Internacional 1–2 Cruzeiro — pre-match prediction — Brasileirão Série A — July 23, 2026

← Brasileirão Série A

Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 19 July 23, 2026 02:30

Internacional

#16 · 38 pts

1 – 2

Final score

Cruzeiro

#3 · 60 pts

J. Carbonero (ast. Matheus Bahia) 83'

11' (ast. Fagner) Kaio Jorge

64' (ast. Fagner) Matheus Pereira

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Internacional a 42% win probability (draw 23%, Cruzeiro 34%). The final result was Internacional 1–2 Cruzeiro.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.74

Actual xG

1.79

Saves

47%

Possession

53%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

11'

ast. Fagner · Kaio Jorge⚽

16'

Gerson

18'

Fagner

33'

Matheus Pereira

A. Bernabei

35'

45'+3

Jonathan Jesus

↕ L. F. de Morais Francisco / Matheus Bahia

46'

↕ G. Mercado / Victor Gabriel

46'

Victor Gabriel

59'

62'

Bruno Rodrigues / Gabriel Pec ↕

64'

ast. Fagner · Matheus Pereira⚽

66'

Matheus Henrique

↕ Alerrandro / Bruno Henrique

73'

77'

Lucas Silva / L. Sinisterra ↕

⚽J. Carbonero · ast. Matheus Bahia

83'

↕ Bruno Gomes / B. Aguirre

86'

↕ R. Villagra / Paulinho Paula

86'

Wanderson / Gerson ↕

87'

N. Villarreal / Kaio Jorge ↕

87'

William Furtado / Fagner ↕

89'

Lucas Silva

Pre-match prediction

42.04%

Internacional

23.64%

34.32%

Cruzeiro ←

we assigned to the actual result (Cruzeiro) 34.32% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Internacional

1.59

1.74

+0.15

Cruzeiro

1.48

1.79

+0.31

xG dominance was balanced (1.74 – 1.79). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Flamengo	34	76
2	Palmeiras	34	73
3	Cruzeiro	34	60
4	Fluminense	34	57
5	Atletico Paranaense	34	54
6	Bahia	34	53
7	Atletico-MG	34	50
8	RB Bragantino	34	47
9	Santos	34	47
10	Sao Paulo	34	44
11	Botafogo	34	42
12	Coritiba	34	42
13	Vasco DA Gama	33	41
14	Mirassol	34	40
15	Vitoria	34	38
16	Internacional	34	38
17	Corinthians	34	37
18	Gremio	34	37
19	Remo	34	29
20	Chapecoense-sc	33	21

