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HNL · Regular Season - 8 September 19, 2026 20:00 Stadion Aldo Drosina, Pula
Istra 1961
#4 · 19 pts
0 – 1
Final score
HNK Gorica
#10 · 7 pts
90'+6 (ast. D. Pavicic) J. Pranjic
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Istra 1961 a 52% win probability (draw 24%, HNK Gorica 22%). The final result was Istra 1961 0–1 HNK Gorica. In 4 previous meetings, Istra 1961 have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for HNK Gorica.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
9
11
Shots on target
4
1.21
Actual xG
0.51
3
Saves
10
52%
Possession
48%
3
Corners
3
17
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
D. Doumbia
45'+1
↕ D. Doumbia / G. Albarracin
72'
↕ N. Skafar Zuzic / S. Ukich
72'
74'
J. Pranjic / B. Bogojevic ↕
74'
I. Cvijanovic / G. Costa ↕
S. Ukich
79'
81'
D. Pavicic / F. Brodic ↕
↕ R. Hrvatin / A. Kadusic
84'
↕ A. Mauric / M. Kablar
84'
90'+2
O. Bakic / J. Frigan ↕
90'+2
S. Peric / J. Filipovic ↕
↕ S. Miettinen / M. Nasraoui
90'+5
90'+6
ast. D. Pavicic · J. Pranjic⚽
90'+11
I. Cvijanovic
90'+12
L. Vrzic
Isaac
90'+12
Pre-match prediction
52.44%
Istra
24.8%
X
22.76%
HNK ←
we assigned to the actual result (HNK Gorica) 22.76% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Istra
2.47
1.21
-1.26
HNK
0.72
0.51
-0.21
Istra 1961 dominated by xG (1.21 vs 0.51). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 13 29
2 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 12 25
3 NK Osijek NK Osijek 13 20
4 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 13 19
5 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 13 19
6 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 12 18
7 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 13 16
8 Rudes Rudes 13 16
9 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 13 11
10 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 13 7
Lineups
Istra 1961 Istra 1961 4-2-3-1
1 F. Kolić F. Kolić G 7.00
13 Niko Šepić Niko Šepić D 7.90
16 S. Miettinen S. Miettinen D 6.60
4 R. Kumar R. Kumar D 7.20
44 R. Hrvatin R. Hrvatin 84' D 7.00
8 A. Maurić A. Maurić 84' M 7.30
88 D. Doumbia D. Doumbia 72' M 6.70
30 N. Skafar Zuzic N. Skafar Zuzic 72' M 7.90
20 D. Ahmeti D. Ahmeti M 6.30
22 E. Frederiksen E. Frederiksen M 7.30
9 Isaac Isaac F 7.20
Bench
97 A. Kadušić A. Kadušić 22' D 6.90
27 D. Celija D. Celija F
25 D. Hodzic D. Hodzic M
25 G. Albarracín G. Albarracín 34' M 6.70
40 J. Paus-Kunšt J. Paus-Kunšt G
34 M. Kablar M. Kablar 22' M 6.50
66 M. Momoh M. Momoh D
3 M. Nasraoui M. Nasraoui 11' D 6.20
11 S. Goričan S. Goričan F
23 S. Ukich S. Ukich 34' M 6.30
39 T. Brajkovic T. Brajkovic F
HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 4-2-3-1
1 R. Josipović R. Josipović G 9.90
5 Gonçalo Costa Gonçalo Costa 74' D 6.90
15 D. Stevanović D. Stevanović D 7.90
32 J. Filipović J. Filipović D 7.20
2 F. Braut F. Braut D 7.00
6 T. Lacoux T. Lacoux M 7.20
66 Juraj Frigan Juraj Frigan M 6.90
25 B. Bogojević B. Bogojević 74' M 6.90
9 P. Mijić P. Mijić F 5.90
20 L. Vrzić L. Vrzić M 6.90
10 F. Brodić F. Brodić 81' M 6.30
Bench
50 A. Erceg A. Erceg F
18 B. Kardum B. Kardum F
71 D. Matijaš D. Matijaš G
24 D. Pavičić D. Pavičić 1 👟 25' M 6.90
30 D. Žarkov D. Žarkov G
34 I. Cvijanović I. Cvijanović 32' D 6.60
8 J. Pranjić J. Pranjić 1 ⚽ 32' F 7.60
4 K. Čustović K. Čustović M
26 Keenan Nino Carole Keenan Nino Carole F
7 O. Bakić O. Bakić 14' M 6.70
45 S. Perić S. Perić 14' D 6.90
67 Tomislav Prgomet Tomislav Prgomet M
Best on the pitch
R. Josipović
R. Josipović
G · HNK
9.90
· 39 pass
Niko Šepić
Niko Šepić
D · Istra
7.90
3 shots · 56 pass
N. Skafar Zuzic
N. Skafar Zuzic
M · Istra
7.90
· 19 pass
D. Stevanović
D. Stevanović
D · HNK
7.90
· 62 pass
J. Pranjić
J. Pranjić
F · HNK
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 6 pass
A. Maurić
A. Maurić
M · Istra
7.30
1 shots · 46 pass
Istra 1961 Istra 1961 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Kolić G 106 7.00 — — — 33 26% — — —
Niko Šepić D 106 7.90 — — 3 56 51% 4 — —
S. Miettinen D 95 6.60 — — 1 50 42% 2 — —
R. Kumar D 106 7.20 — — 3 65 54% 2 — —
R. Hrvatin D 84 7.00 — — 1 16 12% 3 — —
A. Maurić M 84 7.30 — — 1 46 39% 1 — —
D. Doumbia M 72 6.70 — — 1 30 26% 1 1 —
N. Skafar Zuzic M 72 7.90 — — — 19 14% 1 — —
D. Ahmeti M 106 6.30 — — 2 33 27% — — —
E. Frederiksen M 106 7.30 — — 2 33 22% — — —
Isaac F 106 7.20 — — 2 24 18% 1 1 —
A. Kadušić D 22 6.90 — — — 11 10% 1 — —
G. Albarracín M 34 6.70 — — — 10 8% 1 — —
M. Kablar M 22 6.50 — — — 13 10% — — —
M. Nasraoui D 11 6.20 — — — 5 5% — — —
S. Ukich M 34 6.30 — — 1 8 8% — 1 —
HNK Gorica HNK Gorica — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Josipović G 106 9.90 — — — 39 29% — — —
Gonçalo Costa D 74 6.90 — — — 30 19% 1 — —
D. Stevanović D 106 7.90 — — — 62 52% 3 — —
J. Filipović D 92 7.20 — — — 62 58% 1 — —
F. Braut D 106 7.00 — — — 60 50% 3 — —
T. Lacoux M 106 7.20 — — — 43 40% 2 — —
Juraj Frigan M 92 6.90 — — — 40 29% 2 — —
B. Bogojević M 74 6.90 — — 1 17 15% 1 — —
P. Mijić F 106 5.90 — — 2 12 8% — — —
L. Vrzić M 106 6.90 — — 2 26 18% — 1 —
F. Brodić M 81 6.30 — — 2 13 11% 1 — —
D. Pavičić M 25 6.90 — 1 — 7 7% — — —
I. Cvijanović D 32 6.60 — — — 10 9% — 1 —
J. Pranjić F 32 7.60 1 — 2 6 5% 1 — —
O. Bakić M 14 6.70 — — — 6 2% — — —
S. Perić D 14 6.90 — — — 3 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica?
The final score was Istra 1961 0–1 HNK Gorica.
What did the model predict before Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Istra 1961 win, 24% to a draw, and 22% to an HNK Gorica win.