Internacional de Bogota - Independiente Medellin
Liga BetPlay
October 29, 2026 02:05
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.83%
Win
Internacional de Bogota
24.65%
Draw
34.53%
Win
Independiente Medellin
1.43
1.31
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.48%)
1X2 Result
1
41%
X
25%
2
35%
Double Chance
1X
66%
X2
59%
12
75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
49%
✓ 58.6% hit rate (29 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Internacional de Bogota a 40% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Independiente Medellin. Expected goals are 1.4 for Internacional de Bogota and 1.3 for Independiente Medellin (total 2.7), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.48% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Internacional de Bogota have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Independiente Medellin.
Season Stats
3W
5D
7L
9W
2D
4L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.7
1.9
Conceded
1.1
4.1
Shots OT
4.9
4.9
Corners
4.4
43%
Poss.
53%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
73%
60%
O 2.5
60%
67%
BTTS
60%
20%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Liga BetPlay. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
40%
O 3.5
70%
BTTS
4W
2D
4L
· at home
5W
3D
2L
· away
1.6
gls/g
1.9
1.4
Conceded
1.3
40%
Win %
50%
60%
Win or Draw
80%
80%
O 1.5
90%
60%
O 2.5
80%
40%
O 3.5
40%
60%
BTTS
80%
20%
Clean Sht
20%
20%
Failed to Score
0%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Internacional de Bogota
Independiente Medellin →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.4% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.2% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 6.6% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Internacional de Bogota
Attack
36
Defence
60
Form
43
Independiente Medellin
Attack
46
Defence
68
Form
60
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
0
Draw
0
7 Feb 2026
2–1
Apertura
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Atletico Nacional
|
19 | 40 |
| 2 |
Junior
|
19 | 35 |
| 3 |
Deportivo Pasto
|
19 | 34 |
| 4 |
America de Cali
|
19 | 33 |
| 5 |
Once Caldas
|
19 | 33 |
| 6 |
Deportes Tolima
|
19 | 31 |
| 7 |
Santa Fe
|
19 | 29 |
| 8 |
Internacional de Bogota
|
19 | 28 |
| 9 |
Deportivo Cali
|
19 | 27 |
| 10 |
Millonarios
|
19 | 26 |
| 11 |
Independiente Medellin
|
19 | 26 |
| 12 |
Águilas Doradas
|
19 | 26 |
| 13 |
Bucaramanga
|
19 | 23 |
| 14 |
Llaneros
|
19 | 22 |
| 15 |
Fortaleza FC
|
19 | 22 |
| 16 |
Jaguares
|
19 | 18 |
| 17 |
Alianza Valledupar
|
19 | 17 |
| 18 |
Chico
|
19 | 17 |
| 19 |
Cucuta
|
19 | 16 |
| 20 |
Deportivo Pereira
|
19 | 10 |
What's at stake · Apertura
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #8 | #1 |
| → Internacional de Bogota | #7 | #11 |
| → Draw | #8 | #10 |
| → Independiente Medellin | #9 | #8 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Internacional de Bogota vs Independiente Medellin?
The model gives Internacional de Bogota a 40% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 34% for an Independiente Medellin win.
How many goals are expected in Internacional de Bogota vs Independiente Medellin?
Expected goals: Internacional de Bogota 1.4, Independiente Medellin 1.3 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Internacional de Bogota vs Independiente Medellin?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.48%.