Championship
· Regular Season - 41
April 06, 2026 16:00
✓Model correct — prediction Ipswich
B. Johnson
(ast. D. Furlong)
41'
K. McAteer
(ast. G. Hirst)
45'
32'
C. Vicente
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ipswich a 63% win probability (draw 22%, Birmingham 14%). The final result was Ipswich 2–1 Birmingham. In 1 previous meetings, Ipswich have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Birmingham.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
4
1.78
Actual xG
0.41
3
Saves
3
54%
Possession
46%
6
Corners
4
19
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
32'
C. Vicente⚽
38'
D. Gray
A. Matusiwa
/ A. Mehmeti
39'
⚽B. Johnson
· ast. D. Furlong
41'
⚽K. McAteer
· ast. G. Hirst
45'
46'
T. Iwata
/
Paik Seung-Ho
56'
E. Laird
/
J. Panzo
56'
I. Osman
/
D. Gray
J. Clarke
/ J. Philogene
75'
G. Hirst
/ C. Akpom
75'
M. Nunez
/ J. Taylor
75'
J. Taylor
76'
81'
P. Roberts
/
C. Vicente
81'
M. Ducksch
/
J. Stansfield
K. McAteer
/ C. Kipre
86'
Pre-match prediction
63.02%
Ipswich ←
22.77%
X
14.21%
Birmingham
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Ipswich)
63.02%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.87
1.78
-0.09
0.75
0.41
-0.34
Ipswich dominated by xG (1.78 vs 0.41).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
28
G
18
B. Johnson
1 ⚽
D
B. Johnson
1 ⚽
D
24
J. Greaves
D
J. Greaves
D
26
D
19
D. Furlong
1 👟
D
D. Furlong
1 👟
D
6
D. Neil
M
D. Neil
M
5
A. Matusiwa
39'
M
47
J. Clarke
75'
M
J. Clarke
75'
M
32
M. Núñez
75'
M
M. Núñez
75'
M
20
K. McAteer
1 ⚽
86'
M
K. McAteer
1 ⚽
86'
M
9
G. Hirst
1 👟
75'
F
G. Hirst
1 👟
75'
F
Bench
33
A. Mehmeti
54'
M
A. Mehmeti
54'
M
4
C. Kipré
7'
D
C. Kipré
7'
D
11
J. Philogene
18'
F
J. Philogene
18'
F
14
J. Taylor
18'
M
25
G
37
J. Panzo
56'
D
4
C. Klarer
D
C. Klarer
D
5
P. Neumann
D
P. Neumann
D
26
B. Osayi-Samuel
D
B. Osayi-Samuel
D
8
Seung Ho Paik
45'
M
Seung Ho Paik
45'
M
14
Jhon Solís
M
Jhon Solís
M
10
D. Gray
56'
M
D. Gray
56'
M
28
J. Stansfield
81'
M
J. Stansfield
81'
M
23
Carlos Vicente
1 ⚽
81'
M
Carlos Vicente
1 ⚽
81'
M
29
A. Priske
F
A. Priske
F
Bench
2
E. Laird
37'
D
E. Laird
37'
D
17
I. Osman
37'
F
I. Osman
37'
F
33
M. Ducksch
12'
F
M. Ducksch
12'
F
16
P. Roberts
12'
M
P. Roberts
12'
M
24
T. Iwata
48'
M
T. Iwata
48'
M
Best on the pitch
K. McAteer
M · Ipswich
7.90
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 20 pass
J. Greaves
D · Ipswich
7.70
· 66 pass
D · Ipswich
7.50
1 shots
· 52 pass
B. Johnson
D · Ipswich
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 31 pass
G · Ipswich
7.20
· 31 pass
M. Núñez
M · Ipswich
7.20
1 shots
· 30 pass
Ipswich — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| B. Johnson | D | 93 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 31 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Greaves | D | 93 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 66 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 93 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 44% | — | — | — | |
| D. Furlong | D | 93 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 30 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Neil | M | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 48 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Matusiwa | M | 39 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Clarke | M | 75 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Núñez | M | 75 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| K. McAteer | M | 86 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 4 | 20 | 14% | 4 | — | — |
| G. Hirst | F | 75 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 20 | 13% | — | — | — |
| A. Mehmeti | M | 54 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| C. Kipré | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| J. Philogene | F | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Taylor | M | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
Birmingham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| J. Panzo | D | 56 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Klarer | D | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Neumann | D | 93 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Osayi-Samuel | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Seung Ho Paik | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Jhon Solís | M | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Gray | M | 56 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Stansfield | M | 81 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 6% | 3 | — | — |
| Carlos Vicente | M | 81 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 21 | 14% | — | — | — |
| A. Priske | F | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 12% | — | — | — |
| E. Laird | D | 37 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Osman | F | 37 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Ducksch | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| P. Roberts | M | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| T. Iwata | M | 48 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ipswich vs Birmingham?
The final score was Ipswich 2–1 Birmingham.
What did the model predict before Ipswich vs Birmingham?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Ipswich win, 22% to a draw, and 14% to an Birmingham win.