✓Model correct — prediction Inter
M. Thuram
(ast. F. Dimarco)
52'
N. Barella
56'
P. Zielinski
(ast. D. Dumfries)
90'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter a 72% win probability (draw 18%, Cagliari 8%). The final result was Inter 3–0 Cagliari. In 1 previous meetings, Inter have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Cagliari.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
1
2.19
Actual xG
0.42
1
Saves
1
56%
Possession
44%
4
Corners
9
11
Tackles
20
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
23'
Sebastiano Esposito
25'
Gennaro Borrelli
⚽M. Thuram
· ast. F. Dimarco
52'
⚽N. Barella
56'
57'
P. Mendy
/
G. Borrelli
57'
A. Deiola
/
G. Gaetano
H. Mkhitaryan
/ P. Zielinski
76'
F. Dimarco
/ Luis Henrique
76'
M. Thuram
/ A. Bonny
76'
76'
M. Folorunsho
/
I. Sulemana
76'
G. Zappa
/
A. Obert
H. Calhanoglu
/ D. Frattesi
85'
87'
A. Belotti
/
J. Pedro
N. Barella
/ A. Diouf
89'
⚽P. Zielinski
· ast. D. Dumfries
90'
Pre-match prediction
72.68%
Inter ←
18.56%
X
8.77%
Cagliari
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Inter)
72.68%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.12
2.19
+0.06
0.68
0.42
-0.26
Inter dominated by xG (2.19 vs 0.42).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
13
G
30
Carlos Augusto
D
6
D
25
Manuel Akanji
D
Manuel Akanji
D
32
F. Dimarco
1 👟
76'
M
F. Dimarco
1 👟
76'
M
22
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
76'
M
20
H. Çalhanoğlu
85'
M
H. Çalhanoğlu
85'
M
23
N. Barella
1 ⚽
89'
M
N. Barella
1 ⚽
89'
M
2
D. Dumfries
1 👟
M
D. Dumfries
1 👟
M
9
M. Thuram
1 ⚽
76'
F
M. Thuram
1 ⚽
76'
F
94
F. Esposito
F
F. Esposito
F
Bench
14
A. Bonny
14'
F
A. Bonny
14'
F
17
A. Diouf
1'
M
A. Diouf
1'
M
51
C. Alexiou
D
16
D. Frattesi
10'
M
D. Frattesi
10'
M
15
Francesco Acerbi
D
11
Luís Henrique
14'
F
36
Matteo Darmian
D
7
P. Zieliński
1 ⚽
14'
M
P. Zieliński
1 ⚽
14'
M
1
G
15
Juan Rodríguez
D
Juan Rodríguez
D
26
D
32
Zé Pedro
87'
D
Zé Pedro
87'
D
33
Adam Obert
76'
M
25
Sulemana
76'
M
Sulemana
76'
M
10
Gianluca Gaetano
57'
M
Gianluca Gaetano
57'
M
8
Michel Adopo
M
Michel Adopo
M
2
Marco Palestra
M
Marco Palestra
M
29
Gennaro Borrelli
57'
F
Gennaro Borrelli
57'
F
94
S. Esposito
F
S. Esposito
F
Bench
14
Alessandro Deiola
33'
M
Alessandro Deiola
33'
M
90
M. Folorunsho
14'
M
M. Folorunsho
14'
M
31
Paul Mendy
33'
F
Paul Mendy
33'
F
Best on the pitch
N. Barella
M · Inter
8.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 74 pass
D · Inter
8.20
· 61 pass
F. Dimarco
M · Inter
7.70
1 👟
2 shots
· 42 pass
Michel Adopo
M · Cagliari
7.30
1 shots
· 33 pass
P. Zieliński
M · Inter
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 9 pass
Manuel Akanji
D · Inter
7.20
· 69 pass
Inter — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Carlos Augusto | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 42% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 61 | 58% | 2 | — | — | |
| Manuel Akanji | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 69 | 64% | — | — | — |
| F. Dimarco | M | 76 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 42 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| Henrikh Mkhitaryan | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Çalhanoğlu | M | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 88 | 81% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Barella | M | 89 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 74 | 64% | — | — | — |
| D. Dumfries | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 3 | 22 | 19% | — | — | — |
| M. Thuram | F | 76 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Esposito | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 12% | — | — | — |
| A. Bonny | F | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| A. Diouf | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| D. Frattesi | M | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| Luís Henrique | F | 14 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| P. Zieliński | M | 14 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
Cagliari — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| Juan Rodríguez | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 51 | 46% | 2 | — | — | |
| Zé Pedro | D | 87 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 62 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| Adam Obert | M | 76 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| Sulemana | M | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Gianluca Gaetano | M | 57 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Michel Adopo | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 27% | 6 | — | — |
| Marco Palestra | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Gennaro Borrelli | F | 57 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Esposito | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 45% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Alessandro Deiola | M | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Folorunsho | M | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Paul Mendy | F | 33 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Inter vs Cagliari?
The final score was Inter 3–0 Cagliari.
What did the model predict before Inter vs Cagliari?
The model assigned 72% probability to a Inter win, 18% to a draw, and 8% to an Cagliari win.