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Ipswich - Arsenal

EFL Cup September 15, 2026 21:00
Ipswich
vs
Arsenal
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.99%
Win
Ipswich
24.07%
Draw
35.93%
Win
Arsenal
3.67
Expected xG
3.33

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–2 (6.56%)
1X2 Result
1 40%
X 24%
2 36%
Double Chance
1X 64%
X2 60%
12 76%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 85%
Over 2.5 71%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ipswich a 39% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Arsenal. Expected goals are 3.7 for Ipswich and 3.3 for Arsenal (total 7.0), with a 84% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–2 at 6.56% probability.

Season Stats

Ipswich
1W 1D 0L
Arsenal
4W 1D 1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.5
1.0
Conceded
0.8
7.0
Shots OT
4.7
6.5
Corners
6.0
57%
Poss.
54%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
83%
50%
O 2.5
17%
100%
BTTS
33%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 6 matches in EFL Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
75%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Ipswich
1W 0D 0L · at home
Arsenal
2W 0D 0L · away
3.0
gls/g
2.5
1.0
Conceded
1.0
100%
Win %
100%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
50%
100%
O 3.5
50%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Ipswich Arsenal →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3%
1 0.3% 1.1% 1.9% 2.1% 1.7% 1.1%
2 0.6% 2.1% 3.4% 3.8% 3.1% 2.1%
3 0.8% 2.5% 4.2% 4.6% 3.8% 2.6%
4 0.7% 2.3% 3.8% 4.2% 3.5% 2.3%
5 0.5% 1.7% 2.8% 3.1% 2.6% 1.7%

Recent form

Ipswich Ipswich
W Leicester 3–1
D Bromley 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 30%
Arsenal Arsenal
L Manchester City 0–2
W Chelsea 1–0
W Chelsea 2–3
D Crystal Palace 1–1
W Brighton 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Ipswich Ipswich
Attack
56
Defence
59
Form
67
Arsenal Arsenal
Attack
53
Defence
74
Form
75
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ipswich vs Arsenal?
The model gives Ipswich a 39% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 35% for an Arsenal win.
How many goals are expected in Ipswich vs Arsenal?
Expected goals: Ipswich 3.7, Arsenal 3.3 (total 7.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 84%.
What is the most likely score in Ipswich vs Arsenal?
2–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 6.56%.