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Championship · Regular Season - 43 April 19, 2026 13:00
Ipswich
2 – 2
Final score
Middlesbrough
#3 · 15 pts
K. McAteer (ast. I. Azon) 30'
J. Clarke 86' (pen.)
25' (ast. A. Browne) D. Strelec
64' T. Conway
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ipswich a 39% win probability (draw 25%, Middlesbrough 34%). The final result was Ipswich 2–2 Middlesbrough. In 1 previous meetings, Ipswich have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Middlesbrough.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
9
2.03
Actual xG
2.69
6
Saves
3
53%
Possession
47%
6
Corners
3
21
Tackles
27
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
25'
ast. A. Browne · D. Strelec⚽
⚽K. McAteer · ast. I. Azon
30'
52'
M. Targett
61'
J. Sarmiento / A. Gilbert ↕
64'
T. Conway⚽
↕ M. Nunez / A. Mehmeti
64'
↕ J. Philogene / J. Clarke
65'
↕ K. McAteer / S. W. Egeli
72'
81'
S. Silvera / D. Strelec ↕
↕ I. Azon / G. Hirst
81'
↕ A. Matusiwa / D. Neil
82'
86'
A. Malanda
⚽J. Clarke (pen.)
86'
D. Neil
90'+1
D. Furlong
90'+3
90'+4
C. Brittain
90'+8
J. Sarmiento
90'
M. Whittaker / T. Conway ↕
Pre-match prediction
39.64%
Ipswich
25.38%
X ←
34.98%
Middlesbrough
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 25.38% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Ipswich
1.50
2.03
+0.53
Middlesbrough
1.55
2.69
+1.14
Middlesbrough dominated by xG (2.69 vs 2.03). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Swansea Swansea 8 17
2 West Ham West Ham 8 15
3 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 8 15
4 Wolves Wolves 7 14
5 West Brom West Brom 8 14
6 QPR QPR 8 13
7 Stoke City Stoke City 8 13
8 Bristol City Bristol City 8 13
9 Charlton Charlton 8 12
10 Birmingham Birmingham 8 11
11 Millwall Millwall 8 11
12 Lincoln Lincoln 8 11
13 Southampton Southampton 8 10
14 Wrexham Wrexham 8 10
15 Bolton Bolton 8 10
16 Blackburn Blackburn 8 9
17 Norwich Norwich 8 9
18 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 8 9
19 Portsmouth Portsmouth 7 8
20 Watford Watford 8 8
21 Cardiff Cardiff 8 7
22 Derby Derby 8 5
23 Preston Preston 8 4
24 Burnley Burnley 8 4
Lineups
Ipswich Ipswich 4-2-3-1
28
G 7.90
3 L. Davis L. Davis D 7.20
24 J. Greaves J. Greaves D 6.70
26
D 7.30
19 D. Furlong D. Furlong D 7.00
14
J. Taylor M 7.30
5
A. Matusiwa 82' M 8.30
11 J. Philogene J. Philogene 65' M 6.50
32 M. Núñez M. Núñez 64' M 6.50
20 K. McAteer K. McAteer 1 ⚽ 72' M 7.20
31 Iván Azón Iván Azón 1 👟 81' F 7.30
Bench
33 A. Mehmeti A. Mehmeti 35' M 7.30
18 B. Johnson B. Johnson D
4 C. Kipré C. Kipré D
6 D. Neil D. Neil 17' M 6.90
9 G. Hirst G. Hirst 18' F 6.90
47 J. Clarke J. Clarke 1 ⚽ 34' F 7.30
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 3-4-2-1
31
G 7.20
12 L. Ayling L. Ayling D 6.90
6 D. Fry D. Fry D 6.50
29 A. Malanda A. Malanda D 5.90
3 M. Targett M. Targett M 6.70
14 A. Gilbert A. Gilbert 61' M 6.20
18 A. Morris A. Morris M 7.30
2 C. Brittain C. Brittain M 6.30
9 T. Conway T. Conway 1 ⚽ F 7.20
16 A. Browne A. Browne 1 👟 F 7.50
13 D. Strelec D. Strelec 1 ⚽ 82' F 7.30
Bench
24 A. Bangura A. Bangura D
45 Jeremy Sarmiento Jeremy Sarmiento 38' M 6.70
11 M. Whittaker M. Whittaker 9' F 6.20
27 Sontje Hansen Sontje Hansen F
Best on the pitch
A. Matusiwa
M · Ipswich
8.30
· 52 pass
G · Ipswich
7.90
· 22 pass
A. Browne
A. Browne
F · Middlesbrough
7.50
1 👟
· 33 pass
J. Clarke
J. Clarke
F · Ipswich
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 12 pass
A. Mehmeti
A. Mehmeti
M · Ipswich
7.30
1 shots · 10 pass
D. Strelec
D. Strelec
F · Middlesbrough
7.30
1 ⚽
4 shots · 17 pass
Ipswich Ipswich — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 99 7.90 — — — 22 15% — — —
L. Davis D 99 7.20 — — — 44 36% 3 — —
J. Greaves D 99 6.70 — — — 63 59% 4 — —
D 99 7.30 — — 2 51 41% — — —
D. Furlong D 99 7.00 — — 1 37 31% 2 1 —
J. Taylor M 99 7.30 — — 2 49 40% 3 — —
A. Matusiwa M 82 8.30 — — — 52 47% 1 — —
J. Philogene M 65 6.50 — — 1 28 24% 2 — —
M. Núñez M 64 6.50 — — — 37 30% — — —
K. McAteer M 72 7.20 1 — 2 17 16% 1 — —
Iván Azón F 81 7.30 — 1 3 18 11% 1 — —
A. Mehmeti M 35 7.30 — — 1 10 9% — — —
D. Neil M 17 6.90 — — — 14 13% 3 1 —
G. Hirst F 18 6.90 — — — 6 3% — — —
J. Clarke F 34 7.30 1 — 2 12 7% 1 — —
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 99 7.20 — — — 31 16% — — —
L. Ayling D 99 6.90 — — — 61 54% 5 — —
D. Fry D 99 6.50 — — — 31 24% — — —
A. Malanda D 99 5.90 — — 1 39 30% 1 1 —
M. Targett M 99 6.70 — — — 39 32% 1 1 —
A. Gilbert M 61 6.20 — — 1 27 14% 2 — —
A. Morris M 99 7.30 — — — 53 49% 8 — —
C. Brittain M 99 6.30 — — 1 39 22% 2 1 —
T. Conway F 90 7.20 1 — 1 23 20% 1 — —
A. Browne F 99 7.50 — 1 — 33 24% 4 — —
D. Strelec F 82 7.30 1 — 4 17 14% 1 — —
Jeremy Sarmiento M 38 6.70 — — 1 9 8% 2 1 —
M. Whittaker F 9 6.20 — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ipswich vs Middlesbrough?
The final score was Ipswich 2–2 Middlesbrough.
What did the model predict before Ipswich vs Middlesbrough?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Ipswich win, 25% to a draw, and 34% to an Middlesbrough win.