Inter 3–0 Parma — pre-match prediction — Serie A — October 10, 2026

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Serie A · Regular Season - 6 October 10, 2026 18:00 San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan

Inter

#2 · 22 pts

3 – 0

Final score

Parma

#19 · 4 pts

Petar Sučić 13'

Hakan Çalhanoğlu 18' (pen.)

Marcus Thuram (ast. Henrikh Mkhitaryan) 31'

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter a 54% win probability (draw 24%, Parma 20%). The final result was Inter 3–0 Parma. In 2 previous meetings, Inter have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Parma.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.44

Actual xG

0.36

Saves

59%

Possession

41%

Corners

Tackles

Match Events

⚽Petar Sučić

13'

15'

⚽Hakan Çalhanoğlu (pen.)

18'

⚽Marcus Thuram · ast. Henrikh Mkhitaryan

31'

↕ Pio Esposito / Ange-Yoan Bonny

61'

↕ Marcus Thuram / Lautaro Martínez

61'

↕ Hakan Çalhanoğlu / Aleksandar Stankovic

61'

José David Romero / Nesta Elphege ↕

62'

Simone Lontani / Giovanni Fabbian ↕

62'

Adrián Bernabé García / Vincent Sierro ↕

↕ Federico Dimarco / Luis Henrique

73'

↕ Andy Diouf / Djed Spence

73'

78'

Sascha Britschgi / Franco Carboni ↕

84'

Matija Frigan / El Bilal Toure ↕

Pre-match prediction

54.71%

Inter ←

24.34%

20.96%

Parma

we assigned to the actual result (Inter) 54.71% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Inter

2.18

2.44

+0.26

Parma

0.55

0.36

-0.19

Inter dominated by xG (2.44 vs 0.36). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Lazio	9	25
2	Inter	8	22
3	AS Roma	9	21
4	Como	9	20
5	AC Milan	8	18
6	Frosinone	8	14
7	Juventus	8	14
8	Torino	9	13
9	Cagliari	9	13
10	Napoli	8	11
11	Atalanta	8	10
12	Lecce	8	9
13	Bologna	8	8
14	Sassuolo	9	8
15	Monza	8	7
16	Genoa	8	7
17	Udinese	8	4
18	Fiorentina	8	4
19	Parma	8	4
20	Venezia	8	3

Lineups

Inter 3-5-2

Josep Martínez G 7.34

Carlos Augusto D 7.04

Y. Bisseck D 7.10

B. Pavard D 7.37

F. Dimarco 73' M 7.20

H. Mkhitaryan 1 👟 M 7.39

H. Çalhanoğlu 1 ⚽ 61' M 7.80

P. Sučić 1 ⚽ M 8.20

A. Diouf 73' M 6.62

F. Esposito 61' F 6.23

M. Thuram 1 ⚽ 61' F 7.91

Bench

A. Bastoni D 0.00

A. Bonny 29' F 6.59

A. Stanković 29' M 7.20

D. Spence 17' D 6.42

I. Provedel G 0.00

Lautaro Martínez 29' F 6.68

L. Bovio D 0.00

Luis Henrique 17' F 6.67

M. Akanji D 0.00

N. Barella M 0.00

P. Zieliński M 0.00

R. Di Gennaro G 0.00

Parma 3-4-2-1

E. Corvi G 6.24

F. Carboni 78' D 6.11

Diego Carlos D 5.93

M. Troilo D 6.46

E. Valeri M 6.05

V. Sierro 62' M 6.74

M. Keita M 6.58

E. Del Prato M 6.36

E. Touré 84' M 5.91

G. Fabbian 62' M 5.47

N. Elphege 61' F 6.18

Bench

Abdou Konate M 0.00

Adrián Bernabé 28' M 5.84

B. Cremaschi M 0.00

C. Ordoñez M 0.00

D. Drobnic D 0.00

D. Romero 29' F 6.28

G. Daffara G 0.00

M. Frigan 6' F 6.29

Ousmane Diallo F 0.00

S. Britschgi 12' D 5.89

S. Ghidotti G 0.00

S. Lontani 28' F 6.52

Best on the pitch

P. Sučić

M · Inter

8.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 58 pass

M. Thuram

F · Inter

7.91

1 ⚽

2 shots · 16 pass

H. Çalhanoğlu

M · Inter

7.80

1 ⚽

2 shots · 75 pass

H. Mkhitaryan

M · Inter

7.39

1 👟

2 shots · 70 pass

B. Pavard

D · Inter

7.37

· 40 pass

Josep Martínez

G · Inter

7.34

· 28 pass

Inter — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Josep Martínez	G	90	7.34	—	—	0	28	24%	0	—	—
Carlos Augusto	D	90	7.04	—	—	0	86	81%	1	—	—
Y. Bisseck	D	90	7.10	—	—	0	69	67%	2	—	—
B. Pavard	D	90	7.37	—	—	0	40	39%	3	—	—
F. Dimarco	M	73	7.20	—	—	4	63	60%	1	—	—
H. Mkhitaryan	M	90	7.39	—	1	2	70	59%	2	—	—
H. Çalhanoğlu	M	61	7.80	1	—	2	75	65%	2	—	—
P. Sučić	M	90	8.20	1	—	1	58	55%	2	—	—
A. Diouf	M	73	6.62	—	—	1	36	34%	1	—	—
F. Esposito	F	61	6.23	—	—	1	18	11%	2	—	—
M. Thuram	F	61	7.91	1	—	2	16	14%	0	—	—
A. Bonny	F	29	6.59	—	—	2	6	6%	1	—	—
A. Stanković	M	29	7.20	—	—	1	33	32%	1	—	—
D. Spence	D	17	6.42	—	—	0	12	8%	1	—	—
Lautaro Martínez	F	29	6.68	—	—	3	11	10%	0	—	—
Luis Henrique	F	17	6.67	—	—	0	10	9%	0	—	—

Parma — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
E. Corvi	G	90	6.24	—	—	0	32	19%	0	—	—
F. Carboni	D	78	6.11	—	—	0	47	41%	1	—	—
Diego Carlos	D	90	5.93	—	—	0	68	62%	1	—	—
M. Troilo	D	90	6.46	—	—	1	70	60%	5	—	—
E. Valeri	M	90	6.05	—	—	1	20	14%	3	—	—
V. Sierro	M	62	6.74	—	—	0	50	45%	1	—	—
M. Keita	M	90	6.58	—	—	0	37	33%	3	—	—
E. Del Prato	M	90	6.36	—	—	1	36	33%	1	—	—
E. Touré	M	84	5.91	—	—	2	8	7%	0	—	—
G. Fabbian	M	62	5.47	—	—	1	17	16%	1	—	—
N. Elphege	F	61	6.18	—	—	0	17	13%	0	—	—
Adrián Bernabé	M	28	5.84	—	—	0	17	14%	1	—	—
D. Romero	F	29	6.28	—	—	2	3	3%	0	—	—
M. Frigan	F	6	6.29	—	—	0	0	0%	0	—	—
S. Britschgi	D	12	5.89	—	—	0	5	4%	0	—	—
S. Lontani	F	28	6.52	—	—	1	5	3%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Inter vs Parma?

The final score was Inter 3–0 Parma.

What did the model predict before Inter vs Parma?

The model assigned 54% probability to a Inter win, 24% to a draw, and 20% to an Parma win.