✗Model wrong — prediction Inter, result Draw
A. Edmundsson
47'
(og)
90'+1
K. Bowie
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter a 71% win probability (draw 20%, Hellas Verona 8%). The final result was Inter 1–1 Hellas Verona. In 1 previous meetings, Inter have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Hellas Verona.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
11
6
Shots on target
5
2.71
Actual xG
1.20
4
Saves
5
74%
Possession
26%
10
Corners
2
17
Tackles
26
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
46'
A. Harroui
/
A. Bernede
⚽A. Edmundsson
(og)
47'
61'
N. Valentini
61'
J. Akpa Akpro
/
R. Belghali
61'
A. Sarr
/
T. Suslov
A. Diouf
/ P. Zielinski
63'
M. Darmian
/ F. Dimarco
64'
A. Bonny
/ F. Esposito
64'
L. Martinez
/ M. Mosconi
75'
Y. Sommer
/ R. Di Gennaro
81'
84'
D. Bradaric
/
M. Frese
84'
I. Vermesan
/
S. Lovric
89'
R. Gagliardini
90'+1
K. Bowie⚽
Pre-match prediction
71.36%
Inter
20.22%
X ←
8.42%
Hellas
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
20.22%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.88
2.71
+0.83
0.50
1.20
+0.7
Inter dominated by xG (2.71 vs 1.20).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Yann Sommer
81'
G
15
Francesco Acerbi
D
6
Stefan de Vrij
D
Stefan de Vrij
D
36
Matteo Darmian
64'
D
30
Carlos Augusto
M
22
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
M
8
P. Sučić
M
P. Sučić
M
17
A. Diouf
63'
M
A. Diouf
63'
M
11
Luís Henrique
M
10
Lautaro Martínez
75'
F
Lautaro Martínez
75'
F
14
A. Bonny
64'
F
A. Bonny
64'
F
Bench
95
A. Bastoni
D
A. Bastoni
D
2
D. Dumfries
D
D. Dumfries
D
16
D. Frattesi
M
D. Frattesi
M
32
F. Dimarco
26'
D
F. Dimarco
26'
D
94
F. Esposito
26'
F
F. Esposito
26'
F
20
H. Çalhanoğlu
M
H. Çalhanoğlu
M
13
Josep Martínez
G
25
Manuel Akanji
D
Manuel Akanji
D
43
Matteo Cocchi
D
48
Mattia Mosconi
15'
F
9
M. Thuram
F
M. Thuram
F
23
N. Barella
M
N. Barella
M
7
P. Zieliński
27'
M
P. Zieliński
27'
M
12
Raffaele Di Gennaro
9'
G
31
Y. Bisseck
D
Y. Bisseck
D
1
Lorenzo Montipò
G
Lorenzo Montipò
G
3
M. Frese
84'
D
M. Frese
84'
D
6
Nicolás Valentini
D
Nicolás Valentini
D
5
Andrias Edmundsson
1 ⚽
D
Andrias Edmundsson
1 ⚽
D
15
Victor Nelsson
D
Victor Nelsson
D
7
Rafik Belghali
61'
D
Rafik Belghali
61'
D
24
Antoine Bernede
45'
M
Antoine Bernede
45'
M
63
R. Gagliardini
M
R. Gagliardini
M
4
Sandi Lovrić
84'
M
Sandi Lovrić
84'
M
18
K. Bowie
1 ⚽
F
K. Bowie
1 ⚽
F
10
Tomáš Suslov
61'
F
Bench
21
Abdou Harroui
45'
M
Abdou Harroui
45'
M
9
Amin Sarr
29'
F
Amin Sarr
29'
F
37
Armel Bella-Kotchap
D
Armel Bella-Kotchap
D
36
Cheikh Niasse
M
Cheikh Niasse
M
12
Domagoj Bradarić
11'
D
Domagoj Bradarić
11'
D
70
Fallou Cham
D
Fallou Cham
D
94
Giacomo Toniolo
G
Giacomo Toniolo
G
90
Ioan Vermesan
11'
F
Ioan Vermesan
11'
F
41
Isaac
F
Isaac
F
11
J. Akpa Akpro
29'
M
J. Akpa Akpro
29'
M
72
Junior Ajayi
F
Junior Ajayi
F
73
Moatasem Al-Musrati
M
Moatasem Al-Musrati
M
14
Pol Lirola
D
Pol Lirola
D
34
Simone Perilli
G
Simone Perilli
G
19
Tobias Slotsager
D
Tobias Slotsager
D
Best on the pitch
Andrias Edmundsson
D · Hellas
8.20
1 ⚽
· 18 pass
P. Sučić
M · Inter
8.20
2 shots
· 83 pass
Yann Sommer
G · Inter
7.50
· 20 pass
Victor Nelsson
D · Hellas
7.50
1 shots
· 16 pass
Lorenzo Montipò
G · Hellas
7.50
· 18 pass
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
M · Inter
7.50
4 shots
· 72 pass
Inter — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yann Sommer | G | 81 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Francesco Acerbi | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 99 | 93% | — | — | — |
| Stefan de Vrij | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 77 | 70% | 2 | — | — |
| Matteo Darmian | D | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Augusto | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 68 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| Henrikh Mkhitaryan | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 4 | 72 | 64% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Sučić | M | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | 2 | 83 | 75% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Diouf | M | 63 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Luís Henrique | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Lautaro Martínez | F | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 26 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Bonny | F | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Dimarco | D | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| F. Esposito | F | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Mattia Mosconi | F | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| P. Zieliński | M | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Raffaele Di Gennaro | G | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
Hellas Verona — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Montipò | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 9% | — | — | — |
| M. Frese | D | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| Nicolás Valentini | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 12% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Andrias Edmundsson | D | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | — | 18 | 13% | 4 | — | — |
| Victor Nelsson | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | 5 | — | — |
| Rafik Belghali | D | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Antoine Bernede | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Gagliardini | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Sandi Lovrić | M | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Bowie | F | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Tomáš Suslov | F | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Abdou Harroui | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Amin Sarr | F | 29 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Domagoj Bradarić | D | 11 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Ioan Vermesan | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Akpa Akpro | M | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Inter vs Hellas Verona?
The final score was Inter 1–1 Hellas Verona.
What did the model predict before Inter vs Hellas Verona?
The model assigned 71% probability to a Inter win, 20% to a draw, and 8% to an Hellas Verona win.