Premier League
· Regular Season - 1
August 22, 2026 16:00
Emersonn
(ast. J. Enciso)
24'
J. Clarke
(ast. S. Lukic)
90'
39'
N. Angulo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ipswich a 33% win probability (draw 32%, Sunderland 33%). The final result was Ipswich 2–1 Sunderland.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
6
2
Shots on target
3
1.64
Actual xG
0.72
1
Saves
1
38%
Possession
62%
1
Corners
4
17
Tackles
15
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Emersonn
· ast. J. Enciso
24'
36'
D. Ballard
39'
N. Angulo⚽
55'
N. Angulo
59'
C. Talbi
/
N. Angulo
63'
L. O'Nien
I. Fatawu
/ K. McAteer
66'
Emersonn
/ C. Akpom
66'
67'
O. Alderete
/
L. O'Nien
67'
W. Isidor
/
B. Brobbey
J. Enciso
/ J. Clarke
71'
80'
C. Rigg
/
T. Hume
80'
H. Diarra
/
E. Le Fee
D. Maeda
/ A. Ouattara
80'
M. Nunez
/ S. W. Egeli
80'
⚽J. Clarke
· ast. S. Lukic
90'
Pre-match prediction
33.48%
Ipswich ←
32.96%
X
33.56%
Sunderland
we assigned to the actual result (Ipswich)
33.48%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.58
1.64
-0.94
0.48
0.72
+0.24
Ipswich dominated by xG (1.64 vs 0.72).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
37
K. Scherpen
63'
G
K. Scherpen
63'
G
3
L. Davis
63'
D
L. Davis
63'
D
24
J. Greaves
63'
D
J. Greaves
63'
D
6
I. Diop
63'
D
I. Diop
63'
D
26
D. O'Shea
63'
D
D. O'Shea
63'
D
23
S. Lukić
1 👟
63'
M
S. Lukić
1 👟
63'
M
32
M. Núñez
63'
M
M. Núñez
63'
M
38
D. Maeda
63'
M
D. Maeda
63'
M
10
J. Enciso
1 👟
63'
M
J. Enciso
1 👟
63'
M
7
A. Fatawu
63'
M
A. Fatawu
63'
M
19
Emersonn
1 ⚽
63'
F
Emersonn
1 ⚽
63'
F
Bench
42
A. Ouattara
D
A. Ouattara
D
29
C. Akpom
F
C. Akpom
F
30
C. Humphreys
M
C. Humphreys
M
4
C. Kipré
D
C. Kipré
D
28
C. Walton
G
C. Walton
G
2
D. Furlong
D
D. Furlong
D
47
J. Clarke
1 ⚽
F
J. Clarke
1 ⚽
F
20
K. McAteer
M
K. McAteer
M
8
Sindre Walle Egeli
F
Sindre Walle Egeli
F
22
R. Roefs
63'
G
R. Roefs
63'
G
17
Reinildo
63'
D
Reinildo
63'
D
13
L. O'Nien
63'
D
L. O'Nien
63'
D
5
D. Ballard
63'
D
D. Ballard
63'
D
12
T. Meunier
63'
D
T. Meunier
63'
D
34
G. Xhaka
63'
M
G. Xhaka
63'
M
27
N. Sadiki
63'
M
N. Sadiki
63'
M
10
N. Angulo
1 ⚽
59'
M
N. Angulo
1 ⚽
59'
M
28
E. Le Fée
63'
M
E. Le Fée
63'
M
32
T. Hume
63'
M
T. Hume
63'
M
9
B. Brobbey
63'
F
B. Brobbey
63'
F
Bench
11
C. Rigg
M
C. Rigg
M
7
C. Talbi
4'
F
C. Talbi
4'
F
19
H. Diarra
M
H. Diarra
M
37
J. T. Bi
F
J. T. Bi
F
31
M. Ellborg
G
M. Ellborg
G
20
N. Mukiele
D
N. Mukiele
D
15
O. Alderete
D
O. Alderete
D
14
Romaine Mundle
F
Romaine Mundle
F
18
W. Isidor
F
W. Isidor
F
Best on the pitch
Emersonn
F · Ipswich
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 11 pass
M. Núñez
M · Ipswich
7.60
· 27 pass
J. Enciso
M · Ipswich
7.60
1 👟
2 shots
· 21 pass
D. O'Shea
D · Ipswich
7.30
· 19 pass
A. Fatawu
M · Ipswich
7.30
· 10 pass
N. Angulo
M · Sunderland
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 21 pass
Ipswich — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Scherpen | G | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| L. Davis | D | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| J. Greaves | D | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Diop | D | 63 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | — | — | — |
| D. O'Shea | D | 63 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Lukić | M | 63 | 6.20 | — | 1 | — | 33 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Núñez | M | 63 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Maeda | M | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Enciso | M | 63 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 2 | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Fatawu | M | 63 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | 4 | — | — |
| Emersonn | F | 63 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Sunderland — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Roefs | G | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Reinildo | D | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| L. O'Nien | D | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 53 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Ballard | D | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 36% | 2 | 1 | — |
| T. Meunier | D | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Xhaka | M | 63 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 51 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Sadiki | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 43% | — | — | — |
| N. Angulo | M | 59 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Le Fée | M | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Hume | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Brobbey | F | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| C. Talbi | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ipswich vs Sunderland?
The final score was Ipswich 2–1 Sunderland.
What did the model predict before Ipswich vs Sunderland?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Ipswich win, 32% to a draw, and 33% to an Sunderland win.