✗Model wrong — prediction Inter, result Draw
A. Edmundsson
47'
(og)
90'+1
K. Bowie
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter a 71% win probability (draw 20%, Hellas Verona 8%). The final result was Inter 1–1 Hellas Verona. In 1 previous meetings, Inter have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Hellas Verona.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
11
6
Shots on target
5
2.71
Actual xG
1.20
4
Saves
5
74%
Possession
26%
10
Corners
2
17
Tackles
26
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
46'
A. Harroui
/
A. Bernede
⚽A. Edmundsson
(og)
47'
61'
N. Valentini
61'
J. Akpa Akpro
/
R. Belghali
61'
A. Sarr
/
T. Suslov
A. Diouf
/ P. Zielinski
63'
M. Darmian
/ F. Dimarco
64'
A. Bonny
/ F. Esposito
64'
L. Martinez
/ M. Mosconi
75'
Y. Sommer
/ R. Di Gennaro
81'
84'
D. Bradaric
/
M. Frese
84'
I. Vermesan
/
S. Lovric
89'
R. Gagliardini
90'+1
K. Bowie⚽
Pre-match prediction
71.36%
Inter
20.22%
X ←
8.42%
Hellas
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
20.22%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.88
2.71
+0.83
0.50
1.20
+0.7
Inter dominated by xG (2.71 vs 1.20).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Yann Sommer
81'
G
Yann Sommer
81'
G
15
Francesco Acerbi
D
6
S. de Vrij
D
S. de Vrij
D
36
M. Darmian
64'
D
M. Darmian
64'
D
30
Carlos Augusto
M
Carlos Augusto
M
22
H. Mkhitaryan
M
H. Mkhitaryan
M
8
P. Sučić
M
P. Sučić
M
17
A. Diouf
63'
M
A. Diouf
63'
M
11
Luis Henrique
M
Luis Henrique
M
10
Lautaro Martínez
75'
F
Lautaro Martínez
75'
F
14
A. Bonny
64'
F
A. Bonny
64'
F
Bench
95
A. Bastoni
D
A. Bastoni
D
2
D. Dumfries
D
D. Dumfries
D
16
D. Frattesi
M
D. Frattesi
M
32
F. Dimarco
26'
D
F. Dimarco
26'
D
94
F. Esposito
26'
F
F. Esposito
26'
F
20
H. Çalhanoğlu
M
H. Çalhanoğlu
M
13
Josep Martínez
G
Josep Martínez
G
25
M. Akanji
D
M. Akanji
D
43
M. Cocchi
D
M. Cocchi
D
48
M. Mosconi
15'
F
M. Mosconi
15'
F
9
M. Thuram
F
M. Thuram
F
23
N. Barella
M
N. Barella
M
7
P. Zieliński
27'
M
P. Zieliński
27'
M
12
R. Di Gennaro
9'
G
R. Di Gennaro
9'
G
31
Y. Bisseck
D
Y. Bisseck
D
1
L. Montipò
G
L. Montipò
G
3
M. Frese
84'
D
M. Frese
84'
D
6
N. Valentini
D
N. Valentini
D
5
A. Edmundsson
1 ⚽
D
A. Edmundsson
1 ⚽
D
15
Victor Nelsson
D
Victor Nelsson
D
7
R. Belghali
61'
D
R. Belghali
61'
D
24
A. Bernede
45'
M
A. Bernede
45'
M
63
R. Gagliardini
M
R. Gagliardini
M
4
S. Lovrić
84'
M
S. Lovrić
84'
M
18
K. Bowie
1 ⚽
F
K. Bowie
1 ⚽
F
10
T. Suslov
61'
F
T. Suslov
61'
F
Bench
37
A. Bella-Kotchap
D
A. Bella-Kotchap
D
21
A. Harroui
45'
M
A. Harroui
45'
M
9
A. Sarr
29'
F
A. Sarr
29'
F
36
Cheikh Niasse
M
Cheikh Niasse
M
12
D. Bradarić
11'
D
D. Bradarić
11'
D
70
Fallou Cham
D
Fallou Cham
D
94
G. Toniolo
G
G. Toniolo
G
90
Ioan Vermeșan
11'
F
Ioan Vermeșan
11'
F
41
Isaac
F
Isaac
F
11
J. Akpa Akpro
29'
M
J. Akpa Akpro
29'
M
72
Junior Ajayi
F
Junior Ajayi
F
73
Moatasem Al-Musrati
M
Moatasem Al-Musrati
M
14
Pol Lirola
D
Pol Lirola
D
34
S. Perilli
G
S. Perilli
G
19
T. Slotsager
D
T. Slotsager
D
Best on the pitch
A. Edmundsson
D · Hellas
8.20
1 ⚽
· 18 pass
P. Sučić
M · Inter
8.20
2 shots
· 83 pass
Yann Sommer
G · Inter
7.50
· 20 pass
Victor Nelsson
D · Hellas
7.50
1 shots
· 16 pass
L. Montipò
G · Hellas
7.50
· 18 pass
H. Mkhitaryan
M · Inter
7.50
4 shots
· 72 pass
Inter — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yann Sommer | G | 81 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Francesco Acerbi | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 99 | 93% | — | — | — |
| S. de Vrij | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 77 | 70% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Darmian | D | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Augusto | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 68 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Mkhitaryan | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 4 | 72 | 64% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Sučić | M | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | 2 | 83 | 75% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Diouf | M | 63 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Henrique | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Lautaro Martínez | F | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 26 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Bonny | F | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Dimarco | D | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| F. Esposito | F | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Mosconi | F | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| P. Zieliński | M | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Di Gennaro | G | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
Hellas Verona — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Montipò | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 9% | — | — | — |
| M. Frese | D | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Valentini | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 12% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Edmundsson | D | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | — | 18 | 13% | 4 | — | — |
| Victor Nelsson | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | 5 | — | — |
| R. Belghali | D | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bernede | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Gagliardini | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Lovrić | M | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Bowie | F | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Suslov | F | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Harroui | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Sarr | F | 29 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| D. Bradarić | D | 11 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Ioan Vermeșan | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Akpa Akpro | M | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Inter vs Hellas Verona?
The final score was Inter 1–1 Hellas Verona.
What did the model predict before Inter vs Hellas Verona?
The model assigned 71% probability to a Inter win, 20% to a draw, and 8% to an Hellas Verona win.