← Serie A
Serie A · Regular Season - 31 April 05, 2026 22:45
Inter
#1 · 85 pts
5 – 2
Final score
AS Roma
#5 · 67 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Inter
L. Martinez (ast. M. Thuram) 1'
H. Calhanoglu (ast. P. Zielinski) 45'
L. Martinez (ast. M. Thuram) 52'
M. Thuram (ast. H. Calhanoglu) 55'
N. Barella 63'
40' (ast. D. Rensch) G. Mancini
70' L. Pellegrini

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter a 65% win probability (draw 19%, AS Roma 15%). The final result was Inter 5–2 AS Roma. In 1 previous meetings, Inter have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for AS Roma.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
8
9
Shots on target
3
1.17
Actual xG
0.96
1
Saves
4
56%
Possession
44%
7
Corners
4
22
Tackles
11
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽L. Martinez · ast. M. Thuram
1'
40'
ast. D. Rensch · G. Mancini⚽
⚽H. Calhanoglu · ast. P. Zielinski
45'
46'
D. Ghilardi / G. Mancini ↕
⚽L. Martinez · ast. M. Thuram
52'
⚽M. Thuram · ast. H. Calhanoglu
55'
↕ A. Bastoni / M. Darmian
58'
↕ L. Martinez / A. Bonny
58'
58'
K. Tsimikas / D. Rensch ↕
60'
Niccolò Pisilli
⚽N. Barella
63'
64'
S. El Shaarawy / M. Soule ↕
↕ H. Calhanoglu / P. Sucic
66'
↕ M. Thuram / F. Esposito
67'
70'
L. Pellegrini⚽
↕ P. Zielinski / H. Mkhitaryan
76'
81'
J. Ziolkowski / M. Hermoso ↕
Pre-match prediction
65.63%
Inter ←
19.16%
X
15.2%
AS
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Inter) 65.63% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Inter
2.20
1.17
-1.03
AS
0.95
0.96
+0.01
xG dominance was balanced (1.17 – 0.96). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Inter Inter 36 85
2 Napoli Napoli 36 70
3 Juventus Juventus 36 68
4 AC Milan AC Milan 36 67
5 AS Roma AS Roma 36 67
6 Como Como 36 65
7 Atalanta Atalanta 36 58
8 Bologna Bologna 36 52
9 Lazio Lazio 36 51
10 Udinese Udinese 36 50
11 Sassuolo Sassuolo 36 49
12 Torino Torino 36 44
13 Parma Parma 36 42
14 Genoa Genoa 36 41
15 Fiorentina Fiorentina 36 38
16 Cagliari Cagliari 36 37
17 Lecce Lecce 36 32
18 Cremonese Cremonese 36 31
19 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 36 20
20 Pisa Pisa 36 18
Lineups
Inter Inter 3-5-2
1
G 6.60
95 Alessandro Bastoni Alessandro Bastoni 58' D 6.20
15 Francesco Acerbi Francesco Acerbi D 6.20
25 Manuel Akanji Manuel Akanji D 7.00
32 Federico Dimarco Federico Dimarco M 7.00
7 Piotr Zieliński Piotr Zieliński 1 👟 76' M 7.50
20 H. Çalhanoğlu H. Çalhanoğlu 1 ⚽ 1 👟 67' M 8.60
23 Nicolò Barella Nicolò Barella 1 ⚽ M 8.00
2 D. Dumfries D. Dumfries M 6.30
10 Lautaro Martínez Lautaro Martínez 2 ⚽ 58' F 8.70
9 M. Thuram M. Thuram 1 ⚽ 2 👟 66' F 9.30
Bench
14 A. Bonny A. Bonny 32' F 7.70
17 A. Diouf A. Diouf M
16 D. Frattesi D. Frattesi M
94 F. Esposito F. Esposito 24' F 6.50
