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Internacional - Corinthians

Copa do Brasil August 03, 2026 00:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.89%
Win
Internacional
29.31%
Draw
31.8%
Win
Corinthians
1.63
Expected xG
1.32

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.56%)
1X2 Result
1 39%
X 29%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 61%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 67%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Internacional a 38% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Corinthians. Expected goals are 1.6 for Internacional and 1.3 for Corinthians (total 3.0), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.56% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Internacional have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Corinthians.

Season Stats

Internacional
4W 1D 1L
Corinthians
10W 1D 1L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
1.2
1.0
Conceded
0.2
5.7
Shots OT
2.9
8.7
Corners
3.9
63%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
83%
O 1.5
33%
67%
O 2.5
17%
67%
BTTS
17%
33%
Clean Sht
83%
Based on the last 12 matches in Copa do Brasil. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
42%
BTTS
Internacional
2W 0D 1L · at home
Corinthians
6W 0D 0L · away
1.7
gls/g
1.3
1.3
Conceded
0.2
67%
Win %
100%
67%
Win or Draw
100%
67%
O 1.5
33%
67%
O 2.5
17%
33%
O 3.5
0%
67%
BTTS
17%
33%
Clean Sht
83%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 6
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Internacional Corinthians →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2% 6.9% 4.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
1 8.5% 11.3% 7.4% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.9% 9.2% 6.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.8% 5.0% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.5% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

W Athletic Club 3–2
W Athletic Club 1–2
D Fluminense 1–1
L Fluminense 1–2
W Maracanã 0–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 30%
W Barra 1–0
W Barra 0–1
W Vasco DA Gama 1–2
D Vasco DA Gama 0–0
L Cruzeiro 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 29%

Playing profile

Internacional Internacional
Attack
45
Defence
55
Form
45
Corinthians Corinthians
Attack
37
Defence
75
Form
60
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Internacional
0
Draw
0
Corinthians
6 Apr 2026 Brasileirão Série A 1–0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Internacional vs Corinthians?
The model gives Internacional a 38% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 31% for an Corinthians win.
How many goals are expected in Internacional vs Corinthians?
Expected goals: Internacional 1.6, Corinthians 1.3 (total 3.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Internacional vs Corinthians?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.56%.