A. Hussein
(ast. A. Al Ammari)
39'
29'
(ast. D. Wolfe)
E. Haaland
43'
E. Haaland
76'
(ast. M. Odegaard)
L. Ostigard
(og)
90'+6
A. Hussein
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Norway a 48% win probability (draw 27%, Iraq 24%). The final result was Iraq 1–4 Norway.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
9
1
Shots on target
5
0.77
Actual xG
2.53
2
Saves
0
39%
Possession
61%
2
Corners
5
19
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
29'
ast. D. Wolfe ·
E. Haaland⚽
⚽A. Hussein
· ast. A. Al Ammari
39'
43'
E. Haaland⚽
Z. Ismaeel
/ Z. Iqbal
59'
A. Al Hamadi
/ M. Farji
59'
73'
A. Schjelderup
/
A. Nusa
73'
K. Thorstvedt
/
F. Aursnes
73'
L. Ostigard
/
D. Wolfe
73'
O. Bobb
/
A. Sorloth
H. Ali
/ M. Saadoon
73'
A. Jasim
/ A. Qasem
73'
76'
ast. M. Odegaard ·
L. Ostigard⚽
I. Bayesh
/ Meme
78'
81'
P. Berg
/
M. Odegaard
Z. Tahseen
86'
90'+6
(og)
A. Hussein⚽
Pre-match prediction
24.55%
Iraq
27.12%
X
48.33%
Norway ←
we assigned to the actual result (Norway)
48.33%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.95
0.77
-0.18
1.57
2.53
+0.96
Norway dominated by xG (2.53 vs 0.77).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
Jalal Hassan
G
Jalal Hassan
G
23
Merchas Doski
D
Merchas Doski
D
5
Akam Hashem
D
Akam Hashem
D
4
Zaid Tahseen
D
3
Hussein Ali
73'
D
Hussein Ali
73'
D
17
Ali Jasim
73'
M
Ali Jasim
73'
M
16
Amir Al Ammari
1 👟
M
Amir Al Ammari
1 👟
M
24
Zaid Ismail
59'
M
Zaid Ismail
59'
M
8
Ibrahim Bayesh
78'
M
Ibrahim Bayesh
78'
M
9
Ali Al Hamadi
59'
F
Ali Al Hamadi
59'
F
18
Aymen Hussein
2 ⚽
F
Bench
22
Ahmed Basil
G
Ahmed Basil
G
15
Ahmed Hasan Maknazi
D
Ahmed Hasan Maknazi
D
13
Ali Yousif Hashim
F
Ali Yousif Hashim
F
11
A. Qasem
22'
F
A. Qasem
22'
F
20
A. Sher
M
A. Sher
M
1
Fahad Talib
G
Fahad Talib
G
26
Frans Putros
D
19
Kevin Yakob
M
Kevin Yakob
M
21
M. Farji
36'
M
M. Farji
36'
M
10
Mohanad Ali
17'
F
Mohanad Ali
17'
F
6
Munaf Younus
D
Munaf Younus
D
25
Mustafa Saadoon
22'
D
Mustafa Saadoon
22'
D
2
Rebin Solaka
D
Rebin Solaka
D
7
Youssef Amyn
F
14
Zidane Iqbal
36'
M
Zidane Iqbal
36'
M
1
Ø. Nyland
G
Ø. Nyland
G
5
D. Møller Wolfe
1 👟
73'
D
D. Møller Wolfe
1 👟
73'
D
17
T. Heggem
D
T. Heggem
D
3
K. Ajer
D
K. Ajer
D
26
J. Ryerson
D
J. Ryerson
D
20
A. Nusa
73'
M
A. Nusa
73'
M
14
F. Aursnes
73'
M
F. Aursnes
73'
M
8
S. Berge
M
S. Berge
M
10
M. Ødegaard
1 👟
81'
M
M. Ødegaard
1 👟
81'
M
9
E. Haaland
2 ⚽
F
E. Haaland
2 ⚽
F
7
A. Sørloth
73'
F
A. Sørloth
73'
F
Bench
21
A. Schjelderup
22'
F
A. Schjelderup
22'
F
13
E. Selvik
G
E. Selvik
G
15
F. Bjørkan
D
F. Bjørkan
D
25
Henrik Sælebakke Falchener
D
Henrik Sælebakke Falchener
D
23
J. Hauge
M
J. Hauge
M
11
J. Strand Larsen
F
J. Strand Larsen
F
18
K. Thorstvedt
22'
M
K. Thorstvedt
22'
M
4
L. Østigård
1 ⚽
22'
D
L. Østigård
1 ⚽
22'
D
16
M. Pedersen
D
M. Pedersen
D
2
M. Thorsby
M
M. Thorsby
M
22
Oscar Bobb
22'
M
Oscar Bobb
22'
M
6
P. Berg
14'
M
P. Berg
14'
M
24
S. Langås
D
S. Langås
D
12
S. Tangvik
G
S. Tangvik
G
19
Thelo Aasgaard
M
Thelo Aasgaard
M
Best on the pitch
E. Haaland
F · Norway
8.20
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 8 pass
D. Møller Wolfe
D · Norway
7.70
1 👟
· 43 pass
L. Østigård
D · Norway
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 20 pass
Aymen Hussein
F · Iraq
7.50
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 15 pass
M. Ødegaard
M · Norway
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 42 pass
Merchas Doski
D · Iraq
7.20
· 30 pass
Iraq — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalal Hassan | G | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Merchas Doski | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | 6 | — | — |
| Akam Hashem | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 42% | — | — | — |
| Zaid Tahseen | D | 95 | 5.70 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 30% | — | 1 | — |
| Hussein Ali | D | 73 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Ali Jasim | M | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Amir Al Ammari | M | 95 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 48 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Zaid Ismail | M | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 5 | — | — |
| Ibrahim Bayesh | M | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Ali Al Hamadi | F | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Aymen Hussein | F | 95 | 7.50 | 2 | — | 3 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| A. Qasem | F | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Farji | M | 36 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Mohanad Ali | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Mustafa Saadoon | D | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
| Zidane Iqbal | M | 36 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
Norway — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ø. Nyland | G | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | — | — | — |
| D. Møller Wolfe | D | 73 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 43 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Heggem | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 84 | 79% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Ajer | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 65 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Ryerson | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 49 | 41% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Nusa | M | 73 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Aursnes | M | 73 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Berge | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 82 | 78% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Ødegaard | M | 81 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 42 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Haaland | F | 95 | 8.20 | 2 | — | 5 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| A. Sørloth | F | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| A. Schjelderup | F | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| K. Thorstvedt | M | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Østigård | D | 22 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Oscar Bobb | M | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Berg | M | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Iraq vs Norway?
The final score was Iraq 1–4 Norway.
What did the model predict before Iraq vs Norway?
The model assigned 24% probability to a Iraq win, 27% to a draw, and 48% to an Norway win.