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Internacional - Vasco DA Gama

Brasileirão Série A May 16, 2026 23:30
Internacional
#14 · 18 pts
vs
Vasco DA Gama
#8 · 20 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
56.07%
Win
Internacional
21.0%
Draw
22.93%
Win
Vasco DA Gama
2.01
Expected xG
1.1
Model prediction
Internacional
56.07%
Probability
33.3%
1X2 accuracy · 6 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Internacional a 56% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Vasco DA Gama. Expected goals are 2.0 for Internacional and 1.1 for Vasco DA Gama (total 3.1), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.9% probability.

Score Matrix
↕ Internacional Vasco DA Gama →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5% 4.9% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.0% 9.9% 5.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.0% 9.9% 5.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.0% 6.6% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.0% 3.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% —
5 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% —
Recent form
Internacional Internacional
D Coritiba 2–2
W Fluminense 2–0
D Botafogo 2–2
L Mirassol 1–2
D Gremio 0–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 33%
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
W Atletico Paranaense 1–0
D Flamengo 2–2
L Corinthians 1–0
W Sao Paulo 2–1
D Remo 1–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 17%
Playing profile
Internacional Internacional
Attack
45
Defence
73
Form
51
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
Attack
43
Defence
63
Form
48
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 15 34
2 Flamengo Flamengo 14 30
3 Fluminense Fluminense 15 27
4 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 15 24
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 15 23
6 Bahia Bahia 14 22
7 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 15 20
8 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 15 20
9 Coritiba Coritiba 15 20
10 Vitoria Vitoria 14 19
11 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 15 19
12 Botafogo Botafogo 14 18
13 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 15 18
14 Internacional Internacional 15 18
15 Santos Santos 15 18
16 Corinthians Corinthians 15 18
17 Gremio Gremio 15 17
18 Mirassol Mirassol 14 13
19 Remo Remo 15 12
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 14 9
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Internacional vs Vasco DA Gama?
The model gives Internacional a 56% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 22% for an Vasco DA Gama win.
How many goals are expected in Internacional vs Vasco DA Gama?
Expected goals: Internacional 2.0, Vasco DA Gama 1.1 (total 3.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Internacional vs Vasco DA Gama?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.9%.