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Inter - Liverpool

Champions League January 19, 2027 21:00
#20 · 3 pts
vs
#3 · 9 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.09%
Win
Inter
32.56%
Draw
27.36%
Win
Liverpool
1.19
Expected xG
0.33

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (14.03%)
1X2 Result
1 40%
X 33%
2 27%
Double Chance
1X 73%
X2 60%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Inter a 40% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 27% for Liverpool. Expected goals are 1.2 for Inter and 0.3 for Liverpool (total 1.5), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 14.03% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Inter have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Liverpool.

Season Stats

Inter
6W 0D 7L
Liverpool
10W 0D 5L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
2.4
1.4
Conceded
1.3
6.0
Shots OT
7.4
6.2
Corners
6.9
57%
Poss.
53%
Percentages
85%
O 1.5
73%
69%
O 2.5
60%
54%
BTTS
40%
38%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
29%
O 3.5
43%
BTTS
Inter
3W 0D 4L · at home
Liverpool
4W 0D 3L · away
1.6
gls/g
2.1
1.6
Conceded
1.1
43%
Win %
57%
43%
Win or Draw
57%
71%
O 1.5
57%
71%
O 2.5
43%
29%
O 3.5
29%
57%
BTTS
29%
29%
Clean Sht
29%
14%
Failed to Score
43%
last 7
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Inter Liverpool →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 21.8% 7.2% 1.2% 0.1% — —
1 26.1% 8.5% 1.4% 0.2% — —
2 15.5% 5.1% 0.8% 0.1% — —
3 6.2% 2.0% 0.3% — — —
4 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% — — —
5 0.4% 0.1% — — — —

Recent form

W Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0
L Club Brugge KV 3–4
L Real Madrid 2–1
L Bodo/Glimt 1–2
L Bodo/Glimt 3–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 42%
W Villarreal 4–3
W Lask Linz 3–6
W Atletico Madrid 2–1
L Paris Saint Germain 0–2
L Paris Saint Germain 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Inter Inter
Attack
71
Defence
68
Form
64
Liverpool Liverpool
Attack
50
Defence
65
Form
69
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Inter
0
Draw
1
Liverpool
9 Dec 2025 Champions League 0–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 3 9
2 Aston Villa Aston Villa 3 9
3 Liverpool Liverpool 3 9
4 Real Madrid Real Madrid 3 9
5 Real Betis Real Betis 3 9
6 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 3 7
7 Arsenal Arsenal 3 7
8 Barcelona Barcelona 3 6
9 Como Como 3 6
10 Manchester City Manchester City 3 6
11 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 3 6
12 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3 6
13 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3 6
14 Bayern München Bayern München 3 5
15 AS Roma AS Roma 3 4
16 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 3 4
17 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3 4
18 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3 4
19 Villarreal Villarreal 3 3
20 Inter Inter 3 3
21 Manchester United Manchester United 3 3
22 Napoli Napoli 3 3
23 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3 3
24 Lask Linz Lask Linz 3 3
25 Sabah FA Sabah FA 3 3
26 Feyenoord Feyenoord 3 3
27 Lens Lens 3 3
28 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 3 3
29 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 3 3
30 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 3 3
31 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3 2
32 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 3 1
33 Viking Viking 3 1
34 FC Porto FC Porto 3 0
35 Lille Lille 3 0
36 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Inter vs Liverpool?
The model gives Inter a 40% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 27% for an Liverpool win.
How many goals are expected in Inter vs Liverpool?
Expected goals: Inter 1.2, Liverpool 0.3 (total 1.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Inter vs Liverpool?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.03%.