22 Henrikh Mkhitaryan Henrikh Mkhitaryan 14' M 6.30
11 Luís Henrique Luís Henrique F
43 Matteo Cocchi Matteo Cocchi D
36 Matteo Darmian Matteo Darmian 32' D 6.20
8 P. Sučić P. Sučić 23' M 6.30
AS Roma AS Roma 3-4-2-1
99
G 5.30
22 Mario Hermoso Mario Hermoso 81' D 5.00
5
D 5.00
23 G. Mancini G. Mancini 1 ⚽ 45' D 6.60
2 Devyne Rensch Devyne Rensch 1 👟 58' M 6.60
61 Niccolò Pisilli Niccolò Pisilli M 6.50
4
M 6.60
19 Zeki Çelik Zeki Çelik M 6.70
7
L. Pellegrini 1 ⚽ F 7.70
18 M. Soulé M. Soulé 64' F 6.90
14 D. Malen D. Malen F 6.50
Bench
24 Jan Ziółkowski Jan Ziółkowski 9' D 6.60
12 Kostas Tsimikas Kostas Tsimikas 32' D 6.50
8 N. El Aynaoui N. El Aynaoui M
92
S. El Shaarawy 26' F 6.60
Best on the pitch
M. Thuram
M. Thuram
F · Inter
9.30
1 ⚽ 2 👟
2 shots · 15 pass
Lautaro Martínez
Lautaro Martínez
F · Inter
8.70
2 ⚽
3 shots · 7 pass
H. Çalhanoğlu
H. Çalhanoğlu
M · Inter
8.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 45 pass
Nicolò Barella
Nicolò Barella
M · Inter
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 61 pass
A. Bonny
A. Bonny
F · Inter
7.70
· 10 pass
L. Pellegrini
F · AS
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 28 pass
Inter Inter — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 — — — 55 42% — — —
Alessandro Bastoni D 58 6.20 — — 1 37 31% 5 — —
Francesco Acerbi D 90 6.20 — — — 54 51% 1 — —
Manuel Akanji D 90 7.00 — — — 52 47% 3 — —
Federico Dimarco M 90 7.00 — — — 44 37% 2 — —
Piotr Zieliński M 76 7.50 — 1 1 44 37% 4 — —
H. Çalhanoğlu M 67 8.60 1 1 2 45 41% 3 — —
Nicolò Barella M 90 8.00 1 — 1 61 52% 1 — —
D. Dumfries M 90 6.30 — — 2 15 12% — — —
Lautaro Martínez F 58 8.70 2 — 3 7 5% 1 — —
M. Thuram F 66 9.30 1 2 2 15 9% — — —
A. Bonny F 32 7.70 — — — 10 8% 1 — —
F. Esposito F 24 6.50 — — 1 11 9% — — —
Henrikh Mkhitaryan M 14 6.30 — — — 18 16% — — —
Matteo Darmian D 32 6.20 — — — 19 18% — — —
P. Sučić M 23 6.30 — — — 20 20% 1 — —
AS Roma AS Roma — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 5.30 — — — 29 22% — — —
Mario Hermoso D 81 5.00 — — — 41 37% — — —
D 90 5.00 — — — 44 39% 1 — —
G. Mancini D 45 6.60 1 — 1 29 26% 1 — —
Devyne Rensch M 58 6.60 — 1 — 21 17% — — —
Niccolò Pisilli M 90 6.50 — — — 48 41% 2 1 —
M 90 6.60 — — — 45 35% 4 — —
Zeki Çelik M 90 6.70 — — — 32 27% 1 — —
L. Pellegrini F 90 7.70 1 — 2 28 21% 1 — —
M. Soulé F 64 6.90 — — 1 24 21% — — —
D. Malen F 90 6.50 — — 3 13 12% — — —
Jan Ziółkowski D 9 6.60 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
Kostas Tsimikas D 32 6.50 — — 1 13 11% — — —
S. El Shaarawy F 26 6.60 — — — 12 11% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Inter vs AS Roma?
The final score was Inter 5–2 AS Roma.
What did the model predict before Inter vs AS Roma?
The model assigned 65% probability to a Inter win, 19% to a draw, and 15% to an AS Roma win.