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HNL · Regular Season - 31 April 22, 2026 22:15
Istra 1961
#5 · 42 pts
0 – 2
Final score
Dinamo Zagreb
#1 · 82 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Dinamo Zagreb
23' (ast. S. Dominguez) L. Stojkovic
45' (ast. A. Hoxha) D. Beljo

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dinamo Zagreb a 81% win probability (draw 10%, Istra 1961 8%). The final result was Istra 1961 0–2 Dinamo Zagreb. In 3 previous meetings, Istra 1961 have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Dinamo Zagreb.

Match statistics
3
Total shots
18
0
Shots on target
7
0.23
Actual xG
1.76
5
Saves
0
42%
Possession
58%
2
Corners
4
18
Tackles
10
Match Events
23'
ast. S. Dominguez · L. Stojkovic⚽
45'
ast. A. Hoxha · D. Beljo⚽
46'
M. Soldo / M. Zajc ↕
66'
F. Topic / A. Hoxha ↕
↕ E. Frederiksen / C. Agada
70'
↕ V. Rozic / S. Gorican
71'
80'
M. Bakrar / M. Lisica ↕
↕ A. Mauric / D. Ahmeti
80'
↕ A. Kadusic / F. Taraba
80'
↕ L. Stulac / G. Albarracin
88'
Pre-match prediction
8.59%
Istra
10.18%
X
81.23%
Dinamo ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Dinamo Zagreb) 81.23% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Istra
0.74
0.23
-0.51
Dinamo
3.58
1.76
-1.82
Dinamo Zagreb dominated by xG (1.76 vs 0.23). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 34 82
2 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 34 64
3 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 34 49
4 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 34 48
5 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 34 42
6 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 34 42
7 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 34 41
8 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 34 38
9 NK Osijek NK Osijek 34 32
10 Vukovar Vukovar 34 28
Lineups
Istra 1961 Istra 1961 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.90
26 M. Heister M. Heister D 6.30
38 Raul Kumar Raul Kumar D 6.50
3
D 6.90
97 Advan Kadušić Advan Kadušić 80' D 6.50
8 Antonio Maurić Antonio Maurić 80' M 6.90
23 Leo Štulac Leo Štulac 88' M 6.90
7 Vinko Rozić Vinko Rozić 71' M 6.50
10 S. Lončar S. Lončar M 6.90
17 E. Frederiksen E. Frederiksen 70' M 6.20
9 S. Prevljak S. Prevljak F 6.50
Bench
29 Allen Obando Allen Obando F
77 Charles Adah Agada Charles Adah Agada 25' F 6.50
20 Dukan Ahmeti Dukan Ahmeti 15' M 6.70
25 Gustavo Albarracín Gustavo Albarracín 7' M
44 Rene Hrvatin Rene Hrvatin D
16 Samuli Miettinen Samuli Miettinen D
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 4-3-3
40
G 6.30
3
B. Goda D 7.30
15
N. Galesic D 7.20
36
S. Dominguez 1 👟 D 7.90
25
M. Valincic D 7.20
8 M. Zajc M. Zajc 45' M 6.50
27 J. Mišić J. Mišić M 7.90
7 L. Stojković L. Stojković 1 ⚽ M 7.60
11 A. Hoxha A. Hoxha 1 👟 66' F 6.30
9 D. Beljo D. Beljo 1 ⚽ F 7.20
21 M. Lisica M. Lisica 80' F 6.30
Bench
71 M. Bakrar M. Bakrar 15' F 6.20
22
M. Perez Vinlof D
14
M. Soldo 50' M 6.70
Best on the pitch
J. Mišić
J. Mišić
M · Dinamo
7.90
· 87 pass
S. Dominguez
D · Dinamo
7.90
1 👟
· 105 pass
L. Stojković
L. Stojković
M · Dinamo
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 49 pass
B. Goda
D · Dinamo
7.30
1 shots · 51 pass
D. Beljo
D. Beljo
F · Dinamo
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 17 pass
M. Valincic
D · Dinamo
7.20
· 45 pass
Istra 1961 Istra 1961 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 95 6.90 — — — 26 18% — — —
M. Heister D 95 6.30 — — — 41 35% 4 — —
Raul Kumar D 95 6.50 — — — 48 46% — — —
D 95 6.90 — — — 62 58% 3 — —
Advan Kadušić D 80 6.50 — — — 35 20% 5 — —
Antonio Maurić M 80 6.90 — — — 40 38% 2 — —
Leo Štulac M 88 6.90 — — — 57 47% — — —
Vinko Rozić M 71 6.50 — — — 20 16% — — —
S. Lončar M 95 6.90 — — 1 41 38% 1 — —
E. Frederiksen M 70 6.20 — — — 24 16% 1 — —
S. Prevljak F 95 6.50 — — 1 12 10% 1 — —
Charles Adah Agada F 25 6.50 — — 1 2 1% 1 — —
Dukan Ahmeti M 15 6.70 — — — 6 6% — — —
Gustavo Albarracín M 7 — — — — — — — — —
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 95 6.30 — — — 29 25% — — —
B. Goda D 95 7.30 — — 1 51 42% 1 — —
N. Galesic D 95 7.20 — — 1 108 97% 1 — —
S. Dominguez D 95 7.90 — 1 — 105 98% — — —
M. Valincic D 95 7.20 — — — 45 43% — — —
M. Zajc M 45 6.50 — — — 32 27% — — —
J. Mišić M 95 7.90 — — — 87 76% 2 — —
L. Stojković M 95 7.60 1 — 2 49 42% 2 — —
A. Hoxha F 66 6.30 — 1 5 20 18% — — —
D. Beljo F 95 7.20 1 — 2 17 17% 1 — —
M. Lisica F 80 6.30 — — 3 26 23% 1 — —
M. Bakrar F 15 6.20 — — 2 4 3% 1 — —
M. Soldo M 50 6.70 — — 2 17 12% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb?
The final score was Istra 1961 0–2 Dinamo Zagreb.
What did the model predict before Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb?
The model assigned 8% probability to a Istra 1961 win, 10% to a draw, and 81% to an Dinamo Zagreb win.