Inter 4–1 Monza — pre-match prediction — Serie A — August 22, 2026

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Serie A · Regular Season - 1 August 22, 2026 18:30

Inter

#3 · 9 pts

4 – 1

Final score

Monza

#18 · 1 pts

H. Calhanoglu (ast. A. Diouf) 6'

P. Zielinski 48'

F. Esposito (ast. A. Diouf) 55'

Y. Bisseck (ast. F. Esposito) 63'

29' (ast. M. Mout) G. Varela

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter a 42% win probability (draw 29%, Monza 28%). The final result was Inter 4–1 Monza.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.16

Actual xG

1.09

Saves

71%

Possession

29%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽H. Calhanoglu · ast. A. Diouf

29'

ast. M. Mout · G. Varela⚽

L. Martinez

34'

H. Calhanoglu

45'+1

⚽P. Zielinski

48'

↕ L. Martinez / A. Bonny

54'

↕ H. Calhanoglu / P. Sucic

54'

⚽F. Esposito · ast. A. Diouf

55'

⚽Y. Bisseck · ast. F. Esposito

63'

69'

E. Kouadio

70'

O. Forson / A. Colpani ↕

70'

N. Galazzi / M. Mout ↕

70'

P. Cutrone / A. Bakoune ↕

↕ M. Akanji / J. Stones

75'

↕ A. Diouf / Luis Henrique

75'

83'

J. Robinson / G. Varela ↕

↕ P. Zielinski / A. Stankovic

83'

84'

L. Lucchesi

88'

F. Delli Carri / L. Lucchesi ↕

Pre-match prediction

42.46%

Inter ←

29.41%

28.14%

Monza

we assigned to the actual result (Inter) 42.46% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Inter

1.46

1.16

-0.3

Monza

2.82

1.09

-1.73

xG dominance was balanced (1.16 – 1.09). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Lazio	4	10
2	AS Roma	3	9
3	Inter	3	9
4	AC Milan	4	8
5	Como	3	7
6	Juventus	3	7
7	Frosinone	4	7
8	Atalanta	3	6
9	Cagliari	3	6
10	Sassuolo	3	4
11	Udinese	3	4
12	Napoli	3	3
13	Torino	3	3
14	Lecce	3	3
15	Fiorentina	4	3
16	Bologna	3	1
17	Parma	3	1
18	Monza	3	1
19	Genoa	4	1
20	Venezia	4	0

Lineups

Inter 3-5-2

Josep Martínez G 7.20

A. Bastoni D 6.90

M. Akanji 75' D 6.90

Y. Bisseck 1 ⚽ D 7.90

F. Dimarco M 6.90

P. Zieliński 1 ⚽ 83' M 7.90

H. Çalhanoğlu 1 ⚽ 54' M 8.00

N. Barella M 6.90

A. Diouf 2 👟 75' M 7.70

Lautaro Martínez 54' F 6.20

F. Esposito 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 7.60

Bench

A. Bonny 36' F 6.60

A. Stanković 11' M 6.60

B. Pavard D

Carlos Augusto D

I. Provedel G

Jamal Iddrissou F

J. Stones 15' D 6.70

Leonardo Bovio D

Luis Henrique 15' F 6.90

M. Thuram F

P. Sučić 36' M 7.50

R. Di Gennaro G

Monza 3-4-3

S. Pizzignacco G 4.00

A. Carboni D 5.60

L. Lucchesi 88' D 5.90

E. Kouadio D 5.50

S. Birindelli M 6.20

M. Mout 1 👟 70' M 6.90

M. Ondoa M 6.50

A. Bakoune 70' M 6.20

Ricardo Mangas F 6.30

Gustavo Varela 1 ⚽ 83' F 7.20

A. Colpani 70' F 6.50

Bench

A. Strajnar G

F. Delli Carri 2' D

Jay Robinson 11' F 6.30

N. Galazzi 20' M 6.30

O. Forson 20' F 6.70

P. Cutrone 20' F 6.70

Solomon Loubao F

V. Antov D

Best on the pitch

H. Çalhanoğlu

M · Inter

8.00

1 ⚽

1 shots · 60 pass

Y. Bisseck

D · Inter

7.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 66 pass

P. Zieliński

M · Inter

7.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 64 pass

A. Diouf

M · Inter

7.70

2 👟

· 35 pass

F. Esposito

F · Inter

7.60

1 ⚽ 1 👟

3 shots · 42 pass

P. Sučić

M · Inter

7.50

· 29 pass

Inter — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Josep Martínez	G	90	7.20	—	—	—	57	52%	—	—	—
A. Bastoni	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	103	90%	1	—	—
M. Akanji	D	75	6.90	—	—	1	62	58%	—	—	—
Y. Bisseck	D	90	7.90	1	—	1	66	64%	1	—	—
F. Dimarco	M	90	6.90	—	—	1	61	51%	1	—	—
P. Zieliński	M	83	7.90	1	—	1	64	56%	—	—	—
H. Çalhanoğlu	M	54	8.00	1	—	1	60	56%	1	1	—
N. Barella	M	90	6.90	—	—	2	51	47%	—	—	—
A. Diouf	M	75	7.70	—	2	—	35	33%	1	—	—
Lautaro Martínez	F	54	6.20	—	—	—	25	17%	—	1	—
F. Esposito	F	90	7.60	1	1	3	42	30%	1	—	—
A. Bonny	F	36	6.60	—	—	—	19	17%	3	—	—
A. Stanković	M	11	6.60	—	—	—	13	12%	—	—	—
J. Stones	D	15	6.70	—	—	—	12	9%	—	—	—
Luis Henrique	F	15	6.90	—	—	—	10	10%	1	—	—
P. Sučić	M	36	7.50	—	—	—	29	26%	1	—	—

Monza — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
S. Pizzignacco	G	90	4.00	—	—	—	23	13%	—	—	—
A. Carboni	D	90	5.60	—	—	—	33	25%	—	—	—
L. Lucchesi	D	88	5.90	—	—	—	31	30%	2	1	—
E. Kouadio	D	90	5.50	—	—	—	28	23%	2	1	—
S. Birindelli	M	90	6.20	—	—	1	15	11%	1	—	—
M. Mout	M	70	6.90	—	1	—	35	25%	3	—	—
M. Ondoa	M	90	6.50	—	—	—	31	28%	—	—	—
A. Bakoune	M	70	6.20	—	—	—	21	15%	1	—	—
Ricardo Mangas	F	90	6.30	—	—	1	17	12%	—	—	—
Gustavo Varela	F	83	7.20	1	—	3	11	10%	—	—	—
A. Colpani	F	70	6.50	—	—	—	11	8%	—	—	—
F. Delli Carri	D	2	—	—	—	—	4	4%	—	—	—
Jay Robinson	F	11	6.30	—	—	—	1	1%	1	—	—
N. Galazzi	M	20	6.30	—	—	1	15	12%	—	—	—
O. Forson	F	20	6.70	—	—	—	10	9%	—	—	—
P. Cutrone	F	20	6.70	—	—	—	5	5%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Inter vs Monza?

The final score was Inter 4–1 Monza.

What did the model predict before Inter vs Monza?

The model assigned 42% probability to a Inter win, 29% to a draw, and 28% to an Monza win.