Internacional - Flamengo
Brasileirão Série A
July 30, 2026 00:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
28.36%
Win
Internacional
22.48%
Draw
49.16%
Win
Flamengo
1.23
1.81
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(10.15%)
1X2 Result
1
28%
X
22%
2
49%
Double Chance
1X
51%
X2
72%
12
78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
78%
✓ 81.9% hit rate (72 picks)
Over 2.5
55%
✓ 55.6% hit rate (45 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Flamengo a 49% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Internacional. Expected goals are 1.2 for Internacional and 1.8 for Flamengo (total 3.0), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.15% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Internacional have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Flamengo.
Season Stats
5W
4D
6L
9W
4D
2L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
2.0
1.3
Conceded
0.9
4.5
Shots OT
4.7
5.5
Corners
4.5
48%
Poss.
55%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
93%
47%
O 2.5
67%
53%
BTTS
40%
27%
Clean Sht
47%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Brasileirão Série A. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
3W
2D
5L
· at home
6W
2D
2L
· away
1.2
gls/g
1.9
1.1
Conceded
0.9
30%
Win %
60%
50%
Win or Draw
80%
70%
O 1.5
90%
40%
O 2.5
70%
20%
O 3.5
20%
50%
BTTS
50%
30%
Clean Sht
40%
30%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Internacional
Flamengo →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 5.9% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| 2 | 3.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Internacional
Attack
40
Defence
55
Form
41
Flamengo
Attack
48
Defence
78
Form
67
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
1
Draw
0
4 Feb 2026
1–1
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
|
20 | 44 |
| 2 |
Flamengo
|
19 | 38 |
| 3 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
20 | 36 |
| 4 |
Fluminense
|
20 | 33 |
| 5 |
RB Bragantino
|
20 | 31 |
| 6 |
Bahia
|
20 | 31 |
| 7 |
Botafogo
|
20 | 29 |
| 8 |
Atletico-MG
|
20 | 28 |
| 9 |
Corinthians
|
20 | 28 |
| 10 |
Coritiba
|
20 | 27 |
| 11 |
Cruzeiro
|
20 | 27 |
| 12 |
Sao Paulo
|
20 | 26 |
| 13 |
Vitoria
|
20 | 26 |
| 14 |
Santos
|
20 | 22 |
| 15 |
Gremio
|
20 | 22 |
| 16 |
Internacional
|
20 | 21 |
| 17 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
20 | 21 |
| 18 |
Remo
|
20 | 21 |
| 19 |
Mirassol
|
19 | 20 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
20 | 10 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Internacional vs Flamengo?
The model gives Internacional a 28% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 49% for an Flamengo win.
How many goals are expected in Internacional vs Flamengo?
Expected goals: Internacional 1.2, Flamengo 1.8 (total 3.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Internacional vs Flamengo?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.15%.