Liga BetPlay
· Apertura - Quarter-finals
May 09, 2026 23:00
I. Poveda
(ast. K. Parra Atehortua)
29'
(og)
34'
S. Palacio
68'
(ast. A. Morelos)
J. Rengifo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Internacional de Bogota a 39% win probability (draw 24%, Atletico Nacional 36%). The final result was Internacional de Bogota 1–2 Atletico Nacional. In 3 previous meetings, Internacional de Bogota have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Atletico Nacional.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
6
0.77
Actual xG
1.19
5
Saves
3
42%
Possession
58%
6
Corners
3
5
Tackles
12
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽I. Poveda
· ast. K. Parra Atehortua
29'
34'
(og)
S. Palacio⚽
Y. A. Gomez Mosquera
37'
K. Parra Atehortua
37'
D. Quinones
52'
I. Poveda
/ R. Manjarres
56'
62'
J. Campuzano
64'
M. Uribe
/
J. Zapata
64'
A. Sarmiento
/
E. Bello
68'
ast. A. Morelos ·
J. Rengifo⚽
D. Quinones
/ J. Caballero
74'
74'
N. Rodriguez
82'
C. Arango
/
A. Morelos
82'
F. Marin
/
J. Campuzano
F. Bone
/ Y. Garcia
82'
J. Caballero
88'
90'
J. Rosa
/
N. Rodriguez
Pre-match prediction
39.18%
Internacional
24.43%
X
36.39%
Atletico ←
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Nacional)
36.39%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.55
0.77
-0.78
1.37
1.19
-0.18
Atletico Nacional dominated by xG (1.19 vs 0.77).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
30
Simon Zapata
1 ⚽
G
Simon Zapata
1 ⚽
G
16
Yulián Gómez
D
Yulián Gómez
D
26
Agustín Irazoque
D
Agustín Irazoque
D
2
Carlos Vivas
D
Carlos Vivas
D
20
Joan Castro
D
Joan Castro
D
10
Kevin Parra
1 👟
M
Kevin Parra
1 👟
M
15
D. Quiñonez
74'
M
D. Quiñonez
74'
M
5
Larry Vásquez
M
Larry Vásquez
M
99
I. Poveda
1 ⚽
56'
M
I. Poveda
1 ⚽
56'
M
7
Fabricio Sanguinetti
F
Fabricio Sanguinetti
F
11
Facundo Boné
82'
F
Facundo Boné
82'
F
Bench
4
D. Rodas
D
D. Rodas
D
23
Johan Caballero
16'
F
Johan Caballero
16'
F
12
Juan Carrasco
G
Juan Carrasco
G
9
Juan Valencia
F
Juan Valencia
F
22
Kalazan Suárez
D
Kalazan Suárez
D
6
Miguel Amaya
D
Miguel Amaya
D
24
Ruben Manjarres
34'
M
Ruben Manjarres
34'
M
8
Samir Mayo
D
Samir Mayo
D
19
Yeider Garcia
8'
F
Yeider Garcia
8'
F
15
H. Castillo
G
H. Castillo
G
20
Milton Casco
D
Milton Casco
D
16
William Tesillo
D
William Tesillo
D
28
S. Garcia
D
S. Garcia
D
6
Andrés Román
D
Andrés Román
D
80
Juan Zapata
64'
M
Juan Zapata
64'
M
21
Jorman Campuzano
82'
M
Jorman Campuzano
82'
M
13
Nicolás Rodríguez
89'
M
Nicolás Rodríguez
89'
M
19
Juan Manuel Rengifo
1 ⚽
M
Juan Manuel Rengifo
1 ⚽
M
18
E. Bello
64'
M
E. Bello
64'
M
9
Alfredo Morelos
1 👟
82'
F
Alfredo Morelos
1 👟
82'
F
Bench
14
Andres Marin
8'
D
Andres Marin
8'
D
29
Andrés Sarmiento
26'
F
Andrés Sarmiento
26'
F
17
C. Arango
8'
F
C. Arango
8'
F
4
César Haydar
D
César Haydar
D
1
David Ospina
G
David Ospina
G
10
Edwin Cardona
M
Edwin Cardona
M
24
Juan Rosa
1'
F
Juan Rosa
1'
F
8
Matheus Uribe
26'
M
Matheus Uribe
26'
M
33
Samuel Velásquez
M
Samuel Velásquez
M
Best on the pitch
I. Poveda
M · Internacional
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 11 pass
Juan Manuel Rengifo
M · Atletico
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 37 pass
Milton Casco
D · Atletico
7.50
· 41 pass
William Tesillo
D · Atletico
7.30
· 73 pass
Alfredo Morelos
F · Atletico
7.20
1 👟
2 shots
· 17 pass
Larry Vásquez
M · Internacional
7.00
· 44 pass
Internacional de Bogota — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simon Zapata | G | 90 | 6.30 | 1 | — | — | 30 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Yulián Gómez | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Agustín Irazoque | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Vivas | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Joan Castro | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Parra | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 25 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Quiñonez | M | 74 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Larry Vásquez | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 44 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Poveda | M | 56 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabricio Sanguinetti | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 4 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Facundo Boné | F | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Johan Caballero | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Ruben Manjarres | M | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Yeider Garcia | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Atletico Nacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Castillo | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Milton Casco | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 41 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| William Tesillo | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 73 | 66% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Garcia | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Andrés Román | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Juan Zapata | M | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Jorman Campuzano | M | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | — | 1 | — |
| Nicolás Rodríguez | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Juan Manuel Rengifo | M | 90 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 37 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Bello | M | 64 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Alfredo Morelos | F | 82 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Andres Marin | D | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Andrés Sarmiento | F | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Arango | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Juan Rosa | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Uribe | M | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Internacional de Bogota vs Atletico Nacional?
The final score was Internacional de Bogota 1–2 Atletico Nacional.
What did the model predict before Internacional de Bogota vs Atletico Nacional?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Internacional de Bogota win, 24% to a draw, and 36% to an Atletico Nacional win.