Julio Enciso
41'
13'
(ast. Daniel Muñoz)
Neco Williams
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ipswich a 38% win probability (draw 28%, Nottingham Forest 32%). The final result was Ipswich 1–1 Nottingham Forest.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
17
3
Shots on target
5
0.49
Actual xG
2.33
3
Saves
2
49%
Possession
51%
0
Corners
5
14
Tackles
22
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
13'
ast. Daniel Muñoz ·
Neco Williams⚽
⚽Julio Enciso
41'
49'
Issa Diop
51'
54'
Murillo Santiago
Emersonn
/ Zian Flemming
60'
Jaden Philogene-Bidace
/ Jack Clarke
61'
69'
Callum Hudson-Odoi
/
Dan Ndoye
Abdul Fatawu Issahaku
/ Daizen Maeda
73'
84'
Luca Netz
/
Neco Williams
Florentino Luís
/ Azor Matusiwa
85'
Julio Enciso
/ Chuba Akpom
86'
90'+4
Chris Wood
/
Liam Delap
Pre-match prediction
38.77%
Ipswich
28.67%
X ←
32.56%
Nottingham
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.67%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.60
0.49
-1.11
1.19
2.33
+1.14
Nottingham Forest dominated by xG (2.33 vs 0.49).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
28
C. Walton
G
C. Walton
G
3
L. Davis
D
L. Davis
D
26
D. O'Shea
D
D. O'Shea
D
6
I. Diop
D
I. Diop
D
42
A. Ouattara
D
A. Ouattara
D
12
Florentino
85'
M
Florentino
85'
M
25
E. Palacios
M
E. Palacios
M
11
J. Philogene
61'
M
J. Philogene
61'
M
10
J. Enciso
1 ⚽
86'
M
J. Enciso
1 ⚽
86'
M
7
A. Fatawu
73'
M
A. Fatawu
73'
M
19
Emersonn
60'
F
Emersonn
60'
F
Bench
5
A. Matusiwa
5'
M
A. Matusiwa
5'
M
29
C. Akpom
4'
F
C. Akpom
4'
F
2
D. Furlong
D
D. Furlong
D
38
D. Maeda
17'
F
D. Maeda
17'
F
47
J. Clarke
29'
F
J. Clarke
29'
F
24
J. Greaves
D
J. Greaves
D
37
K. Scherpen
G
K. Scherpen
G
32
M. Núñez
M
M. Núñez
M
9
Z. Flemming
30'
F
Z. Flemming
30'
F
26
M. Sels
G
M. Sels
G
5
Murillo
D
Murillo
D
31
N. Milenković
D
N. Milenković
D
23
Jair
D
Jair
D
3
N. Williams
1 ⚽
84'
M
N. Williams
1 ⚽
84'
M
21
X. Schlager
M
X. Schlager
M
24
J. McAtee
M
J. McAtee
M
27
D. Muñoz
1 👟
M
D. Muñoz
1 👟
M
14
D. Ndoye
69'
M
D. Ndoye
69'
M
10
M. Gibbs-White
M
M. Gibbs-White
M
19
L. Delap
F
L. Delap
F
Bench
15
A. Kalimuendo
F
A. Kalimuendo
F
7
C. Hudson-Odoi
21'
F
C. Hudson-Odoi
21'
F
9
C. Wood
F
C. Wood
F
6
I. Sangaré
M
I. Sangaré
M
12
John
G
John
G
25
L. Netz
6'
D
L. Netz
6'
D
34
O. Aina
D
O. Aina
D
2
O. Diomande
D
O. Diomande
D
22
R. Yates
M
R. Yates
M
Best on the pitch
N. Williams
M · Nottingham
7.83
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 17 pass
D. Muñoz
M · Nottingham
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 41 pass
J. Enciso
M · Ipswich
7.67
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 29 pass
N. Milenković
D · Nottingham
6.91
1 shots
· 53 pass
Z. Flemming
F · Ipswich
6.87
· 7 pass
D. O'Shea
D · Ipswich
6.76
· 52 pass
Ipswich — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Walton | G | 90 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Davis | D | 90 | 6.22 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 37% | 0 | — | — |
| D. O'Shea | D | 90 | 6.76 | — | — | 0 | 52 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Diop | D | 90 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 52 | 48% | 0 | 1 | — |
| A. Ouattara | D | 90 | 6.67 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Florentino | M | 85 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 59 | 47% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Palacios | M | 90 | 6.67 | — | — | 0 | 86 | 77% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Philogene | M | 61 | 6.09 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Enciso | M | 86 | 7.67 | 1 | — | 4 | 29 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Fatawu | M | 73 | 6.19 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Emersonn | F | 60 | 6.75 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Matusiwa | M | 5 | 5.94 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Akpom | F | 4 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Maeda | F | 17 | 6.39 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Clarke | F | 29 | 6.57 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| Z. Flemming | F | 30 | 6.87 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 4% | 3 | — | — |
Nottingham Forest — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Sels | G | 90 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| Murillo | D | 90 | 6.21 | — | — | 2 | 72 | 60% | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Milenković | D | 90 | 6.91 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 48% | 0 | — | — |
| Jair | D | 90 | 6.74 | — | — | 1 | 73 | 61% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Williams | M | 84 | 7.83 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| X. Schlager | M | 90 | 6.49 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 38% | 4 | — | — |
| J. McAtee | M | 90 | 6.10 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 44% | 7 | — | — |
| D. Muñoz | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 41 | 37% | 5 | — | — |
| D. Ndoye | M | 69 | 6.47 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Gibbs-White | M | 90 | 6.44 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Delap | F | 94 | 6.25 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Hudson-Odoi | F | 21 | 6.56 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Netz | D | 6 | 5.93 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest?
The final score was Ipswich 1–1 Nottingham Forest.
What did the model predict before Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Ipswich win, 28% to a draw, and 32% to an Nottingham Forest win.