Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 16
May 16, 2026 23:30
✓Model correct — prediction Internacional
J. Carbonero
(ast. A. Bernabei)
21'
Alerrandro
(ast. J. Carbonero)
25'
A. Bernabei
(ast. J. Carbonero)
62'
J. Carbonero
(ast. Alerrandro)
71'
85'
(ast. Ramon Rique)
Andres Gomez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Internacional a 56% win probability (draw 21%, Vasco DA Gama 22%). The final result was Internacional 4–1 Vasco DA Gama.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
10
7
Shots on target
3
1.11
Actual xG
0.41
2
Saves
3
40%
Possession
60%
3
Corners
4
26
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
10'
⚽J. Carbonero
· ast. A. Bernabei
21'
J. Carbonero
22'
⚽Alerrandro
· ast. J. Carbonero
25'
32'
N. Moreira
45'+3
Andres Gomez
Matheus Bahia
45'+3
⚽A. Bernabei
· ast. J. Carbonero
62'
64'
David
/
N. Moreira
⚽J. Carbonero
· ast. Alerrandro
71'
74'
M. Hinestroza
/
Tche Tche
74'
Ramon Rique
/
Brenner
Alerrandro
/ R. Borre
78'
J. Carbonero
/ Allex
78'
85'
ast. Ramon Rique ·
Andres Gomez⚽
Matheus Bahia
/ L. F. de Morais Francisco
86'
Bruno Henrique
/ Ronaldo
86'
A. Bernabei
/ B. Arhin
90'+1
90'+2
C. Cuesta
Pre-match prediction
56.06%
Internacional ←
21.01%
X
22.94%
Vasco
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Internacional)
56.06%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.00
1.11
-0.89
1.10
0.41
-0.69
Internacional dominated by xG (1.11 vs 0.41).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
Anthoni
G
Anthoni
G
6
Matheus Bahia
86'
D
Matheus Bahia
86'
D
18
Jose Juninho
D
Jose Juninho
D
25
Gabriel Mercado
D
Gabriel Mercado
D
15
Bruno Gomes
D
Bruno Gomes
D
26
Alexandro Bernabei
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
Alexandro Bernabei
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
5
Rodrigo Villagra
M
Rodrigo Villagra
M
8
Bruno Henrique
86'
M
Bruno Henrique
86'
M
28
Vitinho
M
Vitinho
M
9
Alerrandro
1 ⚽
1 👟
78'
F
Alerrandro
1 ⚽
1 👟
78'
F
7
Johan Carbonero
2 ⚽
2 👟
78'
F
Johan Carbonero
2 ⚽
2 👟
78'
F
Bench
10
Alan Patrick
M
Alan Patrick
M
31
Allex
17'
M
Allex
17'
M
33
Benjamin Arhin
4'
M
Benjamin Arhin
4'
M
35
Braian Aguirre
D
Braian Aguirre
D
20
Clayton
D
Clayton
D
22
Kauan
G
Kauan
G
11
Kayky
F
Kayky
F
53
Luiz Felipe
9'
D
Luiz Felipe
9'
D
46
Pedro Kauã
D
Pedro Kauã
D
19
R. Borré
17'
F
R. Borré
17'
F
16
Ronaldo
9'
M
Ronaldo
9'
M
17
Tabata
F
Tabata
F
1
Leo Jardim
G
Leo Jardim
G
6
Lucas Piton
D
Lucas Piton
D
30
Robert Renan
D
Robert Renan
D
46
C. Cuesta
D
C. Cuesta
D
2
J. Rodríguez
D
J. Rodríguez
D
25
Hugo Moura
M
Hugo Moura
M
88
Cauan Barros
M
Cauan Barros
M
11
A. Gómez
1 ⚽
M
A. Gómez
1 ⚽
M
17
N. Moreira
63'
M
N. Moreira
63'
M
3
Tche Tche
74'
M
Tche Tche
74'
M
20
Brenner
74'
F
Brenner
74'
F
Bench
4
A. Saldivia
D
A. Saldivia
D
82
Avellar
D
Avellar
D
13
Daniel Fuzato
G
Daniel Fuzato
G
7
David
32'
F
David
32'
F
98
JP
M
JP
M
43
Lucas Freitas
D
Lucas Freitas
D
9
Matheus França
F
Matheus França
F
18
M. Hinestroza
21'
F
M. Hinestroza
21'
F
37
Pablo
G
Pablo
G
83
Ramon Rique
1 👟
21'
M
Ramon Rique
1 👟
21'
M
64
Walace
D
Walace
D
Best on the pitch
Johan Carbonero
F · Internacional
10.00
2 ⚽ 2 👟
3 shots
· 25 pass
Alexandro Bernabei
M · Internacional
8.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 20 pass
Gabriel Mercado
D · Internacional
7.50
· 46 pass
Alerrandro
F · Internacional
7.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 11 pass
Bruno Gomes
D · Internacional
7.30
· 35 pass
Rodrigo Villagra
M · Internacional
7.30
· 48 pass
Internacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthoni | G | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Bahia | D | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 10% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Jose Juninho | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 46 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Mercado | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 46 | 41% | 6 | — | — |
| Bruno Gomes | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 30% | 5 | — | — |
| Alexandro Bernabei | M | 91 | 8.60 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Villagra | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| Bruno Henrique | M | 86 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Vitinho | M | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | 4 | 29 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Alerrandro | F | 78 | 7.50 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Johan Carbonero | F | 78 | 10.00 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Allex | M | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Arhin | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Luiz Felipe | D | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| R. Borré | F | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Ronaldo | M | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Vasco DA Gama — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Jardim | G | 95 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Piton | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 52 | 45% | 3 | — | — |
| Robert Renan | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 66 | 57% | 4 | — | — |
| C. Cuesta | D | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 64 | 62% | 1 | — | 1 |
| J. Rodríguez | D | 95 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Hugo Moura | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 81 | 73% | 3 | — | — |
| Cauan Barros | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 62 | 58% | — | — | — |
| A. Gómez | M | 95 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 21 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| N. Moreira | M | 63 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| Tche Tche | M | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Brenner | F | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | — | — | — |
| David | F | 32 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| M. Hinestroza | F | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Ramon Rique | M | 21 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Internacional vs Vasco DA Gama?
The final score was Internacional 4–1 Vasco DA Gama.
What did the model predict before Internacional vs Vasco DA Gama?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Internacional win, 21% to a draw, and 22% to an Vasco DA Gama win.