Lineups

Internacional 4-4-2

Anthoni G 7.50

Luiz Felipe 45' D 6.50

Guillermo Maripán D 6.30

Gabriel Mercado 45' D 6.90

F. Torres D 6.00

Alexandro Bernabei M 6.20

Rodrigo Villagra 86' M 6.90

Bruno Gomes 86' M 6.90

Vitinho M 6.20

Alerrandro 73' F 6.30

Johan Carbonero 1 ⚽ F 7.00

Bench

Alan Patrick M

Allex M

A. Rodríguez M

Braian Aguirre 12' D 6.60

Bruno Henrique 25' M 6.60

Fabricio Zechmeister do Prado F

Gabriel Vinicius M

Jose Juninho D

Matheus Bahia 1 👟 53' D 6.90

Paulinho Paula 12' M 6.30

Victor Gabriel 14' D 4.90

Cruzeiro 4-2-3-1

Otávio Costa G 6.60

Gabriel Rojas D 6.90

Jonathan Jesus D 7.50

Fabrício Bruno D 7.60

Fagner 2 👟 87' D 7.20

Gerson 86' M 7.00

Matheus Henrique M 7.20

Luis Sinisterra 77' M 6.70

Matheus Pereira 1 ⚽ M 7.30

Gabriel Pec 62' M 7.30

Kaio Jorge 1 ⚽ 87' F 7.30

Bench

Bruno Rodrigues 36' F 6.20

João Marcelo D

Kauã Moraes D

Lucas Silva 21' M 6.30

Lucas Villalba D

Marquinhos F

Néiser Villarreal 11' M 6.90

Rayan Lelis F

Rhuan Gabriel M

Vitor Lamounier Rego G

Wanderson 12' F 6.50

William Furtado 11' D 6.60

Best on the pitch

Fabrício Bruno

D · Cruzeiro

7.60

· 53 pass

Anthoni

G · Internacional

7.50

· 21 pass

Jonathan Jesus

D · Cruzeiro

7.50

· 34 pass

Kaio Jorge

F · Cruzeiro

7.30

1 ⚽

3 shots · 19 pass

Gabriel Pec

M · Cruzeiro

7.30

2 shots · 6 pass

Matheus Pereira

M · Cruzeiro

7.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 59 pass

Internacional — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Anthoni	G	98	7.50	—	—	—	21	16%	—	—	—
Luiz Felipe	D	45	6.50	—	—	—	6	2%	1	—	—
Guillermo Maripán	D	98	6.30	—	—	1	46	41%	1	—	—
Gabriel Mercado	D	45	6.90	—	—	—	12	10%	—	—	—
F. Torres	D	98	6.00	—	—	1	29	21%	—	—	—
Alexandro Bernabei	M	98	6.20	—	—	3	28	20%	—	1	—
Rodrigo Villagra	M	86	6.90	—	—	1	44	38%	1	—	—
Bruno Gomes	M	86	6.90	—	—	—	27	24%	2	—	—
Vitinho	M	98	6.20	—	—	1	36	24%	1	—	—
Alerrandro	F	73	6.30	—	—	2	16	11%	—	—	—
Johan Carbonero	F	98	7.00	1	—	3	29	22%	—	—	—
Braian Aguirre	D	12	6.60	—	—	—	4	3%	1	—	—
Bruno Henrique	M	25	6.60	—	—	1	9	7%	—	—	—
Matheus Bahia	D	53	6.90	—	1	—	15	13%	2	—	—
Paulinho Paula	M	12	6.30	—	—	—	5	2%	—	—	—
Victor Gabriel	D	14	4.90	—	—	1	10	9%	—	—	1

Cruzeiro — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Otávio Costa	G	98	6.60	—	—	—	30	19%	—	—	—
Gabriel Rojas	D	98	6.90	—	—	—	24	18%	6	—	—
Jonathan Jesus	D	98	7.50	—	—	—	34	30%	3	1	—
Fabrício Bruno	D	98	7.60	—	—	—	53	49%	2	—	—
Fagner	D	87	7.20	—	2	—	23	18%	2	1	—
Gerson	M	86	7.00	—	—	1	47	40%	3	1	—
Matheus Henrique	M	98	7.20	—	—	—	47	43%	2	1	—
Luis Sinisterra	M	77	6.70	—	—	1	21	14%	—	—	—
Matheus Pereira	M	98	7.30	1	—	2	59	44%	1	1	—
Gabriel Pec	M	62	7.30	—	—	2	6	5%	1	—	—
Kaio Jorge	F	87	7.30	1	—	3	19	13%	—	—	—
Bruno Rodrigues	F	36	6.20	—	—	1	16	12%	—	—	—
Lucas Silva	M	21	6.30	—	—	—	10	10%	—	1	—
Néiser Villarreal	M	11	6.90	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Wanderson	F	12	6.50	—	—	—	4	3%	—	—	—
William Furtado	D	11	6.60	—	—	—	7	4%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Internacional vs Cruzeiro?

The final score was Internacional 1–2 Cruzeiro.

What did the model predict before Internacional vs Cruzeiro?

The model assigned 42% probability to a Internacional win, 23% to a draw, and 34% to an Cruzeiro win.