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← UEFA Nations League

Israel - Rep. Of Ireland

UEFA Nations League September 27, 2026 20:45 Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata
Israel
#1 · 0 pts
vs
Rep. Of Ireland
#3 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
56.62%
Win
Israel
18.59%
Draw
24.79%
Win
Rep. Of Ireland
2.56
Expected xG
1.66
Most likely outcome
Israel
56.62%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 2 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.05%)
1X2 Result
1 57%
X 19%
2 25%
Double Chance
1X 75%
X2 43%
12 81%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 93%
Over 2.5 84%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Israel a 56% win probability, against 18% for a draw and 24% for Rep. Of Ireland. Expected goals are 2.6 for Israel and 1.7 for Rep. Of Ireland (total 4.2), with a 92% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.05% probability.

Season Stats

Israel
1W 1D 4L
Rep. Of Ireland
4W 0D 4L
Averages per game
0.8
Goals
0.9
2.2
Conceded
1.8
2.0
Shots OT
3.3
1.8
Corners
3.1
34%
Poss.
41%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
88%
67%
O 2.5
50%
67%
BTTS
38%
33%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ Based on the last 8 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
29%
O 3.5
59%
BTTS
Israel
1W 0D 2L · at home
Rep. Of Ireland
2W 0D 2L · away
1.0
gls/g
1.0
2.0
Conceded
2.2
33%
Win %
50%
33%
Win or Draw
50%
67%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
75%
33%
O 3.5
25%
67%
BTTS
50%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Israel Rep. Of Ireland →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.5% 2.5% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
1 3.8% 6.3% 5.2% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
2 4.8% 8.0% 6.6% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
3 4.1% 6.8% 5.7% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
4 2.6% 4.4% 3.6% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
5 1.3% 2.2% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%

Recent form

Israel Israel
W Belgium 1–0
D France 0–0
L Italy 4–1
L France 1–4
L Italy 1–2
Rep. Of Ireland Rep. Of Ireland
W Bulgaria 2–1
W Bulgaria 1–2
L England 5–0
W Finland 1–0
L Greece 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Israel Israel
Attack
43
Defence
72
Form
58
Rep. Of Ireland Rep. Of Ireland
Attack
40
Defence
84
Form
46
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

UEFA Nations League , League B, Group 3

# Team G Pts
1 Israel Israel 0 0
2 Austria Austria 0 0
3 Rep. Of Ireland Rep. Of Ireland 0 0
4 Kosovo Kosovo 0 0

What's at stake · UEFA Nations League , League B, Group 3

Top 2 advance to the next round

Israel Rep. Of Ireland
Current #1 #3
→ Israel #1 #3
→ Draw #1 #2
→ Rep. Of Ireland #2 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland?
The model gives Israel a 56% win probability, 18% for a draw, and 24% for an Rep. Of Ireland win.
How many goals are expected in Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland?
Expected goals: Israel 2.6, Rep. Of Ireland 1.7 (total 4.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 92%.
What is the most likely score in Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.05%.