Championship
· Regular Season - 46
May 02, 2026 13:30
G. Hirst
3'
J. Philogene
(ast. G. Hirst)
9'
K. McAteer
85'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ipswich a 56% win probability (draw 21%, QPR 22%). The final result was Ipswich 3–0 QPR. In 1 previous meetings, Ipswich have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for QPR.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
7
7
Shots on target
4
2.09
Actual xG
0.68
4
Saves
4
52%
Possession
48%
4
Corners
2
12
Tackles
8
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽G. Hirst
3'
⚽J. Philogene
· ast. G. Hirst
9'
46'
P. Smyth
/
N. Madsen
46'
T. Smith
/
J. Clarke-Salter
D. Furlong
46'
J. Philogene
/ J. Clarke
62'
W. Burns
/ K. McAteer
62'
63'
K. Saito
/
I. Chair
G. Hirst
/ I. Azon
70'
M. Nunez
/ A. Mehmeti
71'
L. Davis
76'
79'
P. Smyth
80'
I. Alemayehu Mulugeta
/
K. Morgan
85'
L. Scarlett
/
D. Bennie
⚽K. McAteer
85'
J. Taylor
/ D. Neil
86'
Pre-match prediction
56.28%
Ipswich ←
21.04%
X
22.68%
QPR
we assigned to the actual result (Ipswich)
56.28%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.88
2.09
+0.21
1.41
0.68
-0.73
Ipswich dominated by xG (2.09 vs 0.68).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
28
G
3
L. Davis
D
24
J. Greaves
D
26
D
19
D. Furlong
D
D. Furlong
D
14
J. Taylor
86'
M
5
A. Matusiwa
M
11
J. Philogene
1 ⚽
62'
M
J. Philogene
1 ⚽
62'
M
32
M. Núñez
71'
M
M. Núñez
71'
M
7
W. Burns
63'
M
9
George Hirst
1 ⚽
1 👟
70'
F
George Hirst
1 ⚽
1 👟
70'
F
Bench
33
Anis Mehmeti
24'
M
Anis Mehmeti
24'
M
18
B. Johnson
D
4
C. Kipre
D
6
D. Neil
9'
M
31
I. Azon
25'
F
47
J. Clarke
33'
F
J. Clarke
33'
F
20
K. McAteer
1 ⚽
32'
M
13
G
18
Rhys Norrington-Davies
D
Rhys Norrington-Davies
D
6
J. Clarke-Salter
45'
D
37
R. Edwards
D
27
A. Mbengue
D
A. Mbengue
D
10
I. Chair
62'
M
21
K. Morgan
80'
M
40
J. Varane
M
20
H. Vale
M
24
N. Madsen
45'
F
23
D. Bennie
85'
F
Bench
15
Isaac Hayden
M
2
K. Adamson
D
11
Paul Smyth
50'
F
Paul Smyth
50'
F
Best on the pitch
J. Philogene
M · Ipswich
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 12 pass
George Hirst
F · Ipswich
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 14 pass
D · Ipswich
7.70
1 shots
· 76 pass
K. McAteer
M · Ipswich
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 2 pass
J. Greaves
D · Ipswich
7.60
· 71 pass
A. Matusiwa
M · Ipswich
7.60
· 49 pass
Ipswich — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| L. Davis | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 34% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Greaves | D | 95 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 71 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 76 | 65% | — | — | — | |
| D. Furlong | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 32% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Taylor | M | 86 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Matusiwa | M | 95 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 49 | 44% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Philogene | M | 62 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| M. Núñez | M | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| W. Burns | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | — | — | — |
| George Hirst | F | 70 | 7.90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Anis Mehmeti | M | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| D. Neil | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| I. Azon | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Clarke | F | 33 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| K. McAteer | M | 32 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
QPR — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 4.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| Rhys Norrington-Davies | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Clarke-Salter | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| R. Edwards | D | 95 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 62 | 59% | — | — | — |
| A. Mbengue | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Chair | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Morgan | M | 80 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| J. Varane | M | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Vale | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Madsen | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| D. Bennie | F | 85 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Paul Smyth | F | 50 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ipswich vs QPR?
The final score was Ipswich 3–0 QPR.
What did the model predict before Ipswich vs QPR?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Ipswich win, 21% to a draw, and 22% to an QPR win.