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Serie A · Regular Season - 8 October 25, 2026 12:30 San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan
Inter
#2 · 22 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Fiorentina
#18 · 4 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Inter
Marcus Thuram (ast. Andy Diouf) 90'+1
Piotr Zieliński 90'+7 (pen.)
65' (ast. Nicolo Fagioli) Álex Jiménez
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter a 55% win probability (draw 23%, Fiorentina 20%). The final result was Inter 2–1 Fiorentina. In 2 previous meetings, Inter have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Fiorentina.

Match statistics
33
Total shots
7
11
Shots on target
2
2.94
Actual xG
0.25
1
Saves
9
63%
Possession
37%
6
Corners
1
20
Tackles
17
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
51'
Viery / Marin Pongračić ↕
↕ Pio Esposito / Ange-Yoan Bonny
64'
65'
ast. Nicolo Fagioli · Álex Jiménez⚽
70'
Viery
75'
Wilfried Gnonto / Franco Mastantuono ↕
75'
Domilson Dodo / Álex Jiménez ↕
↕ Alessandro Bastoni / Federico Dimarco
77'
↕ Hakan Çalhanoğlu / Piotr Zieliński
78'
↕ Henrikh Mkhitaryan / Petar Sučić
78'
83'
Beto / Mateo Pellegrino ↕
83'
João Mário / Alieu Njie ↕
↕ Nicolò Barella / Mattheo Lavelli
85'
⚽Marcus Thuram · ast. Andy Diouf
90'+1
90'+5
Víctor Valdepeñas Talavera
⚽Piotr Zieliński (pen.)
90'+7
90'+11
Domilson Dodo
Pre-match prediction
55.62%
Inter ←
23.64%
X
20.74%
Fiorentina
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Inter) 55.62% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Inter
2.33
2.94
+0.61
Fiorentina
0.75
0.25
-0.5
Inter dominated by xG (2.94 vs 0.25). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lazio Lazio 9 25
2 Inter Inter 8 22
3 AS Roma AS Roma 9 21
4 Como Como 9 20
5 AC Milan AC Milan 8 18
6 Frosinone Frosinone 8 14
7 Juventus Juventus 8 14
8 Torino Torino 9 13
9 Cagliari Cagliari 9 13
10 Napoli Napoli 8 11
11 Atalanta Atalanta 8 10
12 Lecce Lecce 8 9
13 Bologna Bologna 8 8
14 Sassuolo Sassuolo 9 8
15 Monza Monza 8 7
16 Genoa Genoa 8 7
17 Udinese Udinese 8 4
18 Fiorentina Fiorentina 8 4
19 Parma Parma 8 4
20 Venezia Venezia 8 3
Lineups
Inter Inter 3-5-2
49 I. Provedel I. Provedel G 6.64
95 A. Bastoni A. Bastoni 77' D 6.94
25 M. Akanji M. Akanji D 7.20
31 Y. Bisseck Y. Bisseck D 7.05
30 Carlos Augusto Carlos Augusto M 7.20
22 H. Mkhitaryan H. Mkhitaryan 78' M 6.46
20 H. Çalhanoğlu H. Çalhanoğlu 78' M 7.09
23 N. Barella N. Barella 85' M 6.89
17 A. Diouf A. Diouf 1 👟 M 7.70
94 F. Esposito F. Esposito 64' F 6.30
9 M. Thuram M. Thuram 1 ⚽ F 8.20
Bench
14 A. Bonny A. Bonny 26' F 7.09
5 A. Stanković A. Stanković M 0.00
99 D. Spence D. Spence D 0.00
32 F. Dimarco F. Dimarco 13' D 6.69
1 Josep Martínez Josep Martínez G 0.00
46 L. Bovio L. Bovio D 0.00
51 L. Jakirović L. Jakirović D 0.00
53 M. Lavelli M. Lavelli 5' F 6.74
48 M. Mosconi M. Mosconi F 0.00
8 P. Sučić P. Sučić 12' M 6.60
