90'+6
(ast. D. Pavicic)
J. Pranjic
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Istra 1961 a 52% win probability (draw 24%, HNK Gorica 22%). The final result was Istra 1961 0–1 HNK Gorica. In 4 previous meetings, Istra 1961 have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for HNK Gorica.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
9
11
Shots on target
4
1.21
Actual xG
0.51
3
Saves
10
52%
Possession
48%
3
Corners
3
17
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
D. Doumbia
45'+1
D. Doumbia
/ G. Albarracin
72'
N. Skafar Zuzic
/ S. Ukich
72'
74'
J. Pranjic
/
B. Bogojevic
74'
I. Cvijanovic
/
G. Costa
S. Ukich
79'
81'
D. Pavicic
/
F. Brodic
R. Hrvatin
/ A. Kadusic
84'
A. Mauric
/ M. Kablar
84'
90'+2
O. Bakic
/
J. Frigan
90'+2
S. Peric
/
J. Filipovic
S. Miettinen
/ M. Nasraoui
90'+5
90'+6
ast. D. Pavicic ·
J. Pranjic⚽
90'+11
I. Cvijanovic
90'+12
L. Vrzic
Isaac
90'+12
Pre-match prediction
52.44%
Istra
24.8%
X
22.76%
HNK ←
we assigned to the actual result (HNK Gorica)
22.76%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.47
1.21
-1.26
0.72
0.51
-0.21
Istra 1961 dominated by xG (1.21 vs 0.51).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Franko Kolić
G
Franko Kolić
G
13
Niko Šepić
D
Niko Šepić
D
16
Samuli Miettinen
D
Samuli Miettinen
D
4
Raul Kumar
D
Raul Kumar
D
44
Rene Hrvatin
84'
D
Rene Hrvatin
84'
D
8
Antonio Maurić
84'
M
Antonio Maurić
84'
M
88
D. Doumbia
72'
M
D. Doumbia
72'
M
30
Nik Škafar Žužić
72'
M
Nik Škafar Žužić
72'
M
20
D. Ahmeti
M
D. Ahmeti
M
22
E. Frederiksen
M
E. Frederiksen
M
9
Isaac
F
Isaac
F
Bench
97
Advan Kadušić
22'
D
Advan Kadušić
22'
D
25
Demirel Hodžić
M
Demirel Hodžić
M
27
Dominik Celija
F
Dominik Celija
F
25
Gustavo Albarracín
34'
M
Gustavo Albarracín
34'
M
40
Jan Paus-Kunšt
G
Jan Paus-Kunšt
G
34
Matija Kablar
22'
M
Matija Kablar
22'
M
3
Mohamed Nasraoui
11'
D
Mohamed Nasraoui
11'
D
66
Mutari Momoh
D
Mutari Momoh
D
11
Silvio Goričan
F
Silvio Goričan
F
23
Stipe Ukich
34'
M
39
Toni Brajković
F
Toni Brajković
F
1
Renato Josipović
G
Renato Josipović
G
5
Gonçalo Costa
74'
D
Gonçalo Costa
74'
D
15
Dušan Stevanović
D
Dušan Stevanović
D
32
Jakov Filipović
D
Jakov Filipović
D
2
Filip Braut
D
Filip Braut
D
6
Tom Lacoux
M
Tom Lacoux
M
66
Juraj Frigan
M
Juraj Frigan
M
25
B. Bogojević
74'
M
B. Bogojević
74'
M
9
P. Mijić
F
P. Mijić
F
20
Luka Vrzić
M
Luka Vrzić
M
10
Fran Brodić
81'
M
Fran Brodić
81'
M
Bench
50
Ante Erceg
F
Ante Erceg
F
18
Bartol Kardum
F
Bartol Kardum
F
30
Darijan Žarkov
G
Darijan Žarkov
G
71
Davor Matijaš
G
Davor Matijaš
G
24
Domagoj Pavičić
1 👟
25'
M
Domagoj Pavičić
1 👟
25'
M
34
I. Cvijanović
32'
D
I. Cvijanović
32'
D
8
Jakov Pranjić
1 ⚽
32'
F
Jakov Pranjić
1 ⚽
32'
F
26
Keenan Carole
F
Keenan Carole
F
4
Kevin Čustović
M
Kevin Čustović
M
7
Ognjen Bakić
14'
M
Ognjen Bakić
14'
M
45
Stefan Perić
14'
D
Stefan Perić
14'
D
67
Tomislav Prgomet
M
Tomislav Prgomet
M
Best on the pitch
Renato Josipović
G · HNK
9.90
· 39 pass
Niko Šepić
D · Istra
7.90
3 shots
· 56 pass
Nik Škafar Žužić
M · Istra
7.90
· 19 pass
Dušan Stevanović
D · HNK
7.90
· 62 pass
Jakov Pranjić
F · HNK
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 6 pass
Antonio Maurić
M · Istra
7.30
1 shots
· 46 pass
Istra 1961 — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franko Kolić | G | 106 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Niko Šepić | D | 106 | 7.90 | — | — | 3 | 56 | 51% | 4 | — | — |
| Samuli Miettinen | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| Raul Kumar | D | 106 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 65 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| Rene Hrvatin | D | 84 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| Antonio Maurić | M | 84 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Doumbia | M | 72 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Nik Škafar Žužić | M | 72 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Ahmeti | M | 106 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 27% | — | — | — |
| E. Frederiksen | M | 106 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Isaac | F | 106 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Advan Kadušić | D | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Albarracín | M | 34 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Matija Kablar | M | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Nasraoui | D | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Stipe Ukich | M | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
HNK Gorica — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renato Josipović | G | 106 | 9.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Costa | D | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Dušan Stevanović | D | 106 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 62 | 52% | 3 | — | — |
| Jakov Filipović | D | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 62 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| Filip Braut | D | 106 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 60 | 50% | 3 | — | — |
| Tom Lacoux | M | 106 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Juraj Frigan | M | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Bogojević | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Mijić | F | 106 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Luka Vrzić | M | 106 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Fran Brodić | M | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Domagoj Pavičić | M | 25 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| I. Cvijanović | D | 32 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Jakov Pranjić | F | 32 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Ognjen Bakić | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Stefan Perić | D | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica?
The final score was Istra 1961 0–1 HNK Gorica.
What did the model predict before Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Istra 1961 win, 24% to a draw, and 22% to an HNK Gorica win.