World Cup
· Group Stage - 1
June 16, 2026 03:00
R. Rezaeian
32'
M. Mohebi
(ast. R. Rezaeian)
64'
7'
(ast. C. Wood)
E. Just
54'
(ast. C. Wood)
E. Just
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Iran a 50% win probability (draw 25%, New Zealand 23%). The final result was Iran 2–2 New Zealand.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
14
4
Shots on target
8
1.50
Actual xG
1.24
6
Saves
2
48%
Possession
52%
4
Corners
1
15
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
7'
ast. C. Wood ·
E. Just⚽
⚽R. Rezaeian
32'
A. Yousefi
/ M. Ghaedi
46'
S. Moghanlou
/ A. Alipour
53'
54'
ast. C. Wood ·
E. Just⚽
⚽M. Mohebi
· ast. R. Rezaeian
64'
S. Ghoddos
/ E. Hajsafi
65'
68'
B. Old
/
L. Cacace
68'
R. Thomas
/
C. McCowatt
78'
C. Elliot
/
T. Payne
M. Taremi
/ A. Hosseinzadeh
80'
E. Hajsafi
89'
90'+2
J. Randall
/
S. Singh
90'+2
T. Bindon
/
M. Stamenic
Pre-match prediction
50.54%
Iran
25.84%
X ←
23.62%
New
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.84%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.66
1.50
-1.16
1.11
1.24
+0.13
xG dominance was balanced (1.50 – 1.24).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Alireza Beiranvand
G
Alireza Beiranvand
G
5
Milad Mohammadi
D
Milad Mohammadi
D
19
Ali Nemati
D
Ali Nemati
D
4
S. Khalilzadeh
D
S. Khalilzadeh
D
23
Ramin Rezaeian
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
Ramin Rezaeian
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
17
Aria Yousefi
46'
M
Aria Yousefi
46'
M
6
S. Ezatolahi
M
S. Ezatolahi
M
14
S. Ghoddos
65'
M
S. Ghoddos
65'
M
8
Mohammad Mohebi
1 ⚽
M
Mohammad Mohebi
1 ⚽
M
9
M. Taremi
80'
F
M. Taremi
80'
F
20
Shahriar Moghanlou
53'
F
Shahriar Moghanlou
53'
F
Bench
7
A. Jahanbakhsh
F
A. Jahanbakhsh
F
11
Ali Alipour
37'
F
Ali Alipour
37'
F
18
Amirhossein Hosseinzadeh
10'
F
Amirhossein Hosseinzadeh
10'
F
26
Amirmohammad Razzaghinia
M
Amirmohammad Razzaghinia
M
24
Dennis Eckert Ayensa
F
Dennis Eckert Ayensa
F
3
Ehsan Hajsafi
25'
D
Ehsan Hajsafi
25'
D
13
H. Kanani
D
H. Kanani
D
22
Hossein Hosseini
G
Hossein Hosseini
G
16
Mahdi Torabi
M
Mahdi Torabi
M
10
M. Ghaedi
F
M. Ghaedi
F
21
Mohammad Ghorbani
M
Mohammad Ghorbani
M
12
Payam Niazmand
G
Payam Niazmand
G
15
Roozbeh Cheshmi
M
Roozbeh Cheshmi
M
2
Saleh Hardani
D
Saleh Hardani
D
1
Max Crocombe
G
Max Crocombe
G
13
Liberato Cacace
68'
D
Liberato Cacace
68'
D
5
Michael Boxall
D
Michael Boxall
D
16
Finn Surman
D
Finn Surman
D
2
T. Payne
78'
D
T. Payne
78'
D
8
M. Stamenić
M
M. Stamenić
M
6
Joe Bell
M
Joe Bell
M
11
E. Just
2 ⚽
M
E. Just
2 ⚽
M
10
S. Singh
M
S. Singh
M
20
C. McCowatt
68'
M
C. McCowatt
68'
M
9
C. Wood
2 👟
F
C. Wood
2 👟
F
Bench
12
Alex Paulsen
G
Alex Paulsen
G
14
Alex Rufer
M
Alex Rufer
M
19
Benjamin Old
22'
F
Benjamin Old
22'
F
18
B. Waine
F
B. Waine
F
24
Callan Elliot
12'
D
Callan Elliot
12'
D
3
F. de Vries
D
F. de Vries
D
21
Jesse Randall
F
Jesse Randall
F
17
K. Barbarouses
F
K. Barbarouses
F
25
Lachlan Bayliss
M
Lachlan Bayliss
M
22
Michael Woud
G
Michael Woud
G
15
Nando Pijnaker
D
Nando Pijnaker
D
23
Ryan Thomas
22'
M
Ryan Thomas
22'
M
26
Tommy Smith
D
Tommy Smith
D
4
Tyler Bindon
D
Tyler Bindon
D
Best on the pitch
E. Just
M · New
9.02
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 26 pass
C. Wood
F · New
8.59
2 👟
4 shots
· 16 pass
Ramin Rezaeian
D · Iran
8.32
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 41 pass
Alireza Beiranvand
G · Iran
7.30
· 16 pass
Finn Surman
D · New
6.93
1 shots
· 54 pass
Mohammad Mohebi
M · Iran
6.85
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 28 pass
Iran — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alireza Beiranvand | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| Milad Mohammadi | D | 90 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Ali Nemati | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Khalilzadeh | D | 90 | 5.96 | — | — | 0 | 49 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Ramin Rezaeian | D | 90 | 8.32 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 41 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| Aria Yousefi | M | 46 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Ezatolahi | M | 90 | 6.52 | — | — | 2 | 45 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Ghoddos | M | 65 | 6.31 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Mohammad Mohebi | M | 90 | 6.85 | 1 | — | 2 | 28 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Taremi | F | 80 | 6.38 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 30% | 0 | — | — |
| Shahriar Moghanlou | F | 53 | 6.48 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Ali Alipour | F | 37 | 6.59 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Amirhossein Hosseinzadeh | F | 10 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Ehsan Hajsafi | D | 25 | 5.88 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | 0 | 1 | — |
New Zealand — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Crocombe | G | 90 | 6.18 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| Liberato Cacace | D | 68 | 6.52 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Michael Boxall | D | 90 | 6.64 | — | — | 0 | 53 | 50% | 0 | — | — |
| Finn Surman | D | 90 | 6.93 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Payne | D | 78 | 6.09 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Stamenić | M | 92 | 6.34 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| Joe Bell | M | 90 | 5.98 | — | — | 0 | 50 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Just | M | 90 | 9.02 | 2 | — | 2 | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Singh | M | 92 | 6.31 | — | — | 3 | 42 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| C. McCowatt | M | 68 | 6.43 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Wood | F | 90 | 8.59 | — | 2 | 4 | 16 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| Benjamin Old | F | 22 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| Callan Elliot | D | 12 | 6.17 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Ryan Thomas | M | 22 | 5.94 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Iran vs New Zealand?
The final score was Iran 2–2 New Zealand.
What did the model predict before Iran vs New Zealand?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Iran win, 25% to a draw, and 23% to an New Zealand win.