Serie A
· Regular Season - 33
April 17, 2026 22:45
✓Model correct — prediction Inter
M. Thuram
(ast. F. Dimarco)
52'
N. Barella
56'
P. Zielinski
(ast. D. Dumfries)
90'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter a 72% win probability (draw 18%, Cagliari 8%). The final result was Inter 3–0 Cagliari. In 1 previous meetings, Inter have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Cagliari.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
1
2.19
Actual xG
0.42
1
Saves
1
56%
Possession
44%
4
Corners
9
11
Tackles
20
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
23'
Sebastiano Esposito
25'
Gennaro Borrelli
⚽M. Thuram
· ast. F. Dimarco
52'
⚽N. Barella
56'
57'
P. Mendy
/
G. Borrelli
57'
A. Deiola
/
G. Gaetano
H. Mkhitaryan
/ P. Zielinski
76'
F. Dimarco
/ Luis Henrique
76'
M. Thuram
/ A. Bonny
76'
76'
M. Folorunsho
/
I. Sulemana
76'
G. Zappa
/
A. Obert
H. Calhanoglu
/ D. Frattesi
85'
87'
A. Belotti
/
J. Pedro
N. Barella
/ A. Diouf
89'
⚽P. Zielinski
· ast. D. Dumfries
90'
Pre-match prediction
72.68%
Inter ←
18.56%
X
8.77%
Cagliari
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Inter)
72.68%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.12
2.19
+0.06
0.68
0.42
-0.26
Inter dominated by xG (2.19 vs 0.42).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
13
G
30
Carlos Augusto
D
Carlos Augusto
D
6
D
25
Manuel Akanji
D
Manuel Akanji
D
32
Federico Dimarco
1 👟
76'
M
Federico Dimarco
1 👟
76'
M
22
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
76'
M
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
76'
M
20
H. Çalhanoğlu
85'
M
H. Çalhanoğlu
85'
M
23
Nicolò Barella
1 ⚽
89'
M
Nicolò Barella
1 ⚽
89'
M
2
D. Dumfries
1 👟
M
D. Dumfries
1 👟
M
9
M. Thuram
1 ⚽
76'
F
M. Thuram
1 ⚽
76'
F
94
F. Esposito
F
F. Esposito
F
Bench
14
A. Bonny
14'
F
A. Bonny
14'
F
17
A. Diouf
1'
M
A. Diouf
1'
M
51
C. Alexiou
D
16
D. Frattesi
10'
M
D. Frattesi
10'
M
15
Francesco Acerbi
D
Francesco Acerbi
D
11
Luís Henrique
14'
F
Luís Henrique
14'
F
36
Matteo Darmian
D
Matteo Darmian
D
7
Piotr Zieliński
1 ⚽
14'
M
Piotr Zieliński
1 ⚽
14'
M
1
G
15
J. Rodriguez
D
26
D
32
J. Pedro
87'
D
33
A. Obert
76'
M
A. Obert
76'
M
25
I. Sulemana
76'
M
10
G. Gaetano
57'
M
8
M. Adopo
M
2
M. Palestra
M
29
G. Borrelli
57'
F
94
S. Esposito
F
S. Esposito
F
Bench
14
A. Deiola
33'
M
90
M. Folorunsho
14'
M
31
P. Mendy
33'
F
Best on the pitch
Nicolò Barella
M · Inter
8.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 74 pass
D · Inter
8.20
· 61 pass
Federico Dimarco
M · Inter
7.70
1 👟
2 shots
· 42 pass
M. Adopo
M · Cagliari
7.30
1 shots
· 33 pass
Piotr Zieliński
M · Inter
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 9 pass
Manuel Akanji
D · Inter
7.20
· 69 pass
Inter — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Carlos Augusto | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 42% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 61 | 58% | 2 | — | — | |
| Manuel Akanji | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 69 | 64% | — | — | — |
| Federico Dimarco | M | 76 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 42 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| Henrikh Mkhitaryan | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Çalhanoğlu | M | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 88 | 81% | 2 | — | — |
| Nicolò Barella | M | 89 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 74 | 64% | — | — | — |
| D. Dumfries | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 3 | 22 | 19% | — | — | — |
| M. Thuram | F | 76 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Esposito | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 12% | — | — | — |
| A. Bonny | F | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| A. Diouf | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| D. Frattesi | M | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| Luís Henrique | F | 14 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Piotr Zieliński | M | 14 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
Cagliari — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| J. Rodriguez | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 51 | 46% | 2 | — | — | |
| J. Pedro | D | 87 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 62 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Obert | M | 76 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Sulemana | M | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Gaetano | M | 57 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Adopo | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 27% | 6 | — | — |
| M. Palestra | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Borrelli | F | 57 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Esposito | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 45% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. Deiola | M | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Folorunsho | M | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| P. Mendy | F | 33 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Inter vs Cagliari?
The final score was Inter 3–0 Cagliari.
What did the model predict before Inter vs Cagliari?
The model assigned 72% probability to a Inter win, 18% to a draw, and 8% to an Cagliari win.