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HNL · Regular Season - 11 October 26, 2026 18:00 Stadion Aldo Drosina, Pula
Istra 1961
#6 · 13 pts
2 – 2
Final score
HNK Hajduk Split
#1 · 23 pts
Hamza Jaganjac (ast. Emil Frederiksen) 66'
Emil Frederiksen 81' (pen.)
7' (ast. Dennis Hadzikadunić) Khalil Fayad
54' (ast. Khalil Fayad) Michele Šego
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HNK Hajduk Split a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Istra 1961 32%). The final result was Istra 1961 2–2 HNK Hajduk Split. In 5 previous meetings, Istra 1961 have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 3 wins for HNK Hajduk Split.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
14
4
Shots on target
6
1.59
Actual xG
1.48
4
Saves
1
44%
Possession
56%
4
Corners
4
21
Tackles
16
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
7'
ast. Dennis Hadzikadunić · Khalil Fayad⚽
13'
Dennis Hadzikadunić
Demirel Hodzic
30'
Hamza Jaganjac
39'
39'
Michele Šego
Gustavo Albarracin
51'
54'
ast. Khalil Fayad · Michele Šego⚽
↕ Vinko Rozic / Nik Skafar Zuzic
60'
↕ Demirel Hodzic / Matija Kablar
60'
↕ Isaac Aguiar Tomich / Dukan Ahmeti
60'
⚽Hamza Jaganjac · ast. Emil Frederiksen
66'
69'
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck / Dario Marešić ↕
Matija Kablar
70'
76'
Carlos Martín Domínguez / Abdoulie Sanyang ↕
76'
Roko Gabric / Mathieu Acapandie ↕
⚽Emil Frederiksen (pen.)
81'
83'
Adam Huram / Marin Šotiček ↕
83'
Leander Dendoncker / Dalisson De Almeida Leite ↕
↕ Gustavo Albarracin / Mutari Momoh
89'
Pre-match prediction
32.96%
Istra
31.56%
X ←
35.49%
HNK
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 31.56% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Istra
0.91
1.59
+0.68
HNK
0.90
1.48
+0.58
xG dominance was balanced (1.59 – 1.48). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 11 23
2 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 10 22
3 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 11 18
4 NK Osijek NK Osijek 11 17
5 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 10 17
6 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 11 13
7 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 11 13
8 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 11 11
9 Rudes Rudes 11 10
10 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 11 7
Lineups
Istra 1961 Istra 1961 4-4-2
1 F. Kolić F. Kolić G 6.68
13 Niko Šepić Niko Šepić D 6.50
3 M. Nasraoui M. Nasraoui D 6.56
4 R. Kumar R. Kumar D 6.88
44 R. Hrvatin R. Hrvatin D 6.04
7 V. Rozić V. Rozić 60' M 5.91
25 G. Albarracín G. Albarracín 89' M 6.26
5 D. Hodzic D. Hodzic 60' M 6.03
22 E. Frederiksen E. Frederiksen 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 6.91
9 Isaac Isaac 60' F 6.56
94 H. Jaganjac H. Jaganjac 1 ⚽ F 8.18
Bench
97 A. Kadušić A. Kadušić D 0.00
20 D. Ahmeti D. Ahmeti 30' M 5.84
27 D. Celija D. Celija F 0.00
40 J. Paus-Kunšt J. Paus-Kunšt G 0.00
34 M. Kablar M. Kablar 30' M 5.94
66 M. Momoh M. Momoh 1' D 6.10
30 N. Skafar Zuzic N. Skafar Zuzic 30' F 6.85
