Abdoul Ouattara
88'
Dara O'Shea
(ast. Jack Clarke)
90'+1
55'
Ryan Sessegnon
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ipswich a 40% win probability (draw 29%, Fulham 30%). The final result was Ipswich 2–1 Fulham.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
13
5
Shots on target
5
1.22
Actual xG
1.87
3
Saves
3
48%
Possession
52%
2
Corners
5
19
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
Leif Davis
19'
44'
Josh King
51'
Calvin Bassey
55'
Ryan Sessegnon⚽
Florentino Luís
/ Exequiel Palacios
63'
Jaden Philogene-Bidace
/ Jack Clarke
63'
Julio Enciso
/ Chuba Akpom
71'
Emersonn
/ Zian Flemming
71'
71'
Manuel Ángel Morán
/
Shea Charles
76'
Rodrigo Muniz
/
Josh King
76'
Kevin Santos Lopes de Macedo
/
Oscar Bobb
Daizen Maeda
/ Sindre Walle Egeli
81'
84'
Manuel Ángel Morán
87'
Hugo Larsson
/
Gonzalo García
87'
Emile Smith Rowe
/
Alex Iwobi
⚽Abdoul Ouattara
88'
⚽Dara O'Shea
· ast. Jack Clarke
90'+1
90'+4
Emile Smith Rowe
Christian Walton
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
40.1%
Ipswich ←
29.37%
X
30.53%
Fulham
we assigned to the actual result (Ipswich)
40.1%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.88
1.22
-0.66
0.98
1.87
+0.89
Fulham dominated by xG (1.87 vs 1.22).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
28
C. Walton
G
C. Walton
G
3
L. Davis
D
L. Davis
D
26
D. O'Shea
1 ⚽
D
D. O'Shea
1 ⚽
D
6
I. Diop
D
I. Diop
D
42
A. Ouattara
1 ⚽
D
A. Ouattara
1 ⚽
D
12
Florentino
63'
M
Florentino
63'
M
23
S. Lukić
M
S. Lukić
M
11
J. Philogene
63'
M
J. Philogene
63'
M
10
J. Enciso
71'
M
J. Enciso
71'
M
38
D. Maeda
81'
M
D. Maeda
81'
M
19
Emersonn
71'
F
Emersonn
71'
F
Bench
5
A. Matusiwa
M
A. Matusiwa
M
29
C. Akpom
19'
F
C. Akpom
19'
F
2
D. Furlong
D
D. Furlong
D
25
E. Palacios
27'
M
E. Palacios
27'
M
47
J. Clarke
1 👟
27'
F
J. Clarke
1 👟
27'
F
24
J. Greaves
D
J. Greaves
D
37
K. Scherpen
G
K. Scherpen
G
8
S. Egeli
9'
F
S. Egeli
9'
F
9
Z. Flemming
19'
F
Z. Flemming
19'
F
1
B. Leno
G
B. Leno
G
30
R. Sessegnon
1 ⚽
D
R. Sessegnon
1 ⚽
D
3
C. Bassey
D
C. Bassey
D
22
D. Affengruber
D
D. Affengruber
D
2
K. Tete
D
K. Tete
D
19
S. Charles
71'
M
S. Charles
71'
M
16
S. Berge
M
S. Berge
M
17
A. Iwobi
87'
M
A. Iwobi
87'
M
24
Joshua King
76'
M
Joshua King
76'
M
14
Oscar Bobb
76'
M
Oscar Bobb
76'
M
7
Gonzalo García
87'
F
Gonzalo García
87'
F
Bench
23
B. Lecomte
G
B. Lecomte
G
8
César Palacios
M
César Palacios
M
32
E. Smith Rowe
3'
M
E. Smith Rowe
3'
M
15
H. Larsson
3'
M
H. Larsson
3'
M
5
J. Andersen
D
J. Andersen
D
11
Kevin
14'
F
Kevin
14'
F
20
Manuel Ángel
19'
M
Manuel Ángel
19'
M
9
Rodrigo Muniz
14'
F
Rodrigo Muniz
14'
F
21
T. Castagne
D
T. Castagne
D
Best on the pitch
A. Ouattara
D · Ipswich
7.72
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 41 pass
R. Sessegnon
D · Fulham
7.72
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 42 pass
D. O'Shea
D · Ipswich
7.36
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 63 pass
S. Lukić
M · Ipswich
7.09
· 69 pass
A. Iwobi
M · Fulham
7.05
· 51 pass
I. Diop
D · Ipswich
7.03
1 shots
· 68 pass
Ipswich — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Walton | G | 90 | 6.41 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Davis | D | 90 | 6.33 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 26% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. O'Shea | D | 90 | 7.36 | 1 | — | 1 | 63 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Diop | D | 90 | 7.03 | — | — | 1 | 68 | 65% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Ouattara | D | 90 | 7.72 | 1 | — | 1 | 41 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Florentino | M | 63 | 6.63 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Lukić | M | 90 | 7.09 | — | — | 0 | 69 | 63% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Philogene | M | 63 | 6.48 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Enciso | M | 71 | 6.71 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Maeda | M | 81 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Emersonn | F | 71 | 6.25 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Akpom | F | 19 | 6.58 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Palacios | M | 27 | 6.95 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Clarke | F | 27 | 6.80 | — | 1 | 0 | 20 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Egeli | F | 9 | 6.66 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Z. Flemming | F | 19 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
Fulham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Leno | G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Sessegnon | D | 90 | 7.72 | 1 | — | 3 | 42 | 36% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Bassey | D | 90 | 6.93 | — | — | 0 | 61 | 52% | 4 | 1 | — |
| D. Affengruber | D | 90 | 6.09 | — | — | 1 | 80 | 63% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Tete | D | 90 | 6.75 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Charles | M | 71 | 6.56 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Berge | M | 90 | 6.69 | — | — | 2 | 58 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Iwobi | M | 87 | 7.05 | — | — | 0 | 51 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| Joshua King | M | 76 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 23% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Oscar Bobb | M | 76 | 5.66 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Gonzalo García | F | 87 | 5.57 | — | — | 3 | 23 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Smith Rowe | M | 3 | 5.99 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | 1 | — |
| H. Larsson | M | 3 | 6.23 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Kevin | F | 14 | 6.52 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Manuel Ángel | M | 19 | 5.97 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Rodrigo Muniz | F | 14 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ipswich vs Fulham?
The final score was Ipswich 2–1 Fulham.
What did the model predict before Ipswich vs Fulham?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Ipswich win, 29% to a draw, and 30% to an Fulham win.