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Inverness CT - Morton

Scottish Championship September 25, 2026 20:45 Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, Inverness
Inverness CT
#8 · 7 pts
vs
Morton
#10 · 1 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 11.7°C 💨 17 km/h · Inverness
⚡ Pre-match analysis
50.25%
Win
Inverness CT
27.74%
Draw
22.01%
Win
Morton
1.64
Expected xG
0.46

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (18.7%)
1X2 Result
1 50%
X 28%
2 22%
Double Chance
1X 78%
X2 50%
12 72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 45%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Inverness CT a 50% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Morton. Expected goals are 1.6 for Inverness CT and 0.5 for Morton (total 2.1), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 18.7% probability.

Season Stats

Inverness CT
1W 4D 2L
Morton
2W 3D 10L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
0.8
1.3
Conceded
1.8
Percentages
71%
O 1.5
73%
43%
O 2.5
53%
57%
BTTS
60%
29%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Scottish Championship. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
52%
BTTS
Inverness CT
0W 2D 1L · at home
Morton
1W 2D 7L · away
0.3
gls/g
1.0
1.0
Conceded
2.2
0%
Win %
10%
67%
Win or Draw
30%
67%
O 1.5
90%
0%
O 2.5
60%
0%
O 3.5
50%
33%
BTTS
70%
33%
Clean Sht
10%
67%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Inverness CT Morton →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.3% 5.7% 1.3% 0.2% — —
1 20.1% 9.3% 2.1% 0.3% — —
2 16.4% 7.6% 1.8% 0.3% — —
3 8.9% 4.1% 1.0% 0.1% — —
4 3.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% — —
5 1.2% 0.6% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Inverness CT Inverness CT
D Livingston 2–2
W Ayr Utd 1–3
L Raith Rovers 0–2
L Stenhousemuir 3–1
D Partick 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 26%
Morton Morton
L Dunfermline 0–1
L Livingston 1–4
L Queen's Park 2–1
D Ayr Utd 1–1
L Arbroath 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 18%

Playing profile

Inverness CT Inverness CT
Attack
27
Defence
66
Form
38
Morton Morton
Attack
15
Defence
51
Form
24
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 7 19
2 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 7 14
3 Partick Partick 7 12
4 Dunfermline Dunfermline 7 12
5 Livingston Livingston 7 10
6 Ayr Utd Ayr Utd 7 8
7 Arbroath Arbroath 7 8
8 Inverness CT Inverness CT 7 7
9 Queen's Park Queen's Park 7 4
10 Morton Morton 7 1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Inverness CT vs Morton?
The model gives Inverness CT a 50% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 22% for an Morton win.
How many goals are expected in Inverness CT vs Morton?
Expected goals: Inverness CT 1.6, Morton 0.5 (total 2.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Inverness CT vs Morton?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 18.7%.