Internacional 1–2 Cruzeiro — pre-match prediction — Brasileirão Série A — July 23, 2026

← Brasileirão Série A

Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 19 July 23, 2026 02:30

Internacional

#16 · 21 pts

1 – 2

Final score

Cruzeiro

#11 · 27 pts

J. Carbonero (ast. Matheus Bahia) 83'

11' (ast. Fagner) Kaio Jorge

64' (ast. Fagner) Matheus Pereira

Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Internacional a 42% win probability (draw 23%, Cruzeiro 34%). The final result was Internacional 1–2 Cruzeiro.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.74

Actual xG

1.79

Saves

47%

Possession

53%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

11'

ast. Fagner · Kaio Jorge⚽

16'

Gerson

18'

Fagner

33'

Matheus Pereira

A. Bernabei

35'

45'+3

Jonathan Jesus

↕ L. F. de Morais Francisco / Matheus Bahia

46'

↕ G. Mercado / Victor Gabriel

46'

Victor Gabriel

59'

62'

Bruno Rodrigues / Gabriel Pec ↕

64'

ast. Fagner · Matheus Pereira⚽

66'

Matheus Henrique

↕ Alerrandro / Bruno Henrique

73'

77'

Lucas Silva / L. Sinisterra ↕

⚽J. Carbonero · ast. Matheus Bahia

83'

↕ Bruno Gomes / B. Aguirre

86'

↕ R. Villagra / Paulinho Paula

86'

Wanderson / Gerson ↕

87'

N. Villarreal / Kaio Jorge ↕

87'

William Furtado / Fagner ↕

89'

Lucas Silva

Pre-match prediction

42.04%

Internacional

23.64%

34.32%

Cruzeiro ←

we assigned to the actual result (Cruzeiro) 34.32% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Internacional

1.59

1.74

+0.15

Cruzeiro

1.48

1.79

+0.31

xG dominance was balanced (1.74 – 1.79). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Palmeiras	20	44
2	Flamengo	19	38
3	Atletico Paranaense	20	36
4	Fluminense	20	33
5	RB Bragantino	20	31
6	Bahia	20	31
7	Botafogo	20	29
8	Atletico-MG	20	28
9	Corinthians	20	28
10	Coritiba	20	27
11	Cruzeiro	20	27
12	Sao Paulo	20	26
13	Vitoria	20	26
14	Santos	20	22
15	Gremio	20	22
16	Internacional	20	21
17	Vasco DA Gama	20	21
18	Remo	20	21
19	Mirassol	19	20
20	Chapecoense-sc	20	10

