41% 2 1 —
M 90 6.60 — — — 45 35% 4 — —
Z. Çelik M 90 6.70 — — — 32 27% 1 — —
L. Pellegrini F 90 7.70 1 — 2 28 21% 1 — —
M. Soulé F 64 6.90 — — 1 24 21% — — —
D. Malen F 90 6.50 — — 3 13 12% — — —
Jan Ziółkowski D 9 6.60 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
Kostas Tsimikas D 32 6.50 — — 1 13 11% — — —
Stephan El Shaarawy F 26 6.60 — — — 12 11% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Inter vs AS Roma?
The final score was Inter 5–2 AS Roma.
What did the model predict before Inter vs AS Roma?
The model assigned 65% probability to a Inter win, 19% to a draw, and 15% to an AS Roma win.