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← Brasileirão Série A

Internacional - Flamengo

Brasileirão Série A July 30, 2026 00:30
#16 · 21 pts
vs
#2 · 38 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
28.36%
Win
Internacional
22.48%
Draw
49.16%
Win
Flamengo
1.23
Expected xG
1.81

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.15%)
1X2 Result
1 28%
X 22%
2 49%
Double Chance
1X 51%
X2 72%
12 78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
✓ 81.9% hit rate (72 picks)
Over 2.5 55%
✓ 55.6% hit rate (45 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Flamengo a 49% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Internacional. Expected goals are 1.2 for Internacional and 1.8 for Flamengo (total 3.0), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.15% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Internacional have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Flamengo.

Season Stats

Internacional
5W 4D 6L
Flamengo
9W 4D 2L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
2.0
1.3
Conceded
0.9
4.5
Shots OT
4.7
5.5
Corners
4.5
48%
Poss.
55%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
93%
47%
O 2.5
67%
53%
BTTS
40%
27%
Clean Sht
47%
Based on the last 15 matches in Brasileirão Série A. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Internacional
3W 2D 5L · at home
Flamengo
6W 2D 2L · away
1.2
gls/g
1.9
1.1
Conceded
0.9
30%
Win %
60%
50%
Win or Draw
80%
70%
O 1.5
90%
40%
O 2.5
70%
20%
O 3.5
20%
50%
BTTS
50%
30%
Clean Sht
40%
30%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Internacional Flamengo →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8% 8.7% 7.9% 4.7% 2.1% 0.8%
1 5.9% 10.7% 9.6% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9%
2 3.6% 6.5% 5.9% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6%
3 1.5% 2.7% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

L Atletico Paranaense 2–0
L Cruzeiro 1–2
L RB Bragantino 3–1
L Vitoria 2–0
W Vasco DA Gama 4–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 28%
D Sao Paulo 1–1
W Chapecoense-sc 0–4
W Coritiba 3–0
L Palmeiras 0–3
D Atletico Paranaense 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 35%

Playing profile

Internacional Internacional
Attack
40
Defence
55
Form
41
Flamengo Flamengo
Attack
48
Defence
78
Form
67
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Internacional
1
Draw
0
Flamengo
4 Feb 2026 Brasileirão Série A 1–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 20 44
2 Flamengo Flamengo 19 38
3 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 20 36
4 Fluminense Fluminense 20 33
5 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 20 31
6 Bahia Bahia 20 31
7 Botafogo Botafogo 20 29
8 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 20 28
9 Corinthians Corinthians 20 28
10 Coritiba Coritiba 20 27
11 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 20 27
12 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 20 26
13 Vitoria Vitoria 20 26
14 Santos Santos 20 22
15 Gremio Gremio 20 22
16 Internacional Internacional 20 21
17 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 20 21
18 Remo Remo 20 21
19 Mirassol Mirassol 19 20
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 20 10
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Internacional vs Flamengo?
The model gives Internacional a 28% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 49% for an Flamengo win.
How many goals are expected in Internacional vs Flamengo?
Expected goals: Internacional 1.2, Flamengo 1.8 (total 3.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Internacional vs Flamengo?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.15%.