Lineups

Internacional 4-4-2

Anthoni G 7.50

Luiz Felipe 45' D 6.50

Guillermo Maripán D 6.30

Gabriel Mercado 45' D 6.90

Félix Torres D 6.00

A. Bernabéi M 6.20

Rodrigo Villagra 86' M 6.90

Bruno Gomes 86' M 6.90

Vitinho M 6.20

Alerrandro 73' F 6.30

J. Carbonero 1 ⚽ F 7.00

Bench

Alan Patrick M

Alan Rodríguez M

Allex M

Braian Aguirre 12' D 6.60

Bruno Henrique 25' M 6.60

Fabricio Zechmeister do Prado F

Gabriel Vinicius Oliveira da Silva M

Jose Juninho D

Matheus Bahia 1 👟 53' D 6.90

Paulinho Paula 12' M 6.30

Victor Gabriel 14' D 4.90

Cruzeiro 4-2-3-1

Otávio Costa G 6.60

Gabriel Rojas D 6.90

Jonathan Jesus D 7.50

Fabrício Bruno D 7.60

Fagner 2 👟 87' D 7.20

Gerson 86' M 7.00

Matheus Henrique M 7.20

Luis Sinisterra 77' M 6.70

Matheus Pereira 1 ⚽ M 7.30

Gabriel Pec 62' M 7.30

Kaio Jorge 1 ⚽ 87' F 7.30

Bench

Bruno Rodrigues 36' F 6.20

João Marcelo D

Kauã Moraes D

Lucas Silva 21' M 6.30

Lucas Villalba D

Marquinhos F

Néiser Villarreal 11' M 6.90

Rayan Lelis F

Rhuan Gabriel M

Vitor Lamounier G

Wanderson 12' F 6.50

William Furtado 11' D 6.60

Best on the pitch

Fabrício Bruno

D · Cruzeiro

7.60

· 53 pass

Anthoni

G · Internacional

7.50

· 21 pass

Jonathan Jesus

D · Cruzeiro

7.50

· 34 pass

Kaio Jorge

F · Cruzeiro

7.30

1 ⚽

3 shots · 19 pass

Gabriel Pec

M · Cruzeiro

7.30

2 shots · 6 pass

Matheus Pereira

M · Cruzeiro

7.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 59 pass

Internacional — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Anthoni	G	98	7.50	—	—	—	21	16%	—	—	—
Luiz Felipe	D	45	6.50	—	—	—	6	2%	1	—	—
Guillermo Maripán	D	98	6.30	—	—	1	46	41%	1	—	—
Gabriel Mercado	D	45	6.90	—	—	—	12	10%	—	—	—
Félix Torres	D	98	6.00	—	—	1	29	21%	—	—	—
A. Bernabéi	M	98	6.20	—	—	3	28	20%	—	1	—
Rodrigo Villagra	M	86	6.90	—	—	1	44	38%	1	—	—
Bruno Gomes	M	86	6.90	—	—	—	27	24%	2	—	—
Vitinho	M	98	6.20	—	—	1	36	24%	1	—	—
Alerrandro	F	73	6.30	—	—	2	16	11%	—	—	—
J. Carbonero	F	98	7.00	1	—	3	29	22%	—	—	—
Braian Aguirre	D	12	6.60	—	—	—	4	3%	1	—	—
Bruno Henrique	M	25	6.60	—	—	1	9	7%	—	—	—
Matheus Bahia	D	53	6.90	—	1	—	15	13%	2	—	—
Paulinho Paula	M	12	6.30	—	—	—	5	2%	—	—	—
Victor Gabriel	D	14	4.90	—	—	1	10	9%	—	—	1

Cruzeiro — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Otávio Costa	G	98	6.60	—	—	—	30	19%	—	—	—
Gabriel Rojas	D	98	6.90	—	—	—	24	18%	6	—	—
Jonathan Jesus	D	98	7.50	—	—	—	34	30%	3	1	—
Fabrício Bruno	D	98	7.60	—	—	—	53	49%	2	—	—
Fagner	D	87	7.20	—	2	—	23	18%	2	1	—
Gerson	M	86	7.00	—	—	1	47	40%	3	1	—
Matheus Henrique	M	98	7.20	—	—	—	47	43%	2	1	—
Luis Sinisterra	M	77	6.70	—	—	1	21	14%	—	—	—
Matheus Pereira	M	98	7.30	1	—	2	59	44%	1	1	—
Gabriel Pec	M	62	7.30	—	—	2	6	5%	1	—	—
Kaio Jorge	F	87	7.30	1	—	3	19	13%	—	—	—
Bruno Rodrigues	F	36	6.20	—	—	1	16	12%	—	—	—
Lucas Silva	M	21	6.30	—	—	—	10	10%	—	1	—
Néiser Villarreal	M	11	6.90	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Wanderson	F	12	6.50	—	—	—	4	3%	—	—	—
William Furtado	D	11	6.60	—	—	—	7	4%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Internacional vs Cruzeiro?

The final score was Internacional 1–2 Cruzeiro.

What did the model predict before Internacional vs Cruzeiro?

The model assigned 42% probability to a Internacional win, 23% to a draw, and 34% to an Cruzeiro win.