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HNL · Regular Season - 31 April 22, 2026 20:15 Arigato Service Dream, Imabari
Istra 1961
#6 · 13 pts
0 – 2
Final score
Dinamo Zagreb
#2 · 22 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Dinamo Zagreb
23' (ast. S. Dominguez) L. Stojkovic
45' (ast. A. Hoxha) D. Beljo
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dinamo Zagreb a 81% win probability (draw 10%, Istra 1961 8%). The final result was Istra 1961 0–2 Dinamo Zagreb. In 4 previous meetings, Istra 1961 have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Dinamo Zagreb.

Match statistics
3
Total shots
18
0
Shots on target
7
0.23
Actual xG
1.76
5
Saves
0
42%
Possession
58%
2
Corners
4
18
Tackles
10
Match Events
23'
ast. S. Dominguez · L. Stojkovic⚽
45'
ast. A. Hoxha · D. Beljo⚽
46'
M. Soldo / M. Zajc ↕
66'
F. Topic / A. Hoxha ↕
↕ E. Frederiksen / C. Agada
70'
↕ V. Rozic / S. Gorican
71'
80'
M. Bakrar / M. Lisica ↕
↕ A. Mauric / D. Ahmeti
80'
↕ A. Kadusic / F. Taraba
80'
↕ L. Stulac / G. Albarracin
88'
Pre-match prediction
8.59%
Istra
10.18%
X
81.23%
Dinamo ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Dinamo Zagreb) 81.23% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Istra
0.74
0.23
-0.51
Dinamo
3.58
1.76
-1.82
Dinamo Zagreb dominated by xG (1.76 vs 0.23). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 11 23
2 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 10 22
3 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 11 18
4 NK Osijek NK Osijek 11 17
5 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 10 17
6 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 11 13
7 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 11 13
8 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 11 11
9 Rudes Rudes 11 10
10 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 11 7
Lineups
Istra 1961 Istra 1961 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.90
26 M. Heister M. Heister D 6.30
38 R. Kumar R. Kumar D 6.50
3
D 6.90
97 A. Kadušić A. Kadušić 80' D 6.50
8 A. Maurić A. Maurić 80' M 6.90
23
Leo Štulac 88' M 6.90
7 V. Rozić V. Rozić 71' M 6.50
10 S. Lončar S. Lončar M 6.90
17 E. Frederiksen E. Frederiksen 70' M 6.20
9 S. Prevljak S. Prevljak F 6.50
Bench
29 A. Obando A. Obando F
77 Charles Adah Agada Charles Adah Agada 25' F 6.50
20 D. Ahmeti D. Ahmeti 15' M 6.70
25 G. Albarracín G. Albarracín 7' M
44 R. Hrvatin R. Hrvatin D
16 S. Miettinen S. Miettinen D
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 4-3-3
40
G 6.30
3 B. Goda B. Goda D 7.30
15 N. Galešić N. Galešić D 7.20
36 Sergi Domínguez Sergi Domínguez 1 👟 D 7.90
25 M. Valinčić M. Valinčić D 7.20
8 M. Zajc M. Zajc 45' M 6.50
27 J. Mišić J. Mišić M 7.90
7 L. Stojković L. Stojković 1 ⚽ M 7.60
11 A. Hoxha A. Hoxha 1 👟 66' F 6.30
9 D. Beljo D. Beljo 1 ⚽ F 7.20
21 M. Lisica M. Lisica 80' F 6.30
Bench
71 M. Bakrar M. Bakrar 15' F 6.20
14 M. Soldo M. Soldo 50' M 6.70
22 Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf D
Best on the pitch
J. Mišić
J. Mišić
M · Dinamo
7.90
· 87 pass
Sergi Domínguez
Sergi Domínguez
D · Dinamo
7.90
1 👟
· 105 pass
L. Stojković
L. Stojković
M · Dinamo
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 49 pass
B. Goda
B. Goda
D · Dinamo
7.30
1 shots · 51 pass
D. Beljo
D. Beljo
F · Dinamo
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 17 pass
M. Valinčić
M. Valinčić
D · Dinamo
7.20
· 45 pass
Istra 1961 Istra 1961 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 95 6.90 — — — 26 18% — — —
M. Heister D 95 6.30 — — — 41 35% 4 — —
R. Kumar D 95 6.50 — — — 48 46% — — —
D 95 6.90 — — — 62 58% 3 — —
A. Kadušić D 80 6.50 — — — 35 20% 5 — —
A. Maurić M 80 6.90 — — — 40 38% 2 — —
Leo Štulac M 88 6.90 — — — 57 47% — — —
V. Rozić M 71 6.50 — — — 20 16% — — —
S. Lončar M 95 6.90 — — 1 41 38% 1 — —
E. Frederiksen M 70 6.20 — — — 24 16% 1 — —
S. Prevljak F 95 6.50 — — 1 12 10% 1 — —
Charles Adah Agada F 25 6.50 — — 1 2 1% 1 — —
D. Ahmeti M 15 6.70 — — — 6 6% — — —
G. Albarracín M 7 — — — — — — — — —
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 95 6.30 — — — 29 25% — — —
B. Goda D 95 7.30 — — 1 51 42% 1 — —
N. Galešić D 95 7.20 — — 1 108 97% 1 — —
Sergi Domínguez D 95 7.90 — 1 — 105 98% — — —
M. Valinčić D 95 7.20 — — — 45 43% — — —
M. Zajc M 45 6.50 — — — 32 27% — — —
J. Mišić M 95 7.90 — — — 87 76% 2 — —
L. Stojković M 95 7.60 1 — 2 49 42% 2 — —
A. Hoxha F 66 6.30 — 1 5 20 18% — — —
D. Beljo F 95 7.20 1 — 2 17 17% 1 — —
M. Lisica F 80 6.30 — — 3 26 23% 1 — —
M. Bakrar F 15 6.20 — — 2 4 3% 1 — —
M. Soldo M 50 6.70 — — 2 17 12% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb?
The final score was Istra 1961 0–2 Dinamo Zagreb.
What did the model predict before Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb?
The model assigned 8% probability to a Istra 1961 win, 10% to a draw, and 81% to an Dinamo Zagreb win.