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Internacional - Gremio

Copa do Brasil August 26, 2026 22:00
Internacional
vs
Gremio
⚡ Pre-match analysis
31.95%
Win
Internacional
30.59%
Draw
37.46%
Win
Gremio
1.12
Expected xG
1.38

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (13.78%)
1X2 Result
1 32%
X 31%
2 37%
Double Chance
1X 63%
X2 68%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 67%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Gremio a 37% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Internacional. Expected goals are 1.1 for Internacional and 1.4 for Gremio (total 2.5), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.78% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Internacional have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Gremio.

Season Stats

Internacional
5W 1D 2L
Gremio
3W 4D 1L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
1.6
1.0
Conceded
1.0
4.2
Shots OT
4.3
6.2
Corners
6.3
49%
Poss.
50%
Percentages
88%
O 1.5
75%
63%
O 2.5
38%
63%
BTTS
50%
38%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 8 matches in Copa do Brasil. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
33%
O 3.5
65%
BTTS
Internacional
3W 0D 1L · at home
Gremio
1W 3D 1L · away
1.8
gls/g
2.0
1.0
Conceded
1.6
75%
Win %
20%
75%
Win or Draw
80%
75%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
60%
25%
O 3.5
40%
50%
BTTS
80%
50%
Clean Sht
20%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Internacional Gremio →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2% 11.4% 7.8% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
1 9.2% 12.7% 8.8% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.1% 7.1% 4.9% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.9% 2.6% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Internacional Internacional
L Corinthians 2–1
W Corinthians 2–0
W Athletic Club 3–2
W Athletic Club 1–2
D Fluminense 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 30%
Gremio Gremio
W Mirassol 1–0
D Mirassol 1–1
W Confiança 0–3
W Confiança 2–0
D CSA 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 37%

Playing profile

Internacional Internacional
Attack
27
Defence
58
Form
41
Gremio Gremio
Attack
40
Defence
67
Form
56
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Internacional
1
Draw
0
Gremio
12 Apr 2026 Brasileirão Série A 0–0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Internacional vs Gremio?
The model gives Internacional a 31% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 37% for an Gremio win.
How many goals are expected in Internacional vs Gremio?
Expected goals: Internacional 1.1, Gremio 1.4 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in Internacional vs Gremio?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.78%.