11 S. Goričan S. Goričan F 0.00
23 S. Ukich S. Ukich M 0.00
39 T. Brajkovic T. Brajkovic F 0.00
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 4-2-3-1
33 T. Silić T. Silić G 6.44
32 Š. Hrgović Š. Hrgović D 7.38
15 D. Marešić D. Marešić 69' D 6.72
6 D. Hadžikadunić D. Hadžikadunić 1 👟 D 6.72
22 M. Acapandié M. Acapandié 76' D 5.86
8 K. Fayad K. Fayad 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 9.00
20 Alberto del Moral Alberto del Moral M 6.63
23 M. Šotiček M. Šotiček 83' M 6.24
9 Dali Dali 83' M 5.98
7 A. Sanyang A. Sanyang 76' M 6.77
11 M. Šego M. Šego 1 ⚽ F 7.67
Bench
26 A. Guram A. Guram 7' M 6.29
16 A. Sutalo A. Sutalo M 0.00
5 A. Van Hoorenbeeck A. Van Hoorenbeeck 21' D 6.45
77 Carlos Martín Carlos Martín 14' F 6.39
99 D. Fesyuk D. Fesyuk G 0.00
17 D. Melnjak D. Melnjak D 0.00
44 D. Stipica D. Stipica G 0.00
19 E. Brruti E. Brruti M 0.00
18 L. Dendoncker L. Dendoncker 7' M 6.11
10 M. Livaja M. Livaja F 0.00
3 Roko Gabrić Roko Gabrić 14' D 6.30
14 R. Raci R. Raci D 0.00
Best on the pitch
K. Fayad
K. Fayad
M · HNK
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 65 pass
H. Jaganjac
H. Jaganjac
F · Istra
8.18
1 ⚽
2 shots · 9 pass
M. Šego
M. Šego
F · HNK
7.67
1 ⚽
4 shots · 13 pass
Š. Hrgović
Š. Hrgović
D · HNK
7.38
· 45 pass
E. Frederiksen
E. Frederiksen
M · Istra
6.91
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 31 pass
R. Kumar
R. Kumar
D · Istra
6.88
· 38 pass
Istra 1961 Istra 1961 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Kolić G 90 6.68 — — 0 29 14% 0 — —
Niko Šepić D 90 6.50 — — 0 37 28% 0 — —
M. Nasraoui D 90 6.56 — — 0 62 56% 2 — —
R. Kumar D 90 6.88 — — 0 38 35% 2 — —
R. Hrvatin D 90 6.04 — — 1 30 20% 1 — —
V. Rozić M 60 5.91 — — 0 20 14% 1 — —
G. Albarracín M 89 6.26 — — 0 32 31% 4 1 —
D. Hodzic M 60 6.03 — — 0 30 25% 3 1 —
E. Frederiksen M 90 6.91 1 1 4 31 22% 1 — —
Isaac F 60 6.56 — — 1 16 14% 1 — —
H. Jaganjac F 90 8.18 1 — 2 9 6% 2 1 —
D. Ahmeti M 30 5.84 — — 2 10 9% 0 — —
M. Kablar M 30 5.94 — — 1 12 8% 3 1 —
M. Momoh D 1 6.10 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
N. Skafar Zuzic F 30 6.85 — — 1 6 4% 1 — —
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Silić G 90 6.44 — — 0 26 20% 0 — —
Š. Hrgović D 90 7.38 — — 0 45 42% 0 — —
D. Marešić D 69 6.72 — — 0 51 48% 1 — —
D. Hadžikadunić D 90 6.72 — 1 2 54 48% 1 1 —
M. Acapandié D 76 5.86 — — 1 35 27% 2 — —
K. Fayad M 90 9.00 1 1 1 65 55% 4 — —
Alberto del Moral M 90 6.63 — — 0 66 62% 4 — —
M. Šotiček M 83 6.24 — — 2 25 19% 0 — —
Dali M 83 5.98 — — 1 27 20% 0 — —
A. Sanyang M 76 6.77 — — 2 13 12% 2 — —
M. Šego F 90 7.67 1 — 4 13 9% 0 1 —
A. Guram M 7 6.29 — — 1 7 4% 1 — —
A. Van Hoorenbeeck D 21 6.45 — — 0 15 15% 1 — —
Carlos Martín F 14 6.39 — — 0 7 3% 0 — —
L. Dendoncker M 7 6.11 — — 0 15 15% 0 — —
Roko Gabrić D 14 6.30 — — 0 11 11% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split?
The final score was Istra 1961 2–2 HNK Hajduk Split.
What did the model predict before Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Istra 1961 win, 31% to a draw, and 35% to an HNK Hajduk Split win.