7 P. Zieliński P. Zieliński 1 ⚽ 12' M 7.79
12 R. Di Gennaro R. Di Gennaro G 0.00
Fiorentina Fiorentina 4-3-3
43 David de Gea David de Gea G 7.05
21 Valde Valde D 6.50
5 M. Pongračić M. Pongračić 51' D 6.79
3 R. Drăgușin R. Drăgușin D 6.81
20 Álex Jiménez Álex Jiménez 1 ⚽ 75' D 7.33
4 M. Brescianini M. Brescianini M 5.67
44 N. Fagioli N. Fagioli 1 👟 M 7.38
27 C. Ndour C. Ndour M 6.40
25 A. Njie A. Njie 83' F 6.48
32 Mateo Pellegrino Mateo Pellegrino 83' F 6.37
30 Franco Mastantuono Franco Mastantuono 75' F 6.25
Bench
23 Beto Beto 7' F 6.30
72 B. Mazzeo B. Mazzeo F 0.00
42 C. Inao Oulaï C. Inao Oulaï M 0.00
2 Dodô Dodô 15' D 6.68
17 João Mário João Mário 7' D 6.61
19 L. Lezzerini L. Lezzerini G 0.00
53 O. Christensen O. Christensen G 0.00
28 Pote Pote M 0.00
33 Viery Viery 39' D 6.08
29 W. Gnonto W. Gnonto 15' F 6.89
Best on the pitch
M. Thuram
M. Thuram
F · Inter
8.20
1 ⚽
9 shots · 20 pass
P. Zieliński
P. Zieliński
M · Inter
7.79
1 ⚽
1 shots · 14 pass
A. Diouf
A. Diouf
M · Inter
7.70
1 👟
2 shots · 42 pass
N. Fagioli
N. Fagioli
M · Fiorentina
7.38
1 👟
· 53 pass
Álex Jiménez
Álex Jiménez
D · Fiorentina
7.33
1 ⚽
1 shots · 42 pass
M. Akanji
M. Akanji
D · Inter
7.20
1 shots · 90 pass
Inter Inter — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
I. Provedel G 90 6.64 — — 0 31 30% 0 — —
A. Bastoni D 77 6.94 — — 0 57 55% 1 — —
M. Akanji D 90 7.20 — — 1 90 83% 1 — —
Y. Bisseck D 90 7.05 — — 0 58 52% 2 — —
Carlos Augusto M 90 7.20 — — 3 46 41% 1 — —
H. Mkhitaryan M 78 6.46 — — 3 45 36% 1 — —
H. Çalhanoğlu M 78 7.09 — — 2 54 52% 1 — —
N. Barella M 85 6.89 — — 3 57 51% 3 — —
A. Diouf M 90 7.70 — 1 2 42 38% 5 — —
F. Esposito F 64 6.30 — — 2 7 6% 0 — —
M. Thuram F 90 8.20 1 — 9 20 12% 3 — —
A. Bonny F 26 7.09 — — 3 9 8% 0 — —
F. Dimarco D 13 6.69 — — 1 16 16% 0 — —
M. Lavelli F 5 6.74 — — 2 1 1% 0 — —
P. Sučić M 12 6.60 — — 1 16 15% 1 — —
P. Zieliński M 12 7.79 1 — 1 14 14% 1 — —
Fiorentina Fiorentina — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
David de Gea G 90 7.05 — — 0 46 27% 0 — —
Valde D 90 6.50 — — 1 29 26% 0 1 —
M. Pongračić D 51 6.79 — — 0 22 21% 1 — —
R. Drăgușin D 90 6.81 — — 0 33 27% 2 — —
Álex Jiménez D 75 7.33 1 — 1 42 33% 3 — —
M. Brescianini M 90 5.67 — — 0 23 15% 2 — —
N. Fagioli M 90 7.38 — 1 0 53 48% 1 — —
C. Ndour M 90 6.40 — — 1 32 25% 3 — —
A. Njie F 83 6.48 — — 0 11 10% 1 — —
Mateo Pellegrino F 83 6.37 — — 1 7 4% 0 — —
Franco Mastantuono F 75 6.25 — — 2 24 19% 2 — —
Beto F 7 6.30 — — 0 2 0% 0 — —
Dodô D 15 6.68 — — 0 2 2% 0 1 —
João Mário D 7 6.61 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Viery D 39 6.08 — — 0 9 7% 1 1 —
W. Gnonto F 15 6.89 — — 1 1 1% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Inter vs Fiorentina?
The final score was Inter 2–1 Fiorentina.
What did the model predict before Inter vs Fiorentina?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Inter win, 23% to a draw, and 20% to an Fiorentina win.